| Author |
Message |
|
A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
|
 The Sentinel prediction thread - opens April 21 http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=10388
The ads make it look like 24: the movie, which is a good thing as far as marketing goes. It looks pretty exciting, even if nothing super great or memorable.
Studio: 20th Century Fox
Director: Clark Johnson
Screenwriter: George Nolfi
Starring: Michael Douglas, Kiefer Sutherland, Eva Longoria, Kim Basinger
Genre: Crime, Drama, Thriller
MPAA Rating: PG-13 (for some intense action violence and a scene of sensuality)
Official Website: Sentinelthemovie.com
Plot Summary: [spoil]When a colleague is murdered, Secret Service agent Pete Garrison is put in charge of the investigation. But Garrison himself becomes a suspect after he is blackmailed by someone who knows of his affair with the first lady. Stripped of his duties and now a fugitive, Garrison races to prove his innocence and save the president's life.[/spoil]
Trailer: http://www.apple.com/trailers/fox/thesentinel/
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:35 pm |
 
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Hehe, just replace "Pete Garrison" with Jack Bauer and you've got the plot of the next 24 season.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:37 pm |
|
|
|
Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
|
Tracking has his at $12M, which seems way too low. I small a profitable hit.
Opening: 17.9
Total: 58.5 (3.27)
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:53 pm |
|
|
|
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40246
|
I've learned my lesson on adult thrillers.
20/74.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:54 pm |
|
|
|
Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
|
Well theres a difference between an adult thriller starring someone like Sean Penn & Nicole Kidman or Denzel Washington & Jodie Foster compared to one with Michael Douglas & Keifer Sutherland, especially when that movie is coming out right after a very successful adult thriller.
Tracking is probably on the money, the spots i've seen so far have been looking like your typical thriller, the cast probably wont be making people to rush out to see it. Maybe reviews will help the movie out, if it happens to be good.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:10 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
16/50.
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:57 pm |
|
|
|
A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
|
Shack wrote: I've learned my lesson on adult thrillers.
20/74. Yeah that's close to what I predict. 24/75. Not bad, as long as the budget isn't too high. It should do at least as well as the Interpreter.
The downside is it is written by the guy who wrote the craptastic Ocean's 12 and Timeline.
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 4:29 pm |
|
|
|
MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
|
Marketing doens't seem all that strong, and competition is stiff. The other two openers both have strong appeal to adults, and with Thank You for Smoking going to be in it's peak that weekend, I think it'll suffer. The poor marketing done by Fox thusfar (maybe they're given it the limited campaign they have been because I believe they didn't actually finance the film, just distribute it) won't help either. Still, with a PG-13 rating and the cast it has, it'll do moderately well. I'm guessing 14/40
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 5:34 pm |
|
|
|
A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
|
Marketing isn't real strong but it isn't bad either, I've seen regular ads during shows such as 24, House and other popular TV shows. I see about 1 ad for it per night lately.
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 5:40 pm |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
|
I think it has some potential, and the marketing hasn't been bad. 17m/56m
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 7:14 pm |
|
|
|
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
|
20/70
|
| Thu Apr 06, 2006 9:26 pm |
|
|
|
getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
|
It looks generic. a la FIREWALL.
But it could surprise, considering Fox have been doing well lately.
|
| Sun Apr 16, 2006 11:51 am |
|
|
|
Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
|
I see a performance very similiar to Michael Douglas' last thriller, Don't Say a Word. That opened to about $17M and ended with around $55M.
|
| Sun Apr 16, 2006 11:52 am |
|
|
|
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23250
Location: Melbourne Australia
|
$19m/$57m
That would be a solid gross.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
| Sun Apr 16, 2006 12:38 pm |
|
|
|
A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
|
Who is the lead in The Sentinel? The ads made it look like Kiefer is the lead, but many of you predictors are talking of it as a Michael Douglas movie. So I'm confuzzled.
|
| Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:50 pm |
|
|
|
Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
|
Archie Gates wrote: Who is the lead in The Sentinel? The ads made it look like Kiefer is the lead, but many of you predictors are talking of it as a Michael Douglas movie. So I'm confuzzled. Douglas is the main lead, although it's possible Sutherland has just as big of a role.
|
| Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:54 pm |
|
|
|
Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21856
Location: Walking around somewhere
|
There obviously marketing it towards Sutherland, to get the 24 crowd in. Douglas is the main lead, but hasnt had a hit since Don't Say a Word which was all the way in 2001, and still only grossed 55 million. Though I think it looks solid, and a lot like Firewall, even if it opens soft, Im feeling some legs, maybe aroun 17 open and a 50-60 finish.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
|
| Mon Apr 17, 2006 4:08 pm |
|
|
|
A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
|
Is this movie not being screened for critics? Because there are hardly any reviews up on RT.
|
| Wed Apr 19, 2006 12:50 am |
|
|
|
Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 11019
|
And the few reviews that are there are pretty toxic. Disappointing...I'd held out a kernel of hope for this one.
_________________
k
|
| Wed Apr 19, 2006 6:39 pm |
|
|
|
Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
|
Re: The Sentinel prediction thread - opens April 21 Archie Gates wrote: http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=10388
The ads make it look like 24: the movie, which is a good thing as far as marketing goes. It looks pretty exciting, even if nothing super great or memorable.
They should make a "24: The movie." It can be the first 24 hour movie ever created!! _________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
|
| Wed Apr 19, 2006 10:52 pm |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
The stellar cast won't make up for the sparse marketing. Looking for a $14 million weekend but decent legs with good WOM.
|
| Thu Apr 20, 2006 10:22 am |
|
|
|
trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
|
15.5/49
I don't know what you guys mean about "sparse marketing". I've seen a ton of ads for this.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
|
| Thu Apr 20, 2006 10:48 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
14/45.
|
| Fri Apr 21, 2006 6:13 am |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
|
Re: The Sentinel prediction thread - opens April 21 Squee wrote: Archie Gates wrote: http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=10388
The ads make it look like 24: the movie, which is a good thing as far as marketing goes. It looks pretty exciting, even if nothing super great or memorable.
They should make a "24: The movie." It can be the first 24 hour movie ever created!! I remember reading that there actually is a 24 movie in the works.
|
| Fri Apr 21, 2006 6:21 am |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Re: The Sentinel prediction thread - opens April 21 DP07 wrote: Squee wrote: Archie Gates wrote: http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=10388
The ads make it look like 24: the movie, which is a good thing as far as marketing goes. It looks pretty exciting, even if nothing super great or memorable.
They should make a "24: The movie." It can be the first 24 hour movie ever created!! I remember reading that there actually is a 24 movie in the works. It is. Should probably by out by 2008. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Fri Apr 21, 2006 6:43 am |
|
|
