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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40248
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 Scores w/ projections
Didn't want to wait much longer. BJ's projections, with 2.6(sorry) for She's the Man because that's where most of the predictions were roughly centering around.
KJ calculator isn't working for me, so with http://www.boxofficechat.com/calculate/:
[table][row color=#0f7a9e] Rank[col] Film[col] Predicted[col] Estimate[col] Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Inside Man [col] 40.8 [col] 32.8 [col] 75.61% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] V for Vendetta [col] 14.9 [col] 21.4 [col] 69.63% [row color=#ffCC66] 3 [col] Stay Alive [col] 13.2 [col] 13 [col] 98.46% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Failure to Launch [col] 8.7 [col] 9 [col] 96.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Shaggy Dog [col] 4.7 [col] 7.2 [col] 65.28% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] She's the Man [col] 5.9 [col] 4.5 [col] 68.89% [row color=#ffCC66] 7 [col] Larry the Cable Guy [col] 4 [col] 4.1 [col] 97.56% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] The Hills Have Eyes [col] 2.9 [col] 3.4 [col] 85.29% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Eight Below [col] 2.9 [col] 2.8 [col] 96.43% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] 16 Blocks [col] 2.7 [col] 2.6 [col] 96.15% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col] Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col] 85.00%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 90.54% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 82.62% [/table]
I'm satisfied, not only because it's much higher than my average, but because I know I made some huge mistakes this weekend that should've ruined me. You guys will still all beat me I believe, but the derby average is SHIT(like 70% flat), so it'll be a nice moving weekend.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 2:47 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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I got 84.95%
_________________The Force Awakens
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 2:59 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm Posts: 4632
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[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Inside Man [col] 41.1 [col] 32.8 [col] 74.70% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] V for Vendetta [col] 18 [col] 21.4 [col] 84.11% [row color=#ffCC66] 3 [col] Stay Alive [col] 15 [col] 13 [col] 84.62% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Failure to Launch [col] 9.4 [col] 9 [col] 95.56% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Shaggy Dog [col] 7.2 [col] 7.2 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] She's the Man [col] 4.7 [col] 4.5 [col] 95.56% [row color=#ffCC66] 7 [col] Larry the Cable Guy [col] 3.9 [col] 4.1 [col] 95.12% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] The Hills Have Eyes [col] 3.4 [col] 3.4 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Eight Below [col] 2.8 [col] 2.8 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] 16 Blocks [col] 2.4 [col] 2.6 [col] 92.31% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]92.20%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 84.81% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 95.36% [/table]
Hehehe...Egggggggssellent
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 2:59 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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86.53%
Finally. I hope this breaks me out of my slump. It's a good way to start off April.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:00 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm Posts: 11838 Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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If you projections are right, I would get an 89.53%.
Acceptable, though I could have better considering it's April.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.  and many more.
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:01 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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85.8% with She's the Man at 2.6m
_________________The Force Awakens
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:03 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm Posts: 4632
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^ I actually predicted 3.0 for Phat Girlz, but I'm too lazy to re-do my table...So I'm probably down to maybe 90.5-91%...
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:04 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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KJ Calc is working again, though someone needs to update the predictions.
_________________
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:18 pm |
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Groucho
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:30 pm Posts: 12096 Location: Stroudsburg, PA
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Looks like KJ's tools are back up again if someone who has access can update the numbers/films for this week.
_________________Buy my books! http://michaelaventrella.com

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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:18 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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If someone wan'ts to give me the movie/number i can go ahead and do it
_________________
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:22 pm |
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haerpinot
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 5:48 pm Posts: 1051
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79.13%, not very good compared to those here but a good score compared to the Derby average  Hope I can somehow inch past 80, but probably not since I imagine She's the Man will be lower. I wish I hadn't had such a brain fart with Phat Girlz, but oh well. and I can't figure out why the Derby average for the holdovers are so high, did a lot of people think everything would hold well since there was a big opener stealing audiences last week? I don't get the logic.
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:23 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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Should be updated now.
_________________
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:28 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm Posts: 4632
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I doubt I could win the derby this weekend (some no name always seems to come out of nowhere and take it) but finally I think I have a top 25 finish in store, helping my cause in the yearly race big time. 
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:28 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm Posts: 4632
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Accuracy: 91,48%
Laziness has stopped
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:31 pm |
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Groucho
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:30 pm Posts: 12096 Location: Stroudsburg, PA
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Argh.
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Rank
[col] Film
[col] Predicted
[col] Actual
[col] Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]41.60
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 73.17%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]14.30
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 66.82%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]13.30
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6] 97.69%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]10.30
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9] 85.56%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]7.70
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6] 93.06%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]6.60
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9] 53.33%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.30
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6] 95.12%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]4.50
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 67.65%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]3.80
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 64.29%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]3.30
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9] 73.08%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca] 76.98
[/table]
Calculate your score
_________________Buy my books! http://michaelaventrella.com

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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:32 pm |
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Anonymous
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Ice Age is in for atleast $35m.
This would be my projections:
Ice Age 2 $37m
Benchwarmers $18.7m
Take the Lead $12.7m
Inside Man $9m
Lucky Number Slevin $7m
Failure to Launch $4m
ATL $3.8m
Vendetta $3.3m
Phat Girlz $2.3m
She's the Man $2.1m
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:35 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm Posts: 4632
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I see Take the Lead having a shot at 13.5 million this weekend personally.
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:36 pm |
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Shamukillercon
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sat Apr 01, 2006 6:03 am Posts: 93 Location: My Own Private Idaho
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[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Rank
[col] Film
[col] Predicted
[col] Actual
[col] Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]38.80
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 81.71%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]15.70
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 73.36%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]16.50
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6] 73.08%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.90
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9] 90.00%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]6.60
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6] 91.67%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]6.00
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9] 66.67%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.10
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6] 100.00%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]3.20
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 94.12%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]5.70
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 0.00%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.60
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9] 100.00%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca] 77.06
[/table]
Calculate your score
That's just Crapperific. Darn those Phat Girlz!
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:40 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Rank
[col] Film
[col] Predicted
[col] Actual
[col] Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]41.20
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 74.39%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]16.40
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 76.64%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]17.50
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6] 65.38%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.70
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9] 92.22%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]7.10
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6] 98.61%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]5.20
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9] 84.44%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.10
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6] 100.00%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]3.50
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 97.06%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]1.50
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 53.57%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.90
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9] 88.46%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca] 83.08
[/table]
STUPIDSTUPIDSTUPIDME for not going with my gut on a 40%+ drop! 
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:41 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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84.96%...but i forgot to enter my predictions in the derby 
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 4:02 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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I expect Slevin, Benchwarmers, and TTL will be down with the actuals which should help me, but so should She's the Man, which could hurt.
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Rank
[col] Film
[col] Predicted
[col] Actual
[col] Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]37.90
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 84.45%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]16.40
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 76.64%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]12.70
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6] 97.69%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.50
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9] 94.44%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]5.00
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6] 69.44%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]5.00
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9] 88.89%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.20
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6] 97.56%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]3.30
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 97.06%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]1.60
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 57.14%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.70
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9] 96.15%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca] 85.95
[/table]
Calculate your score
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 4:15 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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It will be another week dominated by KJers. The Derby average:
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Rank
[col] Film
[col] Predicted
[col] Actual
[col] Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]41.10
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 74.70%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]17.20
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 80.37%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]13.10
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6] 99.23%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.90
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9] 90.00%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]9.80
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6] 63.89%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]6.90
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9] 46.67%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.80
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6] 82.93%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]4.30
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 73.53%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]5.10
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 17.86%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]3.40
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9] 69.23%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca] 69.84
[/table]
Calculate your score
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 4:28 pm |
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Crag Hack
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Mon Oct 24, 2005 5:57 pm Posts: 91
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[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Rank
[col] Film
[col] Predicted
[col] Actual
[col] Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]39.00
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 81.10%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]17.50
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 81.78%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]11.50
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6] 88.46%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.00
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9] 100.00%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]6.00
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6] 83.33%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]5.10
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9] 86.67%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]3.90
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6] 95.12%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]3.20
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 94.12%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]2.60
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 92.86%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.50
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9] 96.15%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca] 89.96
[/table]
I have a very good chance at still being 1st in the yearly race
Calculate your score
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 5:58 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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I like my score... It's my first derby in like... 2 years
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Rank
[col] Film
[col] Predicted
[col] Actual
[col] Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]41.80
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 72.56%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]16.30
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 76.17%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]10.90
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6] 83.85%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]8.90
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9] 98.89%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]7.20
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6] 100.00%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]5.60
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9] 75.56%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.50
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6] 90.24%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]3.60
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9] 94.12%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]2.90
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6] 96.43%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]3.00
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9] 84.62%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca] 87.24
[/table]
Calculate your score
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 6:01 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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[table][row color=#FF0000] Movie[col color=#FF0000] Prediction[col color=#FF0000] % Change[col color=#FF0000] Actual[col color=#FF0000] Percent[row color=#FFFF99]Benchwarmers[col color=#CCFFFF] $ 15.5 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99] $ 21.4 million[col color=#CCFFFF] 72.43%[row color=#FFFF99]Take the Lead[col color=#CCFFFF] $ 13.7 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99] $ 13.0 million[col color=#CCFFFF] 94.62%[row color=#FFFF99]Lucky Number Slevin[col color=#CCFFFF] $ 4.3 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99] $ 7.2 million[col color=#CCFFFF] 59.72%[row color=#FFFF99]Phat Girlz[col color=#CCFFFF] $ 3.8 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99] $ 2.8 million[col color=#CCFFFF] 64.29%[row color=#FFFF99]Ice Age 2[col color=#CCFFFF] $ 42.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-38.3%[col color=#FFFF99] $ 32.8 million[col color=#CCFFFF] 71.95%[row color=#FFFF99]Inside Man[col color=#CCFFFF] $ 9.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-41.7%[col color=#FFFF99] $ 9.0 million[col color=#CCFFFF] 100.00%[row color=#FFFF99]ATL[col color=#CCFFFF] $ 4.9 million[col color=#FFFF99]-57.6%[col color=#FFFF99] $ 4.5 million[col color=#CCFFFF] 91.11%[row color=#FFFF99]Failure to Launch[col color=#CCFFFF] $ 4.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-38.1%[col color=#FFFF99] $ 4.1 million[col color=#CCFFFF] 97.56%[row color=#FFFF99]V for Vendetta[col color=#CCFFFF] $ 3.8 million[col color=#FFFF99]-39.6%[col color=#FFFF99] $ 3.4 million[col color=#CCFFFF] 88.24%[row color=#FFFF99]She's the Man[col color=#CCFFFF] $ 2.7 million[col color=#FFFF99]-39.0%[col color=#FFFF99] $ 2.6 million[col color=#CCFFFF] 96.15%[row] [col] [col] [col] [col] [row] [col] [col] [col] [col] [row] 10 Movies:[col] 83.61%[col][col][col][/table]This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ
Not too horrid, but worse than all the other KJ players.
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Sat Apr 08, 2006 6:06 pm |
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