This will open huge - but I hope the quality is there. It could open to $110m 4 day and fizzle out at about $215m. Hopefully it gets closer to $250m though.

wow, after seeing the new trailer, I wouldn't be surprised if this could inch past 100 million on opening weekend.

http://movies.yahoo.com/feature/xmenthelaststand.html

it wont be the biggest opening because of compitition, flat out. while x2 pulled in kids, x3 will have the kids audience seeing over the hedge. the adults seeing what i believe will be a leg hit, the da vinci code. another big problem is the abundance of huuge action films in may. see like last weekend, the lack of rom coms helped bost failure to launchs weekend.
last june, lack of a action film since star wars helped mr and mrs smith open way above expectations, but then helped batman begins open below them.

i think a opening weekend very similar to x2. x2, remember, had a ton of boosts going for it that x3 doesnt have.

-first film of a very highly anticpated summer
-first action film since daredevil
-after spiderman, comic book films recieved automatic mega hype. see daredevil, x2, and hulk. hulks bombing KILLED the built in hype comic films once had.
-xmen 1 was better recieved then x2 was. while x3 failed to manage a 2.5 multiplier, the original xmen was over a 3.
-was the first big sequel of 2003.

now, x3 really doesnt share any of these advantages. Every weekend in may has a film that will open to 50 million or more. 2 of these three are huge budgeted action movies. x2 multipler was much less then x1. i think we can expect a higher multiplier but lower opening.

81 3 day
98 4 day
229 million total

I think it will definitely break $100m throughout the 4-day weekend. The 3-day weekend should see it gross around $90m.
Yes, there is alot of competition from both the kids angle and adult angle but still, neither is X3's core audience and it's a long weekend, people have enough time to see 2 or 3 movies.

If X2 debuted to $80m in 2002 on the first weekend of May, I think this can do at least $90m. Actually, I'll probably think of upping my 3-day to $100m if the hype grows. I just hope it doesn't disappoint.

It should finish around the vicinity of X2, probably a little higher ~$230m

Opening: 105 / 135
Total: Ratner isn't very promising, but since the public laps him up, $240 million total.

i think it will top 100million 4 days...but this have kids and their parents flocking to it like x2 did when it first opened. and this wont have adults seeing it due to reviews, cause o da vinci, n that it is supposablt really bad.

Hmm, I wonder if they'll release one last trailer with The Sentinel. When Fox released The Day After Tomorrow on Memorial Day, they had a teaser at the same time as X3's, a trailer at the same time, and then a final trailer right at the beginning of May. Since now they have a big action movie opening at the end of April, I wouldn't be surprised if they put on a third trailer, especially considering this latest one reallly didn't strike me as a final trailer.

i watched the AI one, just cause i wanted to see what the tv spots were like. I cannot wait for this movie. Really. May 26 is less than 2 months away! WOO!! I would love for the running time to be 2 1/2 hrs. This is the last "X-Men" movie, and it seems epic enough so now it just needs the epic running time to go with it. As long as Ratner just copied Singer i will be very pleased. I liked Red Dragon and Ratner basically just redid what he saw with SOTL and Hanniblal, so as long as Ratner used X2 as reference for what to do then there's no way X3 could dissapoint. It would be X2 only grander and final. I find myself rambling on like this, which is really nice because it has been a while since i got this excited for a movie. May 26th. YAY!

oh, predicitions. let's see:

X2 managed 3,741 theaters in its opening weekend, so i wouldn't be too surprised to see X3 break 4,000, but let's just say it gets 3,900.

With 3900 theaters opening weekend, i think it will end up with a 100mil 3day and 115-120mil 4 day. If it manages that, then i see a total of 240-250mil.

I am "underpredicting" so that if it "only" makes 240mil i will be pleased, and then if it makes more (like 270 or something) i will just be highly pleased.

I'm already starting to see a ton of marketing, surprisingly. I'm thinking around $95 million 3-Day, $115 million 4-Day, and around $250 million total at the moment.

DIE!

I... agree... with BKB.

Me... ...too?

:worldexplodes:

very doubtful. would require major breakoutage, and major bombage.

Yeah?? Well stay tuned.. SUPERMAN RETURNS is not only going to get clobbered by X3, but it's going to end up as the most expensive box office disappointment of the Summer to the point that Bryan Singer will be on suicide watch and wish he would've never have given up the reigns on such a sure fire franchise like the X-MEN franchise in favor of a has been superhero that died with Christopher Reeve and the 80's..

yet another thing you're gonna be wrong at this summer.

I actually am very doubtful of Superman's assurance to beat X3. I won't join any club just yet, but I think if X3 delivers (like X2 did) then it could top Superman. Pirates coulkd very well be the top grosser of the summer but I think it all depends on how good it is. If it's a dissapointment, we could have a 3-way tight race for the #1 spot!

Will see, but I seriously doubt it this time.. I'm just not feeling anything from the new SUPERMAN movie and the Marketing for this has been shi* for something due out in what?? 2 Months??? And when they do show something, it's the same thing we've seen over and over already with hardly any dialogue from Routh and that's not good for someone filling Christopher Reeve's shoes and trying to convince the audience he'll be any good and not a waste...

GAWD!! I'm soo seeing a total 360 turn from you once the trailer hits. Won't be the first time.

Neither film will pass 250m. X3 has many more things going for it though, so that as of right now has the advantage imo.

1. the tv spots for X3 are rolling out already, Superman doesnt even have a full trailer out in theaters yet
2. X-Men is a successful and very much liked franchise, Superman has been out the picture for over 20 years
3. X3 has better release date imo, might have to deal with Code's second weekend ( it'll hold well thats for sure ) but atleast it doesnt have to deal with POTC2 in it's second weekend which will hit Superman Returns right in its demo and cause it to not have a chance AT ALL at having something like BB drops.

I agree with BKB on this one. (wait... what the hell did I just say?!)

I also think X3 will beat Superman. But maybe this is because Im biased and think Superman is a highly overrated super hero.

So the sequel opened with $85 it's first weekend (Unadjusted, not sure what it is adjusted). That movie is pretty much beloved in the comic book world, so the anticipation has to be huge.

That saying though, the competition is a little steep. Poseidon will be in it's third week of release. That's the easy half. The second half is that The Da Vinci code will have opened up the week before. If it's a breakout hit, and turns out to be a crowd pleaser, X-Men will have competition for the adult audience (Teenagers won't be a problem).

Another small factor that probably won't have any impact, is Halle Berry. The last thing anyone saw her in was Catwoman. We all know how that turned out. Yet in the recent trailers she has been featured prominetly. Will the general movie public remember her as Storm from the previous two films, or will they remember Catwoman? As I said, I don't think it will be a factor, but it's something to think about.

Then there is the whole psyche of people just waiting for the film to come out on DVD. That wasn't a big problem when the previous film opened, but now it is. Just look at King Kong. So will that have an impact.

Right now I'm guessing $89 for the 3-Day.

The legs though is a bigger question. How much will the romantic comedy The Break Up, have an effect on the legs. I'm guessing there is a small female interest to begin with in the X-Men series (Which is something Superman has in terms of box-office that X-Men doesn't, but that's another argument for another night when I can't sleep). How many guys are going to be dragged into seeing that instead of X-Men during it's second weekend? And on top of that, you have the whole Jennifer Anistion/Vince Vaughn/Brad Pitt/Angelina Jolie thing? How many people are going to be interested in the chemistry these two have? Plus on top of that, the film looks good. X-Men will still probably be tops for that week, but The Break Up will cut into it's legs severely.

Then there is week three. It has to go up against Cars and The Omen 666. The film certainly won't disappear, but it will finish fourth, and how much is fourth worth that week. Cars is going to be huge, so I don't really have to delve into that, and The Omen might have some nostalgia with it like The Amityville Horror had.

Right now I'm guessing $215-220 for the closing number for X-Men. It wouldn't surprise me if it was slightly lower than that though.

Are you crazy? Catwoman will have no effect on X3 at all. Halle Berry was Storm before she was catwoman, and it's not like X3 is the Halle Berry show. She is in it more, but the trailer focuses on a lot of people, not to mention the whole "epic" aspect. You even said that "I don't think it will be a factor, but it's something to think about." If you don't think it's a factor (and no one else does either) then why would it be worth thinking about?

And what people are going to wait for DVD to see X3? I can't think that you actually believe that.

You also think that the Break-Up and Cars will have an effect on X3's legs? Maybe the Break-Up will have some slight miniscule tiny almost effect on a portion of X3's legs, but Cars will do nothing to X3. I don't mean to sound hostile or anything, but this just sounds like a lot of craziness.

Because I said it. Get over it. You'd think I pissed all over your mother's face. jk



Why would people wait to see King Kong on DVD? Wasn't that considered to be an "event film" before it opened? Yet it finished with a "disappointing" $218 million finish.



You don't think, Cars, a gigantic Pixar/Disney film, from the same line of Toy Story, Toy Story 2, and The Incredibles, that is going to be a family whore magnet, that will be opening around the same time kids are getting out of school, is going to have any effect on X-Men 3 in it's third weekend? And I'm the one who sounds crazy? You also forgot to mention The Da Vinci Code.