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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Disney.
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 1:28 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Disney (there is always a surprise hit emerging out of somewhere aside from the two obvious hits).
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 1:33 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40247
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Disney.
Either POTC2 or Cars might beat the WB's trio alone.
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 1:37 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Oh, I forgot to take into account WB's full line-up.
WB
Poseidon - $135 million
The Lake House - $40 million (Keanu Reeves, Sandra Bullock chick flick)
Superman Returns - $215 million
Lady in the Water - $110 million
The Ant Bully - $50 million
The Reaping - $35 million
Beerfest - $30 million
Total: $615 million
Disney
Goal! - $20 million
Cars - $250 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $325 million
Apocalypto - $40 million
Total: $635 million
It'll be close.
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 1:51 am |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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I see Sony beating WB. There is something creepily wrong with all their movies.
SUPERMAN will be lucky enough to beat BATMAN BEGINS.
SO BV will kill anything in its path.
Last edited by getluv on Wed Apr 12, 2006 3:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 1:53 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Disney
Goal! - $35m
Cars - $315m
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $588m
Apocalypto - $65 million
Total: $1,003b
WB
Poseidon - $165m
The Lake House - $85m (for some unknown reason I want to see this)
Superman Returns - $406m
Lady in the Water - $132m
The Ant Bully - $60m
The Reaping - $40m
Beerfest - $55m
Total: $941m
Disney will win 
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Last edited by BJ on Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:23 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:14 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32578
Location: the last free city
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WB
Poseidon $150
The Lake House $50
Superman Returns $410
Lady in the Water $175
The Ant Bully $75
The Reaping $40
Beerfest $50
Total: $950
Disney
Goal! - $30
Cars - $200
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $300
Apocalypto $50 million
Total: $580
WB & SR WINS!! Not even close. 
_________________
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:20 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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POTC 2 will beat WB's entire lineup. 
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:26 am |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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Disney.
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 2:38 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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 Re: WB v. Disney: Which studio will win the summer? WB line-up
Poseidon-175
The Lake House-45
Superman Returns-325
Lady in the Water-135
The Ant Bully-55
The Reaping -40
Beerfest-65
total:840
Disney line-up
Goal!-40 million
Cars-240 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest-370 million
Apocalypto-60
total-710
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 6:55 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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Zingaling wrote: Oh, I forgot to take into account WB's full line-up.
WB
Poseidon - $135 million
The Lake House - $40 million (Keanu Reeves, Sandra Bullock chick flick)
Superman Returns - $215 million
Lady in the Water - $110 million
The Ant Bully - $50 million
The Reaping - $35 million
Beerfest - $30 million
Total: $615 million
Disney
Goal! - $20 million
Cars - $250 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $325 million
Apocalypto - $40 million
Total: $635 million
It'll be close. see i dont think your under estimating any disney film. maybe pirates by a tad but thats it. but your clearly underestimating wbs biggst films-poseidon andespeciall superman.
i say wb has more breakout potential and will win without any film totally breakng out, just they all do a little bit
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 6:57 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Disney, unless The Ant Bully somehow breaks out.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 7:04 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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POTC2 + Cars > Superman + Poseidon + Lady in the Water
So Disney will win.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 11:22 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Magnus101 wrote: trixster wrote: POTC2 + Cars > Superman + Poseidon + Lady in the Water
So Disney will win. What people fail to see is that the duo of POTC2/Cars will probably beat the WB trio, but the fact is that WB has more smaller films being released this summer that will probably give it the edge over Disney. Ok, maybe I should put it this way...
POTC2 + Cars >>>> Superman + Poseidon + Lady in the Water
The Disney duo will make at least $600 million in itself, something that the WB trio won't even get close to, so the smaller films won't make a difference. _________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict.
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 11:52 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Lady in the Water imo will not do well considering its coming off of the Village. Poseidon I also see massively disappointing. BV will easily win the summer, but I see #2 going to Sony:
Click (Sandler) $135 m
Da Vinci Code $300 m
Little Man (Wayans comedy, opening against POTC 2, but should still do decent) $60 m
Monster House (animated, coming out in July) $60 m
Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby (Ferrell) $95 m
Zoom (Tim Allen) $60 m
$710 m
Paramount could also sneak out of nowhere and do really well this summer as well. They have the MI3/Over The Hedge combo. That could be $400 m just from May films.
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| Wed Apr 12, 2006 12:07 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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Goal! won't do anymore than $10m.
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| Thu Apr 13, 2006 3:53 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Disney
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Thu Apr 13, 2006 3:59 am |
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Bryan_smith
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed Nov 24, 2004 7:13 pm
Posts: 2120
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While I am giving the edge to Disney right now, Warner has a lot more petential to have a few break outs that could put it on top... will be interesting to see...
_________________
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| Thu Apr 13, 2006 9:26 am |
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Impact
Kiera Knightly is my lady!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
Posts: 8773
Location: New Mexico
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Disney!
_________________
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| Thu Apr 13, 2006 12:02 pm |
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Groucho
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:30 pm
Posts: 12096
Location: Stroudsburg, PA
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Disney, barring some amazing upset from WB.
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| Thu Apr 13, 2006 7:05 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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I think Sony can beat WB as well.
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| Thu Apr 13, 2006 8:40 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23250
Location: Melbourne Australia
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WB has quantity of films but none are locks or all that convincing.
BV is sure to get a minimum of $450m from the Cars/POTC combo and can go as high as $650m.
I actually feel Sony will steel the win:
Click (Sandler) $200 m
Da Vinci Code $300 m
Little Man $50 m
Monster House $65 m
Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby (Ferrell) $100 m
Zoom (Tim Allen) $55 m
IMO its a battle between Sony and BV for No.1 with WB in 3rd, but depending how things pan out - its a 3 way battle.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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| Thu Apr 13, 2006 9:33 pm |
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Shamukillercon
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sat Apr 01, 2006 6:03 am
Posts: 93
Location: My Own Private Idaho
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I say Disney will win.
There's just something that doesn't feel right about WB's lineup. Poseidon just gives off the scent of dissapointment and mediocrity. If it weren't directed by Wolfgang I would say it would completely flop. Right now I'd say 80 mil. No one knows the actual quality of Superman so to say it will gross 300+ is real iffy and Lady in the Water could break out or it could just do 80 mil.
Disney on the other hand has one guaranteed 200+ grosser and one guarenteed 300+ grosser. Though Apocalypto has been moved to December, Goal could do decently.
I say
WB
Poseidon - 80.0 mil.
The Lake House - 75.0 mil.
Superman Returns - 250.0 mil.
Lady in the Water - 80.0 mil.
The Ant Bully - 60.0 mil.
The Reaping - 45.0 mil.
Beerfest - 15.0 mil.
while Disney has
Goal! - 25.0 mil.
Cars - 235.0 mil
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - 335.0 mil.
Step Up - ? Out Aug 11th
Invincible - Mark Wahlberg Sports Movie - 60.0 mil comes out Aug 25th
So WB = 605.0 to Disney = 655.0
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 4:47 am |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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Magnus101 wrote: MadGez wrote: WB has quantity of films but none are locks or all that convincing.
BV is sure to get a minimum of $450m from the Cars/POTC combo and can go as high as $650m.
I actually feel Sony will steel the win:
Click (Sandler) $200 m
Da Vinci Code $300 m
Little Man $50 m
Monster House $65 m
Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby (Ferrell) $100 m
Zoom (Tim Allen) $55 m
IMO its a battle between Sony and BV for No.1 with WB in 3rd, but depending how things pan out - its a 3 way battle. I think you're over-predicting every single Sony movie. I don't see the Sony movies combined grossing more than 600m at the best, while 600m for WB and Disney is about the minimum and both studios will most likely gross near 700m. I think Gez's numbers are just as normal as everyone else's in here.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 12:16 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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Magnus101 wrote: getluv wrote: Magnus101 wrote: MadGez wrote: WB has quantity of films but none are locks or all that convincing.
BV is sure to get a minimum of $450m from the Cars/POTC combo and can go as high as $650m.
I actually feel Sony will steel the win:
Click (Sandler) $200 m
Da Vinci Code $300 m
Little Man $50 m
Monster House $65 m
Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby (Ferrell) $100 m
Zoom (Tim Allen) $55 m
IMO its a battle between Sony and BV for No.1 with WB in 3rd, but depending how things pan out - its a 3 way battle. I think you're over-predicting every single Sony movie. I don't see the Sony movies combined grossing more than 600m at the best, while 600m for WB and Disney is about the minimum and both studios will most likely gross near 700m. I think Gez's numbers are just as normal as everyone else's in here. 300m for DVC? 200m for Click? 100m for Talladega Nights? Not really normal. All of those numbers are near-max for those movies. DVC I first beleived would be huge(before I saw the full trailer) but its not going to attract that much of the general public and not all the book-readers are going to go see it. It'll be big, but 300m is near its max. Click would need to be a comedy as good as WC to get to 200m. Its opening will probably be in 40m-50m range. Best multiplier I can see it getting is 3.5, which is actually better than Mr. Deeds which opened at the same slot in 2002. 175m max for it. Talledga Nights just looks stupid, and Will Ferrell isn't that big of a BO draw to get a movie to 100m. It MAY get 100m but that would only happend by the off-chance that the movie is good. Hold on a second, you think it looks stupid.
Stop the Press!
We have to take in the stupidty (for the lack of a better word) of Magnus.
I'm sorry Mag, but if you think SUPERMAN is heading way north of 250m then we have to look at the stupidity of a male who pees on a pregnant stick!
These threads are a fucking farce. I love studio head-to-head games, but if I read your post correctly again, you agree partly that Gez's Sony prediction is a valid one. I think you've contradicted yourself many times on BOM, but this is no exception. You shouldn't be predicting for films you 'love'. Haven't you learned from past mistakes. Because your so far off, i think your intelligence is somewhere in Canada.
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| Fri Apr 14, 2006 12:38 pm |
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