I'd be willing to bet this one's torture scene will be much more harsh and brutal. From what I've heard, it's the most famous part of the source material.

Maybe it won't be R, but even with PG-13 I still don't think it'll pass Happy Feet. And 40 is certainly not the mininum. Die Another opened to 47, with Brosnan's uber popularity. World Is Not Enough got 35, TND 25, Goldeneye 26. Everything non Brosnan hasn't passed 11.1. Even with inflation, still. Bond is popular, but not huge. Considering Craig is bounding into new territory, and the fact that this one is taking a much gritter approach, it could land around 30 mil OW. I don't think Happy Feet will have much problem.

X3?

I actually think X-Men movies have weak legs. Could we actually see Pirates take top spot, drop to second place the following weekend, and then regain spot #1 in ita third and fourth week in release?

X3 is released wayyyy before Pirates.

X3 - May 26th

Pirates - July 7th

Pirates has a free ride after it crushes Sups opening wknd X-3 will be totaly dead by the time Pirates rolls in and makes every other film fall 50%-60% opening wknd

I actually think Casino Royale doesn't have too much buzz right now. If I walked to my friends right now and dropped the name, they'd have no idea what I was talking about. Daniel Craig isn't really a household name where I live.

No trailer = No big buzz...yet.

Happy Feet will dance all over Casino Royal, Bond doesnt stand a chance.

I don't think it's realistic to think Casino Royale is guaranteed to make $40 million opening weekend because Die Another Day did, a film that had a popular Bond and didn't have negative buzz so early.

Don't expect the public to take him in so easily just because of "curiousity." I think Casino Royale will make $40 million, but it's not a lock because of "curiousity." We act like people like to dish out money for no reason these days.

Happy Feet will absolutely OWN, Bond doesnt stand a chance.

You're not understanding what I'm saying here. Scary Movie is a franchise where teenagers know what they're in for. With Bond, people reeeally loved Brosnan as Bond. Box-office sales prove that. Now, there's a big change in the franchise. Not everyone likes certain changes. Yeah, if the trailer is good and Craig can make himself into a believable Bond, it should make $40 million easily. If not? Hell no.

no doubt

u think it's a lock now.

I say Pirates pulls it off. Lady in the Water WILL be hurt by The Village, and open to $25-30M to Pirates' $35-40M.

Happy Feet should be able do it, unless Nativity breaks out somehow.

D'oh. I meant Da Vinci Code!

You guys think Da Vinci Code might take top spot, drop to second, and then reclaim the pole position in weekend #3 of its release?

The Da Vinci Code is in for a $70m+ opening.
It will hold well because of its target audience. The majority of first weekenders will be much younger than the primary audience. So the film will stick around for a while

In my opinion its the best bet for $300m+ this year.

Its possible, but it'll have to open to $85M+, X3 will have to open to less then $90M, and The Break-Up will have to stay below $30M (Which is likely, but Vaughn is hot Post-Crashers, so don't underestimate it). I'd say it won't happen, but X3 will fall below it by Weekend 3.

I can see maybe World Trade Center pulling it off since august seems to be very weak. Its only obstacle is Snakes on a Plane

get a grip, clown.... a downer movie on tops for three weeks???
============================================
a size 14 shoe....

i don;t think anyone cares about that movie anymore. The moments passed.

Cars possibly. What comes out on its 3rd weekend?

Nevermind. Just looked on BOM and saw that Click comes out. Darn! I was hoping it be number one for 3 weeks instead of some Sandler movie being number one!

CLICK i think? Which means it won't happen.

Eragon could do it if Charlottes Web fails to open at number one due to the fact theres nothing its 3rd week. But I think Charolettes Web could easily be number one.
I think Pirates has the best chance.

5 wknds for Pirates 2:

Opening Wknd:
1. The Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Mans Chest - 154m
2. Superman Returns - 50m -58%
3. Click - 12m -55%
4. Cars - 10.0m -50%
5. Little Man - 8m
6. The Lake House - 4.0m -50%
7. Garfield's Tale of Two Kitties - 3.8m -64%
8. The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift - 3.6m -66%
9. The Da Vinci Code - 2.4m -56%
10. The Breakup - 2.2m -55%


2nd Wknd:
1. The Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Mans Chest - 80m -48.5%
2. Superman Returns - 30.0m -40%
3. You Me and Dupree - 30m
4. Pathfinder 16m
5. Pulse - 14m
6. Click - 8.5m -30%
7. Cars - 8.0m -20%
8. Little Man - 4.5m -45%
9. The Lake House - 3.0m -25%
10. The Da Vinci Code - 1.85m -20%

3rd Wknd:
1. The Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Mans Chest - 50m -36%
2. Lady in the Water - 40m
3. You Me and Dupree - 24m -20%
4. Superman Returns - 20m -34%
5. Monster House - 18.5m
6. Super Ex-Girlfriend - 18m
7. Pathfinder - 8.8m -45%
8. Pulse - 6.4m -54%
9. Cars - 6.0 -25%
10. Click - 5.0m -40%

4th Wknd:
1. The Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Mans Chest - 30m -40%
2. Miami Vice - 30m
3. Lady in the Water - 24m -40%
4. You Me and Dupree - 16.8m -30%
5. Superman Returns - 14.25m -28%
6. Monster House - 12m -34%
7. Super Ex-Girfriend - 11.5m -36%
8. John Tucker Mush Die - 10m
9. I could be Your Woman - 8.5m
10. Pathfinder - 4.6m -48%

5th Wknd:
1. The Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Mans Chest - 20.5m -34%
2. Miami Vice - 18.5m -38%
3. The Ant Bully - 16m
4. Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby - 15m
5. Lady in the Water - 14.8m -38%
6. You Me and Dupree - 12.8m -24%
7. Superman Returns - 10m -30%
8. Fearless - 8m
9. Monster House - 7.2m -40%
10. Super Ex-Girlfriend - 6.0m -48%