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 April 14 - 16 Predictions! 
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Killing With Kindness
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Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs Predictions:

1. Scary Movie 4 - 45m
2. Ice Age: The Meltdown - 19m
3. The Wild - 16m
4. The Benchwarmers - 10.4m
5. Take the Lead - 6.9m
6. Inside Man - 4.6m
7. Thank You for Smoking - 4.2m
8. Lucky Number Slevin - 4.0m
9. Failure to Launch - 2.4m
10. V for Vendetta - 1.6m

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Fri Apr 14, 2006 1:39 am
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King Albert!
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Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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My Predicton.

Scary Movie 4 - 42.5m ($11800 pta)
Ice Age 2 - 18.6m (-45%)
The Wild - 12.8m ($4500 pta)
Benchwarmers - 9.6m (-51%)
Take the Lead - 6.7m (-44%)
Inside Man - 4.9m (-46%)
Thank You For Smoking - 4.4m ($4300 pta)
Lucky Number Slevin - 3.8m (-46%)
Failure to Launch - 2.5m (-39%)
V for Vendetta - 1.7m (-50%)

Top ten - 107.5m

Scary Movie will get a pta slightly lower thanks to Sunday.
Ice Age will lose some people to wild.
The Wild should do Home on the Range like business
Benchwarmers will get killed by Scary Movie 4.
Take the Lead's midweek has been a bit iffy.
Inside Man will drop this much thanks to theater loss.
Thank You For Smoking will still perform well in big cities, but will have trouble in smaller cities.
Lucky Number Sliven will have the normal drop for a thriller.
Failure will drop a bit more thanks to highten competition.
V will suffer thanks to theater loss.

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Fri Apr 14, 2006 3:58 am
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KJ's Leading Pundit
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
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Munky's Derby:

1. Scary Movie 4- $41.1 mil
2. Ice Age: The Meltdown- $18.5 mil
3. The Benchwarmers- $8.9 mil
4. The Wild- $7.4 mil
5. Take the Lead- $6.3 mil
6. Thank You for Smoking- $5.6 mil
7. Inside Man- $4.8 mil
8. Lucky Number Slevin- $3.3 mil
9. Failure to Launch- $2.8 mil
10. V for Vendetta- $1.9 mil

Top 10 Total: $100.6 mil

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Fri Apr 14, 2006 4:01 am
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Wall-E

Joined: Thu Nov 03, 2005 7:11 pm
Posts: 898
Post Just come across..
http://www.bet365.com has a Over/Under 42 million for Scary Movie 4 in there 'specials' section.

That's close to where I see it.


Fri Apr 14, 2006 4:08 am
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Full Fledged Member

Joined: Sat Apr 01, 2006 6:03 am
Posts: 93
Location: My Own Private Idaho
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My Derby Predictions

1. Scary Movie 4 - 48.2
2. Ice Age 2 - 19.8
3. The Wild - 17.2
4. The Benchwarmers - 10.2
5. Take the Lead - 7.5
6. Inside Man - 5.4
7. Thank You For Smoking - 4.7
8. Lucky Number Slevin - 3.9
9. Failure to Launch - 2.6
10. V for Vendetta - 1.9

I like Scary Movie 1 and 3 and hated 2 but how did this franchise become so financially stable. If it does past 40.0 mil. that means 2 in a row. Shocking!


Fri Apr 14, 2006 4:11 am
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loyalfromlondon
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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I'm sorta drunk right now, but I'll see if I can get these right:

1. Scary Movie 4 - $45 million ($12,500 PTA)
2. Ice Age: The Meltdown - $20.3 million (-40%)
3. The Wild - $12.8 million ($4,500 PTA)
4. The Benchwarmers - $10.8 million (-45%)
5. Take the Lead - $7.2 million (-40%)
6. Inside Man - $5.5 million (-40%)
7. Thank You For Smoking - $4.1 million ($4,000 PTA)
8. Lucky Number Slevin - $3.5 million (-50%)
9. Failure to Launch - $2.7 million (-35%)
10. V for Vendetta - $2 million (-40%)

Woah, that took me a lot longer than it should have. If you'll excuse me, I'm gonna go pass out now.

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Fri Apr 14, 2006 4:44 am
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
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1. Scary Movie 4 - 41.8m
2. Ice Age: The Meltdown - 16.4m
3. The Wild - 16.2m
4. The Benchwarmers - 9.8m
5. Take the Lead - 6.5m
6. Inside Man - 5.3m
7. Lucky Number Slevin - 3.9m
8. Thank You for Smoking - 3.6m
9. Failure to Launch - 2.3m
10. V for Vendetta - 1.8m

Ice Age 2's dailies continue to be weak. It's already behind the original's daily pattern.

Looking at past years Easter weekend seems to hurt family films, have a bit of a negative effect on romantic comedies, and it might have a slight positive effect on adult films. So, I went slightly higher on IM and V, a bit lower on FTL, and lower on IA2.


Fri Apr 14, 2006 4:58 am
Profile ICQ
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Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 10:14 am
Posts: 55
Location: Moskow, Russia
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Derby:
Scary Movie 4 - 42.9
Ice Age: The Meltdown - 18.3
The Wild - 15.1
The Benchwarmers - 9.9
Take the Lead - 7.1
Inside Man - 5.2
Thank You for Smoking - 4.8
Lucky Number Slevin - 3.9
Failure to Launch - 2.4
V For Vendetta - 1.5


Fri Apr 14, 2006 5:14 am
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Final Predictions
1. Scary Movie 4 - $47.9 million
2. Ice Age 2 - $19.4 million
3. The Wild - $13.0 million
4. The Benchwarmers - $9.4 million
5. Take the Lead - $7.0 million
6. Inside Man - $5.6 million
7. Thank You for Smoking - $4.5 million
8. Lucky Number Slevin - $3.8 million
9. Failure to Launch - $2.9 million
10. V for Vendetta - $2.0 million


Fri Apr 14, 2006 11:48 am
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Cream of the Crop
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Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:44 am
Posts: 2375
Location: Cairo, Egypt
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1- Scary Movie 4 - 40.5
2- Ice Age: The Meltdown - 20.6
3- The Wild - 14.9
4- The Benchwarmers - 10.4
5- Take the Lead - 7.7
6- Inside Man - 5.5
7- Lucky Number Slevin - 4.2
8- Thank You for Smoking - 3.5
9- Failure to Launch - 2.7
10- V for Vendetta - 1.9


Fri Apr 14, 2006 12:08 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Final Predictions
1. Scary Movie 4 - $45.1 million (NEW)
2. Ice Age: The Meltdown - $19.6 million (-42%)
3. The Wild - $11.9 million (NEW)
4. The Benchwarmers - $10.4 million (-47%)
5. Take the Lead - $6.7 million (-44%)
6. Inside Man - $5.4 million (-41%)
7. Thank You for Smoking - $4.1 million (+78%)
8. Lucky Number Slevin - $3.8 million (-46%)
9. Failure to Launch - $2.6 million (-37%)
10. V for Vendetta - $1.9 million (-45%)

I kinda went against my instincts on the holdovers this week. From what I calculated using last year's increases/decreases on Easter weekend, I couldn't get a weekend higher than $17 million for Ice Age II.


Fri Apr 14, 2006 12:48 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 1051
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final derby predictions:

1. Scary Movie 4 $42.5 mill
2. Ice Age: The Meltdown $20.3 mill
3. The Wild $15.3 mill
4. The Benchwarmers $10.5 mill
5. Take the Lead $7.1 mill
6. Inside Man $5.6 mill
7. Thank You for Smoking $4.3 mill
8. Lucky Number Slevin $3.9 mill
9. Failure to Launch $2.6 mill
10. V for Vendetta $1.9 mill


Fri Apr 14, 2006 1:09 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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My Predictions!

1. Scary Movie 4- $43.6M
2. Ice Age: The Meltdown- $21.1M
3. The Wild- $14.8M
4. The Benchwarmers- $10.6M
5. Take the Lead- $7.3M
6. Inside Man- $5.4M
7. Thank You for Smoking- $4.2M
8. Lucky Number Slevin- $3.5M
9. Failure to Launch- $2.4M
10. ATL- $1.8M
11. V for Vendettea- $1.8M
12. Phat Girlz -$1.3M
***Friends With Money- $0.376K

i think i overpredicted Ice Age quite a bit :unsure:


Fri Apr 14, 2006 1:59 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Derby Predictions:

Scary Movie 4 - $43.2 million
Ice Age - $17.8 million
The Wild - $11.4 million
The Benchwarmers - $8.9 million
Take the Lead - $6.5 million
Inside Man - $5.5 million
Thank You for Smoking - $4.3 million
Lucky Number Slevin - $3.8 million
Failure to Launch - $2.4 million
V for Vendetta - $1.9 million

PEACE, Mike.


Fri Apr 14, 2006 2:28 pm
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Kiera Knightly is my lady!
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
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Location: New Mexico
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Okay I admit it I underestimated SM4 and over on Wild. (I guess I was just hoping SM4 would be low)

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Fri Apr 14, 2006 3:03 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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My predictions:

1. Scary Movie 4 – 42.0
2. Ice Age: The Meltdown – 18.0
3. The Wild – 13.5
4. The Benchwarmers – 10.0
5. Take the Lead – 6.4
6. Inside Man – 5.1
7. Thank You for Smoking – 4.5
8. Lucky Number Slevin – 3.9
9. Failure to Launch – 2.2
10. V for Vendetta – 1.8

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American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Fri Apr 14, 2006 5:37 pm
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