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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Posideon within 15m of The Da Vinci Code? MI3 85m ahead of it? 
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 4:23 pm |
 
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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 Re: David Poland Predicts the Summer Box Office Totals yoshue wrote: http://www.moviecitynews.com/columnists/poland/2006/060413_chart.html
My only comment is: he's nuts if he thinks DaVinci tops off at $135 million. 135m is not low for a talk-heavy adult drama with very little action, in which the lead has a terrible hair cut. 
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 4:26 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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Re: David Poland Predicts the Summer Box Office Totals Archie Gates wrote: yoshue wrote: http://www.moviecitynews.com/columnists/poland/2006/060413_chart.html
My only comment is: he's nuts if he thinks DaVinci tops off at $135 million. 135m is not low for a talk-heavy adult drama with very little action, in which the lead has a terrible hair cut. Tell that to Sixth Sense
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 4:34 pm |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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Re: David Poland Predicts the Summer Box Office Totals baumer72 wrote: Archie Gates wrote: yoshue wrote: http://www.moviecitynews.com/columnists/poland/2006/060413_chart.html
My only comment is: he's nuts if he thinks DaVinci tops off at $135 million. 135m is not low for a talk-heavy adult drama with very little action, in which the lead has a terrible hair cut. Tell that to Sixth Sense All that proves is that a movie like that is capable of breaking out, which I agree DVC could. But you can't count on that.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 5:10 pm |
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Skyblade
Wall-E
Joined: Sat Jan 07, 2006 6:07 am
Posts: 883
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As I understand it, Poland didn't think the second X-Men wouldn't do much more than the first one, and is convinced that still would have been the case if it and the Hulk exchanged places.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 5:53 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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Sad Clown wrote: David Poland is in the Superman under 250 million club 
And is not in the POTC2 $500M club.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 6:24 pm |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
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baumer72 wrote: Snrub wrote: With possibly the exception of X-Men (it could, and probably will, finish below $200 million, but $160 seems a bit low considering it's almost guaranteed an opening above $70 million), these all seem quite reasonable. He's clearly given it a bit of thought. It's actually the worst bit of box office prediting I've seen in quite sometime. If this is what the summer actually musters, then Hollywood is in trouble. X-Men will make closer to 200 than 150 and to say that Davinci makes a miniscule 135 is a joke. He put thought into these predictions? Sure, maybe while he was taking a shit he thought about writing the column, otherwise, this is a joke. I agree that X-men will make closer to 200 than 150. But Da Vinci's very much a wild card at the mo'. I don't doubt it'll cross $100 million. But I can't see it being the breakout hit everyone here seems to think. Personally, I think $150 will be tops.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 6:27 pm |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
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Re: David Poland Predicts the Summer Box Office Totals baumer72 wrote: Archie Gates wrote: yoshue wrote: http://www.moviecitynews.com/columnists/poland/2006/060413_chart.html
My only comment is: he's nuts if he thinks DaVinci tops off at $135 million. 135m is not low for a talk-heavy adult drama with very little action, in which the lead has a terrible hair cut. Tell that to Sixth Sense Tell that to V for Vendetta.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 6:31 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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jb007 wrote: Sad Clown wrote: David Poland is in the Superman under 250 million club And is not in the POTC2 $500M club. That's a good thing considering his other predictions. 
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:03 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Id love for Da Vinci Code to disapoint - but it aint gonna happen. DaVinci is looking at $200m as a minimum. Thats a ridiculous set of numbers from Poland - his worst yet. Anyone have his predictions from last year so we can compare?
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:28 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Domino at 107m. heh
I wish.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:41 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Magnus101 wrote: MadGez wrote: Id love for Da Vinci Code to disapoint - but it aint gonna happen. DaVinci is looking at $200m as a minimum. Thats a ridiculous set of numbers from Poland - his worst yet. Anyone have his predictions from last year so we can compare? Over-predicted ROTS(though not by that much. 9.2% more is an ok guess), WOTW(by a lot), Mad.(by a lot), BB(not by that much), nailed TLY, overpreidcted Cinderlla Man by a lot, COMPLETLEY MISSED XXX2 & Charlie & F4 & Smith. I remember even last year saying to myself, "you know...only ROTS looks like the most accurate predict". Same thing I'm saying about his predicts this year, except I think only POTC2 is an accurate predict The funny thing looking back at those predictions was that he should have switched Kicking and Screaming ($100 m) w/ Virgin ($50 m).
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:46 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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DP07 wrote: jb007 wrote: Sad Clown wrote: David Poland is in the Superman under 250 million club And is not in the POTC2 $500M club. That's a good thing considering his other predictions. Yep.
This year Poland's predictions look way off. There is no way The DaVinci Code does only $135M.
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Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006
The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 8:12 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Magnus101 wrote: MadGez wrote: Id love for Da Vinci Code to disapoint - but it aint gonna happen. DaVinci is looking at $200m as a minimum. Thats a ridiculous set of numbers from Poland - his worst yet. Anyone have his predictions from last year so we can compare? Over-predicted ROTS(though not by that much. 9.2% more is an ok guess), WOTW(by a lot), Mad.(by a lot), BB(not by that much), nailed TLY, overpreidcted Cinderlla Man by a lot, COMPLETLEY MISSED XXX2 & Charlie & F4 & Smith. I remember even last year saying to myself, "you know...only ROTS looks like the most accurate predict". Same thing I'm saying about his predicts this year, except I think only POTC2 is an accurate predict wow a bit of a mixed bag. But I think better than his predictions this year. XXX2 - in hindsight that is so laughable. Domino _________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 9:14 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: David Poland Predicts the Summer Box Office Totals Snrub wrote: baumer72 wrote: Archie Gates wrote: yoshue wrote: http://www.moviecitynews.com/columnists/poland/2006/060413_chart.html
My only comment is: he's nuts if he thinks DaVinci tops off at $135 million. 135m is not low for a talk-heavy adult drama with very little action, in which the lead has a terrible hair cut. Tell that to Sixth Sense Tell that to V for Vendetta. lol
Who wants to go see a movie about politics? Especially church politics?!?
The super optimistic people here are getting scared about their DaVinci Code predictions...
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| Sat Apr 15, 2006 6:55 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40599
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Err, do you even know what the movie is about?
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat Apr 15, 2006 3:39 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Shack wrote: Err, do you even know what the movie is about? Sure -- church politics, conspiracies, etc. -- big deal. It's not the second coming...
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| Sat Apr 15, 2006 5:17 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: David Poland Predicts the Summer Box Office Totals yoshue wrote: http://www.moviecitynews.com/columnists/poland/2006/060413_chart.html
My only comment is: he's nuts if he thinks DaVinci tops off at $135 million. 
this guy needs to learn how to predict, bleh  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Apr 15, 2006 5:40 pm |
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