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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32578
Location: the last free city
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excel wrote: war woulda gotten 250 if the slump hadnt occured. it wasn't the slump. it was the movie.
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| Mon Apr 24, 2006 5:54 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Just because there's an open market doesn't mean War of the Worlds was a lock for $300+ million total.
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| Mon Apr 24, 2006 6:36 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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The slump can't be blamed for why Sith only did $380 m, Madagascar did $180 m +, and Longest Yard did $150 m +...
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| Mon Apr 24, 2006 6:42 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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$250 m wasn't a lock, considering the last Spielberg/Cruise collaboration was a "lock" for $250 m pre summer, but then ended up doing half of that. Even $200 m wasn't a lock for it...
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| Mon Apr 24, 2006 7:06 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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The difference between $234 million and $250 million is not big enough to be disappointed. It still was the second biggest film of the summer, even if it didn't reach some overly-hyped expectations. That's how I see it.
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| Mon Apr 24, 2006 7:47 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Folks, come on.. Tom Cruise has pretty well proven that his personal life and the antics he pulls doesn't affect the movie's he's in 1 bit.. Because of that, MI:3 is a guaranteed LOCK for at least 250 Million just like WOTW did..
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| Mon Apr 24, 2006 10:44 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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War of the Worlds made $234 million, BKB.
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| Mon Apr 24, 2006 10:47 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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pirates 2 is the summer only film that is a lock for 250 million pre-may. at this point ill say mi3 is a lock for 200 million...though i really havent seen many tvb ads. n joke, ive seen more trailrrs for poseidon then mi3 on tv.
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| Mon Apr 24, 2006 11:04 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Tracking at $88M?
Dayum.
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| Mon Apr 24, 2006 11:10 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Zingaling wrote: War of the Worlds made $234 million, BKB.
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| Tue Apr 25, 2006 12:34 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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I'm standing by my original prediction...
bradley witherberry wrote: Wow - I can't believe people are predicting Mi:III lower than the DaVinci Code! What a mixed up crazy world we live in.
85/330
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| Tue Apr 25, 2006 1:04 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Mission Impossible 3:
Opening Weekend- $81.2 mil
Final Total- $243.6 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Tue Apr 25, 2006 1:21 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Sad Clown wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: I am setting up my Paypal account as of now, by the way. Expecting the transfer of Roid's money soon  Oh so if the weekend sees 60 million and less, you would forfeit your money?  Never underestimate the nuttyness of Cruise to drive bad press for the film No, I think it can easily grab a 2.5 multiplier even then. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Apr 25, 2006 1:45 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Given the way RS overestimated RV (just watch, it won't reach 20m this weekend), I suspect RS tends to overestimate awareness. I'm sure they have 88m because awareness is as high as can be, but if people don't want to see it for one reason or another, they won't, and the BO will be lower.
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| Tue Apr 25, 2006 2:17 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32578
Location: the last free city
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Positive Jon wrote: Tracking at $88M?
Dayum. it is 
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| Tue Apr 25, 2006 2:31 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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| Tue Apr 25, 2006 7:37 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Yeah, I think RS is a lot more about awareness and name recognitions, and once you reach that 99-100% awareness level, they can't really distinguish much. For example, HP4 was tracked at $88M too.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Tue Apr 25, 2006 9:04 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32578
Location: the last free city
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yeah one of his best ones.
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| Tue Apr 25, 2006 10:07 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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That is pretty clever..
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| Wed Apr 26, 2006 12:08 am |
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Bell
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:02 am
Posts: 1906
Location: Middle Of Nowhere
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it could open up to 80 million north i think.
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| Wed Apr 26, 2006 12:23 pm |
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GCC
The Dark Knight
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 5:11 pm
Posts: 777
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If U93 ends up being the big break out hit it might be, it's going to KILL Cruise & Co.!
I've talked to a few friends and the majority would rather see U93 over MI3.
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| Wed Apr 26, 2006 12:29 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32578
Location: the last free city
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SFERIC wrote: I've talked to a few friends and the majority would rather see U93 over MI3. Your friends suck  knock em on the head for me.
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| Wed Apr 26, 2006 12:35 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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SFERIC wrote: If U93 ends up being the big break out hit it might be, it's going to KILL Cruise & Co.!
I've talked to a few friends and the majority would rather see U93 over MI3. M:I-3 will gross at least three times as much as U93, probably four times as much... _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Apr 26, 2006 3:02 pm |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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Moriarty on AICN says of MI3: "M:I3 is, for all intents and purposes, a really big-budget retelling of the ALIAS pilot with Tom Cruise playing Jennifer Garner". Something tells me this movie will be very popular on this forum.
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| Wed Apr 26, 2006 3:21 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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Dr. Lecter wrote: SFERIC wrote: If U93 ends up being the big break out hit it might be, it's going to KILL Cruise & Co.!
I've talked to a few friends and the majority would rather see U93 over MI3. M:I-3 will gross at least three times as much as U93, probably four times as much... I agree. I think MI:3 is being underpredicted. It will kick ass.
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| Wed Apr 26, 2006 3:52 pm |
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