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 Friday Numbers (SBD) 
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Extraordinary
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Why is everybody expecting Poseidon to manage a 3x multiplier?


Sat May 13, 2006 1:00 pm
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Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
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Magnus101 wrote:
The Dark Shape wrote:
Why is everybody expecting Poseidon to manage a 3x multiplier?


Because it got such a low OD that it has to manage to get something 3x multiplier.


Um that doesnt make sense. It would most likely increase 10% at the max and drop close to 28% on sunday.How does that make it a 3X multiplier


Sat May 13, 2006 1:08 pm
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i break the rules, so i don't care
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Next...


Sat May 13, 2006 1:09 pm
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loyalfromlondon
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What a crappy weekend. I guess we've got to wait another week for summer to start.

If next weekend disappoints as well, I could say we're in for Slump II.

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Sat May 13, 2006 1:20 pm
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Well, that sucks for Poseidon and Just My Luck. Poseidon should make around $21m and JML around $6.5m.

I'm glad to see MI3 at #1 again though. I saw it last night and thought it was a great action movie.

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Sat May 13, 2006 1:30 pm
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Jordan Mugen-Honda
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A major let down from Posiedon. MI3 looks like beating it to number 1 this weekend which is something i doubt anyone seriously saw happening.

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Sat May 13, 2006 1:37 pm
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Extraordinary
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Wow. In 750 theatres and Art School Confidential didn't pull a top ten spot. It must have performed pretty poorly. Too bad. I'm checking it out today.


Sat May 13, 2006 1:50 pm
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Were most people predicting upwards of $30 mill for Poseidon?

Fools!

It looked awful from trailer 1.


Sat May 13, 2006 1:54 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Magnus101 wrote:
The Dark Shape wrote:
Why is everybody expecting Poseidon to manage a 3x multiplier?


Because it got such a low OD that it has to manage to get something 3x multiplier.


With that kind of reasoning, I have even more faith in my Superman Returns prediction.

Seriously, that makes no sense.


Sat May 13, 2006 1:57 pm
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Extraordinary
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As an Exorcist freak (and someone who loves to give Baumer shit on his opinion of the franchise and love of Poseidon), I'd love to pull out this little number.

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Poseidon $7.2 million
Exorcist: The Beginning $7.4 million


Sat May 13, 2006 1:57 pm
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Star Trek XI
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Projections :
MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE III ...24.8
POSEIDON ..........20.8
RV ..........8.9
JUST MY LUCK ..........6.3
AN AMERICAN HAUNTING.....4
UNITED 93 ..........3.6
STICK IT ...........3.3
GOAL! THE DREAM BEGINS...1.9
AKEELAH AND THE BEE........1.8 +-
THE SENTINEL.....................1.5 +-


Sat May 13, 2006 2:02 pm
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The reasoning for a 3 multiplier, is apparently there was no rush factor to see poseidon, there were no big midnight screenings. meaning this is more or less like an average teen flick. I dont see why it can't pull a 3 multiplier. Im thinking around a 25% today.

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Sat May 13, 2006 2:06 pm
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College Boy Z

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Um, there were 10:00pm showings as well. I think it'll increase today, actually, but I see a multiplier around 2.8-2.9x. I'm sure a 3x multiplier is possible, but it's not because "the opening day wasn't that great, so it has to have a big multiplier."


Sat May 13, 2006 2:07 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
Um, there were 10:00pm showings as well. I think it'll increase today, actually, but I see a multiplier around 2.8-2.9x. I'm sure a 3x multiplier is possible, but it's not because "the opening day wasn't that great, so it has to have a big multiplier."


Well I agree with you on that, that is a poor reasoning, notice I didnt say that. mine is more a matter of demographic and anticipation.

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Sat May 13, 2006 2:09 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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BJs Projections:

1. Mission Impossible III - 26.15m -46%
2. Poseidon - 21.4m
3. R.V. - 8.75m -20%
4. Just My Luck - 6.8m
5. An American Haunting - 3.8m -35%
6. United 93 - 3.5m -34%
7. Stick It - 3.2m
8. Ice Age: The Meltdown - 2.6m -38%
9. Silent Hill - 2.4m -40%
10. Goal: The Dream Begins - 1.5m

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Sat May 13, 2006 2:19 pm
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College Boy Z

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Magnus, you have no reasoning behind it. That's the point. It doesn't help to say, "if Poseidon opened to $20 million yesterday, it wouldn't do this" and "if Poseidon had a $1 million opening day, it'd do this."


Sat May 13, 2006 2:24 pm
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King Albert!
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dolcevita wrote:
Wow. In 750 theatres and Art School Confidential didn't pull a top ten spot. It must have performed pretty poorly. Too bad. I'm checking it out today.


My theater did only 60 people the whole day.

And BTW, I really liked it alot. If you liked Ghost World, then you will like this one.

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Sat May 13, 2006 2:42 pm
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King Albert!
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Also, the one good thing about Poseidon getting a low gross is: I won the bet with my manager. Now I don't have to buy him a Red Bull.

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Sat May 13, 2006 3:04 pm
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Ergh, stupid Poseidon.

Thank god we have Da Vinci next week.

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Sat May 13, 2006 3:08 pm
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Shack wrote:
Thank god we have Da Vinci next week.



Oh, the ironing!

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Sat May 13, 2006 3:09 pm
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Extraordinary

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BOM Friday:

1 MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE III $7,450,000
2 POSEIDON $7,300,000
3 RV $2,335,000
4 JUST MY LUCK $2,000,000
5 AN AMERICAN HAUNTING $1,145,000
6 STICK IT $1,125,000
7 UNITED 93 $1,010,000
8 GOAL! THE DREAM BEGINS $675,000
9 SILENT HILL $665,000
10 ICE AGE: THE MELTDOWN $620,000
11 SCARY MOVIE 4 $605,000
12 HOOT $585,000
13 AKEELAH AND THE BEE $535,000
14 THE SENTINEL $430,000

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Sat May 13, 2006 3:12 pm
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Extraordinary

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Akeelah and Sentinel both held up well given the theater loss. I'd project $2.0m for the former and $1.5m for the latter.

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Sat May 13, 2006 3:14 pm
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King Albert!
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That's a lower than expected drop for Hoot as well.

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Sat May 13, 2006 3:21 pm
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Sbil

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Poseidon fell flat, as expected. Warners is going to have to hope for some big international numbers from that one.

Mission Impossible held up fairly well, all things considered. It may be able to hit at least $135-140M.

Lindsay Lohan's drawing power has faded. A lame premise and almost no appeal to males probably didn't help.


Sat May 13, 2006 3:34 pm
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Sbil

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It should be noted how well RV has held up so far. It's only down 21% from last Friday, and will probably have an even better drop for the weekend itself. It has totally monopolized the family market, which bodes well for Over the Hedge.


Sat May 13, 2006 3:46 pm
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