Yahoo Review Thread - 2010
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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A tiny 3.3% increase for a PG-13 film in late October shows a great deal of frontloadedness. I think O's projected scenario is quite reasonable.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 8:05 pm |
 
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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RogueONE wrote: So even with a ratio of 250, SM4 is looking like $18-$20 million opening day, right? Yes, it should break 5,000 in raw reviews. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 8:06 pm |
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headcrush
Angels & Demons
Joined: Mon Sep 12, 2005 7:06 pm
Posts: 216
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DP07 wrote: I'm thinking at least 15% on Saturday, maybe even over 20%. It's even better for Friday then the summer, and movies like this do drop 15% in July. What movies? American Pie II fell 5%, American Wedding fell 7%, Bad Boys II fell 4%, Austin Powers Goldmember fell 3%.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 8:41 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Magnus101 wrote: xiayun wrote: A tiny 3.3% increase for a PG-13 film in late October shows a great deal of frontloadedness. I think O's projected scenario is quite reasonable. It shows fontloadness no doubt but I don't think it shows enough that SM4 will drop more than 15% tommorow. Malibu's Most Wanted dropped over 20%, and this one will be more frontloaded then that. Really, even a drop over 25% is possible now that I think of it.
Last edited by DP07 on Fri Apr 14, 2006 8:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 8:42 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40278
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Scary Movie 4 - 4197, +150, B+
The Wild - 432, +16, C+
Thank You for Smoking - 1746, 434 Friday, +17, B
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 8:43 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Look like Thank You for Smoking will end up with more reviews than The Wild as it will continue to pull away at night.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 8:49 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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headcrush wrote: DP07 wrote: I'm thinking at least 15% on Saturday, maybe even over 20%. It's even better for Friday then the summer, and movies like this do drop 15% in July. What movies? American Pie II fell 5%, American Wedding fell 7%, Bad Boys II fell 4%, Austin Powers Goldmember fell 3%. Anchorman, AVP, The Village, Dukes of Hazzard are examples, and even Mr. Deeds was 10% without that much frontloading. None of the ones you list were as frontloaded as SM except maybe Goldmember, and that would have dropped more if not for the Thursday sneaks.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 8:57 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40278
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Malibu dropped bad, but on the other hand The Whole Ten Yards fell -9% and Hellboy increased +8%. SM4 will drop -15% likely, but with the solid WOM I'd say -25% is pushing it.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 8:57 pm |
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headcrush
Angels & Demons
Joined: Mon Sep 12, 2005 7:06 pm
Posts: 216
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DP07 wrote: headcrush wrote: DP07 wrote: I'm thinking at least 15% on Saturday, maybe even over 20%. It's even better for Friday then the summer, and movies like this do drop 15% in July. What movies? American Pie II fell 5%, American Wedding fell 7%, Bad Boys II fell 4%, Austin Powers Goldmember fell 3%. Anchorman, AVP, The Village, Dukes of Hazzard are examples, and even Mr. Deeds was 10% without that much frontloading. None of the ones you list were as frontloaded as SM except maybe Goldmember, and that would have dropped more if not for the Thursday sneaks. All the movies I named are comedy sequels.
Anchorman fell 10%, not 15%. Village and AVP are not comedies (Village had awful word of mouth too; Signs, a much better film, went up 3%).
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 9:08 pm |
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Horlicks
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:37 am
Posts: 240
Location: Toronto
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headcrush wrote: DP07 wrote: headcrush wrote: DP07 wrote: I'm thinking at least 15% on Saturday, maybe even over 20%. It's even better for Friday then the summer, and movies like this do drop 15% in July. What movies? American Pie II fell 5%, American Wedding fell 7%, Bad Boys II fell 4%, Austin Powers Goldmember fell 3%. Anchorman, AVP, The Village, Dukes of Hazzard are examples, and even Mr. Deeds was 10% without that much frontloading. None of the ones you list were as frontloaded as SM except maybe Goldmember, and that would have dropped more if not for the Thursday sneaks. All the movies I named are comedy sequels. Anchorman fell 10%, not 15%. Village and AVP are not comedies (Village had awful word of mouth too; Signs, a much better film, went up 3%). Regardless...its easter weekend and its a heavily anticipated sequel. I'd be surprised to see this break 2.6 IM for the weekend. Hell it might even drop as low as 2.3-2.4
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 9:25 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Scary Movie 4 - 4455, +258, B+
The Wild - 451, +19, C+
Thank You for Smoking - 1773, 461 Friday, +27, B
The Wild is really falling off the pace now. It's almost certain to not reach 600 reviews. Look like a $5m day.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 9:37 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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xiayun wrote: Scary Movie 4 - 4455, +258, B+ The Wild - 451, +19, C+ Thank You for Smoking - 1773, 461 Friday, +27, B The Wild is really falling off the pace now. It's almost certain to not reach 600 reviews. Look like a $5m day. Fuck, I should have went low on that turd 
Well atleast SM4 stands a chance at breaking 50m this wknd  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 10:33 pm |
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teenman
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Fri Nov 12, 2004 1:10 pm
Posts: 510
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Scary Movie 4 - 5011, +556, B+
The Wild - 503, +52, C+
Thank You for Smoking - 1817, 505 Friday, +44, B
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 10:39 pm |
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Bryan_smith
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed Nov 24, 2004 7:13 pm
Posts: 2120
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Awsome for SM4.. at this point its looking at a 20-24 million OD.
I still think that the Wild can pull off a 6 million Friday
_________________
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 10:42 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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predicts yet?
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 10:42 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Thank god I predicted only $12M for The Wild.
Alas, I underpredicted SM4 by possibly $10M. 
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 10:45 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Scary Movie 4 - 5336, +325, B+
The Wild - 538, +35, C+
Thank You for Smoking - 1839, 527 Friday, +22, B
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 11:36 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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SM4 could finish above 7000. Amazing.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 11:48 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Looks great for SM4.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 11:48 pm |
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banjo6
Speed Racer
Joined: Fri Dec 17, 2004 5:23 pm
Posts: 143
Location: Virginia
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My theater which always is well above the average for kids movies only did $1,500 for The Wild today. Even with that it'd be a $4.2 million opening day. So I'd say it would be more around a $1,200 PTA for the Wild which would translate into a $3.4 opening day. Ice Age 2 easily doubled what The Wild was able to do today at my theater.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 11:51 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Scary Movie 4 - 5453, +117, B+
The Wild - 540, +2, C+
Thank You for Smoking - 1846, 534 Friday, +7, B
Looks like The Wild is pretty much done with, being a kids film. Very poor.
PEACE, Mike.
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| Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:41 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Hopefully, The Wild doesn't make much more than $5 million today. It'd be perfect for my $11.9 million prediction for the derby, along with my $45 million prediction for SM4.
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| Sat Apr 15, 2006 12:44 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Scary Movie 4 - 5637, +184, B+
The Wild - 554, +14, C+
Thank You for Smoking - 1874, 562 Friday, +28, B
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Apr 15, 2006 1:54 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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I hope The Wild has a higher than normal ratio... you know... because it would help me tremendously
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Sat Apr 15, 2006 2:09 am |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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 Here's a good one from EW:
Quote: That'll help boost the box office of the weekend's other wide opener, Disney's The Wild, which'll bring in $23 mil, besting Ice Age: The Meltdown's third-weekend take of $13.5 mil.
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| Sat Apr 15, 2006 2:23 am |
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