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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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 Weekend Estimates
[table][row color=#FFFF99]1[col color=#FFFF99]N[col color=#FFFF99]Ice Age: The Meltdown[col color=#FFFF99]Fox[col color=#FFFF99] $70,500,000 [col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]3,964[col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]$17,785 [col color=#FFFF99]$70,500,000 [col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]1[row]2[col]1[col]Inside Man[col]Uni.[col] $15,692,000 [col] -45.80%[col]2,830[col] 12[col]$5,544 [col]$52,763,000 [col]$45 [col]2[row color=#FFFF99]3[col color=#FFFF99]N[col color=#FFFF99]ATL[col color=#FFFF99]WB[col color=#FFFF99] $12,545,000 [col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]1,602[col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]$7,830 [col color=#FFFF99]$12,545,000 [col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]1[row]4[col]4[col]Failure to Launch[col]Par.[col] $6,618,000 [col] -36.70%[col]3,074[col] -128[col]$2,152 [col]$73,243,000 [col]$50 [col]4[row]5[col]2[col]V for Vendetta[col]WB[col] $6,465,000 [col] -47.60%[col]2,910[col] -455[col]$2,221 [col]$56,830,000 [col]$54 [col]3[row]6[col]3[col]Stay Alive[col]BV[col] $4,575,000 [col] -57.30%[col]2,009[col]-[col]$2,277 [col]$17,349,000 [col]-[col]2[row]7[col]6[col]She's the Man[col]DW[col] $4,571,000 [col] -37.40%[col]2,552[col] -79[col]$1,791 [col]$26,764,000 [col]$20 [col]3[row color=#FFFF99]8[col color=#FFFF99]N[col color=#FFFF99]Slither[col color=#FFFF99]Uni.[col color=#FFFF99] $3,676,000 [col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]1,945[col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]$1,889 [col color=#FFFF99]$3,676,000 [col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]1[row]9[col]5[col]The Shaggy Dog[col]BV[col] $3,535,000 [col] -60.90%[col]2,929[col] -492[col]$1,206 [col]$53,847,000 [col]-[col]4[row color=#FFFF99]10[col color=#FFFF99]N[col color=#FFFF99]Basic Instinct 2[col color=#FFFF99]Sony[col color=#FFFF99] $3,200,000 [col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]1,453[col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]$2,202 [col color=#FFFF99]$3,200,000 [col color=#FFFF99]-[col color=#FFFF99]1[row]11[col]7[col]Larry the Cable Guy: Health Inspector[col]Lions[col] $3,200,000 [col] -53.80%[col]1,747[col] 37[col]$1,831 [col]$11,500,000 [col]-[col]2[row]12[col]8[col]The Hills Have Eyes[col]FoxS[col] $1,875,000 [col] -57.30%[col]1,628[col] -833[col]$1,151 [col]$38,990,000 [col]$15 [col]4[row]13[col]15[col]Thank You for Smoking[col]FoxS[col] $1,675,000 [col] 66.80%[col]126[col] 72[col]$13,293 [col]$3,418,000 [col]-[col]3[row]14[col]9[col]Eight Below[col]BV[col] $1,020,000 [col] -62.50%[col]1,275[col] -826[col]$800 [col]$79,224,000 [col]-[col]7[row]15[col]10[col]16 Blocks[col]WB[col] $725,000 [col] -66.40%[col]1,007[col] -1,059[col]$719 [col]$35,544,000 [col]-[col]5[row]16[col]17[col]Deep Sea 3-D (IMAX)[col]WB[col] $514,000 [col] -17.00%[col]46[col]-[col]$11,173 [col]$4,514,000 [col]-[col]5[row]17[col]12[col]Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion[col]Lions[col] $425,000 [col] -68.30%[col]476[col] -554[col]$892 [col]$62,793,000 [col]$6 [col]6[row]18[col]11[col]The Pink Panther[col]Sony[col] $400,000 [col] -72.60%[col]626[col] -726[col]$638 [col]$81,670,000 [col]$80 [col]8[/table]This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ
Last edited by zingy on Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:22 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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Shaggy dog in front of Basic Instinct 2? That might just be enough to ensure BI2 doesn't make the top 10!  Or it'll probably tie for # 10... 
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:25 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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Ice Age 2 tops w/ $70.5 m.
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:40 pm |
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deathawk
Madoshi
Joined: Sun May 08, 2005 12:35 pm Posts: 631 Location: Cephiro
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:42 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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I think Ice Age is overestimated, but either way, it's still excellent.
Nice PTA for ATL.
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:44 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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3.20 multiplier for Ice Age 2, 3.43 for Ice Age 1. I'll peg the total w/ that # at $252 m. HOWEVER, the weekend estimate IMO is overestimated:
16 Ice Age: The Meltdown Fox $70,500,000 100.0% 3,964 $17,785 $70,500,000 3/31/2006
17 The Incredibles BV $70,467,623 27.0% 3,933 $17,917 $261,441,092 11/05/2004
18 Finding Nemo BV $70,251,710 20.7% 3,374 $20,821 $339,714,978 5/30/2003
Clearly it would mean alot to have an opening past Pixar's stuff. I don't see it having a better Sunday drop than the original.
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:47 pm |
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deathawk
Madoshi
Joined: Sun May 08, 2005 12:35 pm Posts: 631 Location: Cephiro
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Zingaling wrote: I think Ice Age is overestimated, but either way, it's still excellent.
Nice PTA for ATL.
I'm inclined to agree, but it probably won't be oof by much, just on the low side of 70 instead of the high. Mojo & SBD had it's Friday at 21.5, the studio bumped it to 22, and the Sunday drop seems a little low, though not unreasonable. This does smell like an estimate intended to get a number out there that may not in fact be the case.
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:49 pm |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm Posts: 16061 Location: The Damage Control Table
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 Re: Some Weekend Estimates
2 1 Inside Man Uni. $15,692,000 -45.8% 2,830 +12 $5,544 $52,763,000 $45 2
That's sad. I was hoping it would only fall around 40%. This dosn't bod as well as I would lik for its lgs. I really wanted it to mak 100 million. Its good considring th comptition from Ice Ag 2 and ATL, but still, *sigh*.
3 N ATL WB $12,545,000 - 1,602 - $7,830 $12,545,000 - 1
Thats actually a much higher PTA than I had been expecting.
5 2 V for Vendetta WB $6,465,000 -47.6% 2,910 -455 $2,221 $56,830,000 $54 3
Expected. The Wachowskis (I know they are producers here) tend to mak front-loaded movies. Maybe the target audience?
13 15 Thank You for Smoking FoxS $1,675,000 +66.8% 126 +72 $13,293 $3,418,000 - 3
w00t! I knew it would hold its double digit pta even if it expanded over double its previous theatre count. Poeple are really liking this movie. It should expand to 250 theatres next week if it knows whats good for itself.
- 26 Tsotsi Mira. $294,000 +8.4% 120 +39 $2,450 $1,638,000 - 6
Still chugging along, but very unimpressive.
- N Brick Focus $87,500 - 2 - $43,750 $87,500 - 1
I thought it was getting released near here, but wasn't. Its across town and I might catch it mid week on the way back in from work then. I can't wait to hear what Makeshift thought of it!
- N The Devil and Daniel Johnston SPC $25,700 - 5 - $5,140 $25,700 - 1
Considering everyone said how brilliant this movie is, I'm dissappointed in its pta. Th promo posters were great, but its going to have to rely on wom and a slow build now.
No info yet on Beauty Academy of Kabul?
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:57 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
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ICE AGE 2 won't end up crossing 70 Million for the weekend, in my opinion. It will be under 70 Million.
I feel bad for SLITHER and BASIC INSTINCT 2. They did terrible. BASIC INSTINCT 2 is already a hit overseas though and will do great on DVD so all will be good. I wish I could say the same for SLITHER but it's from Universal so that will keep it from doing great in rentals. It could do good sales though. I definitely see BI2 out by early July now. SLITHER might come out in August.
It's weird THE HILLS HAVE EYES had that big of a drop considering SLITHER couldn't even make 4 Million. Oh well, at least it should get to about 42 Million.
BRICK did absolutely AMAZING in two theaters. It's obvious that will be expanding.
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 1:05 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35249 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Some Weekend Estimates
dolcevita wrote: 13 15 Thank You for Smoking FoxS $1,675,000 +66.8% 126 +72 $13,293 $3,418,000 - 3
w00t! I knew it would hold its double digit pta even if it expanded over double its previous theatre count. Poeple are really liking this movie. It should expand to 250 theatres next week if it knows whats good for itself.
It's supposed to expand to 300+.
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 1:09 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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In addition to what Magnus said, The Incredibles had a 3.44 IM opening weekend. I think big computer animated films that open on Friday tend to have smaller IMs the first weekend.
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 1:24 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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Mike wrote: ICE AGE 2 won't end up crossing 70 Million for the weekend, in my opinion. It will be under 70 Million.
I feel bad for SLITHER and BASIC INSTINCT 2. They did terrible. BASIC INSTINCT 2 is already a hit overseas though and will do great on DVD so all will be good. I wish I could say the same for SLITHER but it's from Universal so that will keep it from doing great in rentals. It could do good sales though. I definitely see BI2 out by early July now. SLITHER might come out in August.
It's weird THE HILLS HAVE EYES had that big of a drop considering SLITHER couldn't even make 4 Million. Oh well, at least it should get to about 42 Million.
BRICK did absolutely AMAZING in two theaters. It's obvious that will be expanding.
How is BI2 a hit overseas? Based on what source? It just got released Friday.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 1:24 pm |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm Posts: 16061 Location: The Damage Control Table
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 Re: Some Weekend Estimates
Mike wrote: dolcevita wrote: 13 15 Thank You for Smoking FoxS $1,675,000 +66.8% 126 +72 $13,293 $3,418,000 - 3
w00t! I knew it would hold its double digit pta even if it expanded over double its previous theatre count. Poeple are really liking this movie. It should expand to 250 theatres next week if it knows whats good for itself. It's supposed to expand to 300+.
Thanks Mike.
Great! I still expect an 8,000 pta.
BTW, I want to see Summer Storm too, but I think it already came and left here?
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 1:25 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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I'm actually disappointed with Brick's PTA. I fully expected it to be in the $60,000 range with only 2 theaters and $14 a seat.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 2:20 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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great wknd for Ice Age 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 2:26 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40601
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Heh, I'm the king of kiddie blockbusters. Closest on Harry Potter, Narnia, and now Ice Age 2.
Not a bad IM for Basic Instinct 2 actually, thought it would be mega-frontloaded due to the hype.
Disappointing for Inside Man.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 2:41 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Im not surprised IM didnt increase more on Saturday, Final Four was on last night.
Good to see the wom for BI2 picking up, fantastic increase................
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 3:08 pm |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am Posts: 9808 Location: Suisse
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Well great for Ice Age.
Well Inside Man still can do 100.
I do not comment Basic Instinct 2. I guess the result is comment for its own.
[spoil]grann.....ähhh mature porn is out[/spoil]
I KEED I KEED: DONT WORRY: I KEED
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 3:09 pm |
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AlexGTX
Speed Racer
Joined: Thu Dec 29, 2005 9:16 pm Posts: 192
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Dont know why everyone is disapionted a Inside Man its doing fine 15 mil second weekend, what were you guys expecting 16 mil? wow big deal it did fine. It can still reach 100 mil... Collateral anyone? (yes i know it had smaller drops but it has a smaller opening weekend) anyways if it makes 85 mil thats still great.
_________________
See Hard Candy!
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 3:40 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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Just noticed something, global warming blockbusters are opening at $70 m! Ice Age 2 and Day After Tommorow...granted they were going to do well anyway, but its definitely bringing up awareness...
Rank Title (click to view) Studio Lifetime Gross / Theaters Opening / Theaters Date
1 The Day After Tomorrow Fox $186,740,799 3,444 $68,743,584 3,425 5/28/04
2 Waterworld Uni. $88,246,220 2,420 $21,171,780 2,268 7/28/95
3 A.I. Artificial Intelligence WB $78,616,689 3,242 $29,352,630 3,242 6/29/01
4 The Arrival Orion $14,063,331 1,693 $4,806,763 1,693 5/31/96
5 Split Second Istr $5,430,822 1,085 $2,250,000 1,085 5/1/92
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:13 pm |
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AlexGTX
Speed Racer
Joined: Thu Dec 29, 2005 9:16 pm Posts: 192
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O wrote: Just noticed something, global warming blockbusters are opening at $70 m! Ice Age 2 and Day After Tommorow...granted they were going to do well anyway, but its definitely bringing up awareness...
Rank Title (click to view) Studio Lifetime Gross / Theaters Opening / Theaters Date 1 The Day After Tomorrow Fox $186,740,799 3,444 $68,743,584 3,425 5/28/04 2 Waterworld Uni. $88,246,220 2,420 $21,171,780 2,268 7/28/95 3 A.I. Artificial Intelligence WB $78,616,689 3,242 $29,352,630 3,242 6/29/01 4 The Arrival Orion $14,063,331 1,693 $4,806,763 1,693 5/31/96 5 Split Second Istr $5,430,822 1,085 $2,250,000 1,085 5/1/92
We didnt listen!!!
_________________
See Hard Candy!
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:22 pm |
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rolandka19
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 9:33 am Posts: 1117 Location: Somewhere in the East Coast
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Extremely impressive openings for Ice Age: The Meltdown and ATL (very nice PTA).
Decent drop for Inside Man. It will end up with a very nice total gross- $85-100 million.
I'm very glad that Thank You For Smoking continues to perform well in limited release.
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 10:12 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Nice obviously for IA.
Poor Slither...
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Sun Apr 02, 2006 10:34 pm |
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Cotton
Some days I'm a super bitch
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 7:22 pm Posts: 6645
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Ticket sales are up 40% from the same weekend last year. It's a great boost that'll hopefully continue for a while.
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Mon Apr 03, 2006 12:44 am |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm Posts: 16061 Location: The Damage Control Table
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xiayun wrote: I'm actually disappointed with Brick's PTA. I fully expected it to be in the $60,000 range with only 2 theaters and $14 a seat.
You ever been down to the Angelika here? It couldn't do a 60,000 pta if it rolled out that movie on every screen it had. :-) Tiny theatre, and probably couldn't afford more than two screens for it.
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Mon Apr 03, 2006 1:08 am |
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