75.68%

two bad derbys in a row

76.25%...

77.68%

I raised Curious at the last minute to $5m (I was pretty confident, too) and lowered Date Movie (which I later raised back up for Big Brother, thank god).

Meh, could've been worse. Dave Chapelle's still a god. So, instead, I'll direct my anger towards Rogue for releasing this when and how they did.

78.28%

So much for Aquamarine flopping. And Block Party taking the weekend. It's the last time I listen to the consensus here...

Yeah, definitely.

I was once "good" because I went with my gut. Not anymore...

haha! yeah, i had Aquamarine at $9.6M and Block Party at $6.2M

[table][row color=#FF0000]Movie[col color=#FF0000]Prediction[col color=#FF0000]% Change[col color=#FF0000]Actual[col color=#FF0000]Percent[row color=#FFFF99]16 Blocks[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 15.7 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 11.7 million[col color=#CCFFFF]65.81%[row color=#FFFF99]Ultaviolet[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 9.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 9.0 million[col color=#CCFFFF]100.00%[row color=#FFFF99]Dave Chapelle's Block Party[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 17.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 6.5 million[col color=#CCFFFF]0.00%[row color=#FFFF99]Aquamarine[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 5.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 7.5 million[col color=#CCFFFF]66.67%[row color=#FFFF99]Madea's Family Reunion[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 13.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-56.7%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 13.0 million[col color=#CCFFFF]100.00%[row color=#FFFF99]Eight Below[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 11.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-30.7%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 10.3 million[col color=#CCFFFF]93.20%[row color=#FFFF99]The Pink Panther[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 7.3 million[col color=#FFFF99]-34.2%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 7.0 million[col color=#CCFFFF]95.71%[row color=#FFFF99]Date Movie[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 4.2 million[col color=#FFFF99]-54.0%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 5.2 million[col color=#CCFFFF]80.77%[row color=#FFFF99]Curious George[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 4.6 million[col color=#FFFF99]-36.2%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 4.4 million[col color=#CCFFFF]95.45%[row color=#FFFF99]Firewall[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 4.2 million[col color=#FFFF99]-37.1%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 3.6 million[col color=#CCFFFF]83.33%[row] [col] [col] [col] [col] [row] [col] [col] [col] [col] [row]10 Movies:[col]78.10%[col][col][col][/table]This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ

77.68%

80.18%
Not bad

72.85%

Meh. Well, it's not too bad I guess. I didn't really raise from projections, but everyone else dropped madly, so it still helps. Other than the obvioius Aqua and Block Party, that damn Ultraviolet killed me. I hate when movies are in that high digits/low teen range, %s are lost so easily. A 13.2 prediction got me a 50%.

76.66

75.78%. The holdovers saved me somewhat.

81.64%

78.67%

Crappy crap.

80.70%

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Actual[col]Accuracy[col]% gain/loss[row color=#CCDDFF] 1 [col] Brokeback Mountain [col] 13.5 [col] 13 [col] 96.15% [col] 51.60%[row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] Hoodwinked [col] 16.1 [col] 11.7 [col] 62.39% [col] -35.06%[row color=#ffCC66] 3 [col] Pink Panther [col] 10.5 [col] 10.3 [col] 98.06% [col] 5.14%[row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Something New [col] 8.1 [col] 9 [col] 90.00% [col] 1.96%[row color=#ffCC66] 5 [col] Curious George [col] 9.1 [col] 7.5 [col] 78.67% [col] 8.67%[row color=#ffCC66] 6 [col] Firewall [col] 7.5 [col] 7 [col] 92.86% [col] 11.90%[row color=#ffCC66] 7 [col] Final Destination 3 [col] 14.5 [col] 6.5 [col] 0.00% [col] 0.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] Big Momma's House 2 [col] 4.5 [col] 5.1 [col] 88.24% [col] 13.24%[row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] When a Stranger Calls [col] 4.7 [col] 4.4 [col] 93.18% [col] 44.79%[row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] Nanny McPhee [col] 4 [col] 3.6 [col] 88.89% [col] 26.82%[/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (actual) [col]78.84%[row color=#CCDDFF] Estimated [col] 65.94% [row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 67.40% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 86.48% [/table] Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've gain a 12.90% in your average.

78.91%

CG had a multiplier near 4.5 last week, but that was with some schools out on Friday. I was counting on 4.8 this weekend with a better Sat increase. For Firewall, 80% is a bit high for the type of film, so I figured a mean reversion was likely.

Oh, 75.81%.