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misterglass
Iron Man
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:56 pm
Posts: 678
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 April 14 - 16 Predictions! Feel free to worship me for being the first to post this. (ha ha.. just kidding)
Scary Movie 4 33.7 mil.
Ice Age: The Meltdown 21.5 mil. (gotta lower this to reflect this weekend's big drop)
Benchwarmers 12.2 mil. (fairly heavy drop due to Scary Movie 3
The Wild 10.5 mil. (killed by Ice Age 2 as first chioce)
Take the Lead 9 million. (should hold up well)
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misterglass/NYC
Last edited by misterglass on Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 10:55 am |
 
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andaroo1
Lord of filth
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:47 pm
Posts: 9566
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Re: April 14 - 16 Predictions! misterglass wrote: Benchwarmers 12.2 mil. (fairly heavy drop due to Scary Moive 3 Heavy drop from what?
Benchwarmers will be lucky to get around 15 million THIS week 
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:01 am |
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android
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:44 am
Posts: 2913
Location: Portugal
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Re: April 14 - 16 Predictions! andaroo wrote: misterglass wrote: Benchwarmers 12.2 mil. (fairly heavy drop due to Scary Moive 3 Heavy drop from what? Benchwarmers will be lucky to get around 15 million THIS week I really hope so... the whole thing looks so... unfunny?  _________________
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:06 am |
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AlexGTX
Speed Racer
Joined: Thu Dec 29, 2005 9:16 pm
Posts: 192
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EARLY PREDICTIONS
(Openers ONLY. I will post my predictions for the top 10 later this week)
Scary Movie 4- 46.3
The Wild- 12.7
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See Hard Candy!
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:06 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32578
Location: the last free city
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Scary Movie 4 34.7
Ice Age: The Meltdown 23.5
The Wild 17.5
Benchwarmers 10.5
Take the Lead 6.5
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Is it 2028 yet?
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:09 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Scary Movie 4 - $45 million
The Wild - $17 million
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:59 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35200
Location: Minnesota
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I hate predicting holidays. Easter weekend always sucks at the Box Office too. Things usually always underperform and suffer bigger drops.
MY PREDICTIONS:
SCARY MOVIE 4 - 39.6 Million (3-Day)/44.7 Million (4-Day)
THE WILD - 14.5 Million (3-Day)/17.6 Million (4-Day)
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 12:03 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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Scary Movie 4 - $44 million
The Wild - $13 million
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 12:04 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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1. Scary Movie 4 - $45.5 million
2. The Wild - $27.2 million
3. Ice Age: The Meltdown - $17.9 million
4. The Benchwarmers - $8.8 million
5. Take the Lead - $8.3 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 1:20 pm |
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Korrgan
problem?
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:52 am
Posts: 15515
Location: Bait Shop
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Soisthisweekendlikeafour-day,sinceit'sEasterweekend?
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 1:27 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40247
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Scary Movie 4 - 50.1 mil
The Wild - 12.6 mil
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 1:33 pm |
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haerpinot
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 1051
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Scary Movie 4 $42 mill
The Wild $16.5 mill
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 2:14 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Scary Movie 4 - $45 million
The Wild - $15 million
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict.
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| Sat Apr 08, 2006 2:22 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35200
Location: Minnesota
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EARLY PREDICTIONS FOR NEXT WEEKEND (All 3-Day except for the new wide openers):
1. SCARY MOVIE 4 - 39.6 Million (3-Day)/44.7 Million (4-Day)
2. ICE AGE 2 - 20.7 Million
3. THE WILD - 14.5 Million (3-Day)/17.6 Million (4-Day)
4. THE BENCHWARMERS - 9.9 Million
5. TAKE THE LEAD - 8.4 Million
6. INSIDE MAN - 5.5 Million
7. LUCKY NUMBER SLEVIN - 3.9 Million
8. THANK YOU FOR SMOKING - 3.4 Million
9. FAILURE TO LAUNCH - 2.7 Million
10. V FOR VENDETTA - 1.8 Million
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| Sun Apr 09, 2006 2:51 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Tracking...
Quote: P.S. Pre-Open Midnights will not be allowed for
SCARY MOVIE 4.
MTC CHAIN:
SCARY MOVIE 4: 42 MILLION
THE WILD: 15 MILLION
===================================
SCARY MOVIE 4: 52 MILLION
THE WILD: 18 MILLION
THE SENTINEL: 15 MILLION
AMERICAN DREAMZ: 8 MILLION
SILENT HILL: 18 MILLION
RV: 20 MILLION
UNITED 93: 14 MILLION Not so good for United 93.
The Sentinel is getting better, though.
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| Mon Apr 10, 2006 6:57 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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$15M for The Wild sounds about right.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:11 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Very good for RV. Though it could be overestimating, like Firewall (Another return to form from a once-B.O.-draw).
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| Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:14 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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Reel Source seems off on some of those, although American Dreamz and The Sentinel look about right.
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| Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:17 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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I think that's too low on United 93 and Silent Hill, and too high on RV. Otherwise it looks good IMO.
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| Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:20 pm |
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haerpinot
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 1051
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Is it me or does American Dreamz seem awfully low? I really thought it had a shot at making over $20 mill first weekend when I first started seeing ads. I guess not.
Looks about right for this week's openers though, I expect The Wild to perhaps approach $20 mill at best but not go over. $15 mill I think is the least it can do. Scary Movie 4 I can see doing anywhere from $35 to $45 mill.
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| Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:27 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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haerpinot wrote: Is it me or does American Dreamz seem awfully low? I really thought it had a shot at making over $20 mill first weekend when I first started seeing ads. I guess not.
Looks about right for this week's openers though, I expect The Wild to perhaps approach $20 mill at best but not go over. $15 mill I think is the least it can do. Scary Movie 4 I can see doing anywhere from $35 to $45 mill. Satires like American Dreamz are just never that popular, no matter how good they might be. I would be surprised if it made more than $40-45M total.
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| Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:29 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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At first RV looks too high but crappy family films have done well lately, such as The Pink Panther and CBTD 2.
United 93 is almost impossible to gauge right now. Yahoo reviews will likely be flooded with many fake reviews as well from those who think it's too soon.
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| Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:31 pm |
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LittleBeaver
Wall-E
Joined: Thu Nov 03, 2005 7:11 pm
Posts: 898
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Scary Movie 4 Won't Friday be bigger than normal because it's a holiday? And Sunday night as well. People who like the Scary Movie franchise aren't going to care about Easter that much. They'll go to a show with their friends after dinner.
Does anyone agree?
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| Tue Apr 11, 2006 2:48 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40247
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Yeah, I was looking at last year's chart and Easter seemed to help alot. But none of the predictions here are really reflecting that? So... how much affect is it?
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Tue Apr 11, 2006 3:28 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Re: Scary Movie 4 LittleBeaver wrote: Won't Friday be bigger than normal because it's a holiday? And Sunday night as well. People who like the Scary Movie franchise aren't going to care about Easter that much. They'll go to a show with their friends after dinner.
Does anyone agree? Friday part yes, but Sunday, no. Sunday will have harsher than expected declines. _________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Tue Apr 11, 2006 3:29 am |
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