Silent Hill Predictions - Opening Weekend: $20,200,000
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Silent Hill Predictions - Opening Weekend: $20,200,000
SILENT HILL
Release Date: April 21, 2006
Studio: TriStar Pictures (Sony)
Director: Christophe Gans
Screenwriter: Roger Avary
Cast: Radha Mitchell, Sean Bean, Laurie Holden, Deborah Kara Unger
Official Website: http://www.WelcometoSilentHill.com
Production Stills: View here
Summary: "Silent Hill" is based on the Konami game in which Rose (Mitchell) desperately searches for her lost daughter in the mysterious, terrifying town of Silent Hill, where they are trapped.
View Teaser Here
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Another year, another video game adaptation...But you know what? This one actually looks like it could turn out pretty good, especially considering the talent involved. The director Christopher Gans has already shown that he can handle the genre well with The Brotherhood of the Wolg. The screenwriter Roger Avary worked on movies like Rules of Attraction and Pulp Fiction. The first images and the first "teaser" suggest that this will be a full-blown atmospheric creepy horror. The movie's biggest competition will be Scary Movie 4's 2nd weekend, but since it will be the only big horror movie by the time of its release, it will still find its own audience. As Doom has proven earlier this year, the populairty of the game alone assures no success. Silent Hill, however, doesn't seem to rely on the game's success, but is trying to be a movie of its own. I think that will help. Moreover, The Amityville Horror has done pretty well with its April release date last year.
Nonetheless, here are some comparisons from the video game adaptations genre:
[table][row] Movie[col] Opening Weekend[col] Theatres[col] PTA[col] Total Gross[col] Multiplier[row] Resident Evil: Apocalypse[col]$23,036,273[col]3,284[col]$7,014[col]$51,201,453[col]2.22[row] Resident Evil[col]$17,707,106[col]2,528[col]$7,004[col]$40,119,709[col]2.27[row] Doom[col]$15,488,870[col]3,044[col]$5,088[col]$28,048,600[col]1.81[/table]
I expect Silent Hill to have somewhat better legs than these three, though.
My early predictions:
Opening weekend - $18.1 million
Total gross - $46 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Mon Apr 24, 2006 8:46 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Wed Dec 28, 2005 4:15 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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15/40 or thereabouts. This has great potential as the game is scary as hell.
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Wed Dec 28, 2005 5:31 am |
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danyari
Speed Racer
Joined: Fri Dec 09, 2005 11:44 am Posts: 104
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I'm with you Dr. Lecter, this movie have a different look, im looking foward for it.
I would say 21/62
Cheers !
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Wed Dec 28, 2005 9:16 am |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm Posts: 20411
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Amityville Horror numbers is what SILENT HILL will be aiming for. Definetly will be the biggest video game ever released.
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Wed Dec 28, 2005 10:46 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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How can you think it will be big when you don't even know anything about it. I say it will have Doom like numbers....15/30
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Wed Dec 28, 2005 11:09 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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The teaser was freaky....very effective. Looks like one of the best of the bunch from the start of next year (Along with Hills, Stranger, FD3)
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Wed Dec 28, 2005 1:22 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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Eeek, prediction..
$16.5M/$44M
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Wed Dec 28, 2005 1:22 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Opening Weekend: $22 million
Total Gross: $50 million
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Wed Dec 28, 2005 1:32 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Unfortunately Doom left a bad taste in people's mouth so I think video game adaptions will be affected. Im not going to make that mistake again and highball video games.
15 million/40 million
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Wed Dec 28, 2005 3:13 pm |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 16163 Location: Croatia
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If it's a good adaptation 17/52.
If it's a bad one 14/32.
I'm hoping SH will be good. I love video games, they're so creepy and have great storylines. I like the story for the second part the most. The dead wife sending letters to her husband. Sends chills down my spine every time.
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Wed Dec 28, 2005 4:25 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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baumer72 wrote: How can you think it will be big when you don't even know anything about it. I say it will have Doom like numbers....15/30
I know that unlike most adaptations of its kind, it has a very promising director, a good screenwriter and a chilling teaser.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Dec 29, 2005 2:44 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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Thing is, the movie is not going to look like a video game movie from everything that I can tell. My prediction will depend on the theatrical teaser/theatrical trailer, but for now I'd say it's a movie ripe with opening potential, although it could be hurt by so many horror movies in the proceeding months.
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Thu Dec 29, 2005 7:48 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs Prediction:
Opening Wknd: 18.6m
Domestic total: 54m
_________________The Force Awakens
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Thu Dec 29, 2005 8:04 am |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: Unfortunately Doom left a bad taste in people's mouth so I think video game adaptions will be affected. Im not going to make that mistake again and highball video games.
15 million/40 million
But no one saw Doom, so I don't think it will be affected. 
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Thu Dec 29, 2005 2:07 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm Posts: 20411
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Is it just me, or is this film look fucking good. April can't come soon enough. Everything is right, buzz, trailer, advertising.
34/75 Highest grossing April 2006 release. Yes, Scary Movie 4 will not be.
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Thu Feb 16, 2006 5:27 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Im guessing Amityville Horror #'s
Opening in the low to mid 20's and a total of around 60m-65m
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
Last edited by Joker's Thug #3 on Thu Feb 16, 2006 5:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Thu Feb 16, 2006 5:36 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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It has the potential to be good and do well. The trailer is quite effective.
20/60
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Thu Feb 16, 2006 5:37 pm |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am Posts: 9808 Location: Suisse
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17/50
This is maybe the first Gamemovie I smell real quality and if it will deliever it this is gonna do well.
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Thu Feb 16, 2006 9:16 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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I predict 12 Million Opening and at best, 27-30 Million Domestically.. This is a movie that will appeal strictly to game lovers only who are familiar with the title.. Everyone else will stay home and pass on it.. I don't see this performing any better than any other Game Adaptation made into a film, including Uwe Boll's attempts, so it's inevitable DVD release date will be quick..
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Fri Feb 17, 2006 4:40 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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Nah, the gamers will be there, but don't forget the (judging by this years releases UW2, HOSTEL, FD3, STRANGER) horror crowd who turn out, obviously, in droves...
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Fri Feb 17, 2006 8:54 am |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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baumer72 wrote: How can you think it will be big when you don't even know anything about it. I say it will have Doom like numbers....15/30
difference being that its barely markete as a video game adaptation.
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Fri Feb 17, 2006 9:09 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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I think this will break out. The trailer has everything a horror hit needs; it's as effective as can be.
30m/81m
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Fri Feb 17, 2006 1:56 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm Posts: 7286 Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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DP07 wrote: I think this will break out. The trailer has everything a horror hit needs; it's as effective as can be.
30m/81m
hopefully the movie will continue what the creepy trailer started.
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Sun Mar 05, 2006 3:43 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Im upping my predictions to 28 million/70million. Its been playing at almost every single horror movie and action film. Everytime theres some talk going on after the trailer. Looks very creepy too
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Sun Mar 05, 2006 3:56 pm |
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zennier
htm
Joined: Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:38 pm Posts: 10316 Location: berkeley
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Fantastic teaser, a built in game fanbase, and a horror look should allow this one an opening in the high teens. Depends on the WOM, but it could approach 50m
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Sun Mar 05, 2006 4:21 pm |
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