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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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Animosity Reigns wrote: Jeff(S). wrote: Hmm...
I have tickets for the preview on Thursday. Not really anticipating it, but free is free. will prob be at my place, i got it set up in a pretty decent size aud...we are having a screening thurs night... unless other theatres are having screenings that i dont know about I don't know if you can post your theater name here? Mine is at The Atlantic Station Regal, so unless you changed theaters that isn't you is it?
_________________
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| Tue Feb 14, 2006 10:56 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21896
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Hmm, this could do anything, I could do pink panther numbers, but I dont underestimate the date crowd either during a holiday. I can't decide.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Wed Feb 15, 2006 12:43 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I'm going with $26M for the long weekend, but I think it could still do $30M.
26/65.
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 2:48 am |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Zing's prediction is getting smaller and smaller...
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 2:59 am |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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When they can't even fill up a free preview screening you know things are bad.
At one of the most popular theaters in Atlanta there was less then 50% capacity. And this is after being advertised from not one, but two radio stations, plus a newspaper and an internet site.
Not a good sign at all. Even The Producers filled up its auditorium at a less popular theater.
_________________
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 3:01 am |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Less than 50%? A preview screening?!
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 3:19 am |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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The Dark Shape wrote: Less than 50%? A preview screening?! Yeah. It was abyssmal.
_________________
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 3:59 am |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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I withdraw my support for this film. It will be lucky to make 16m now.
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 4:08 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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I predicted a 19.5 million four day weekend. (3-day - 16.5 million).
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 4:27 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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It's over, no way it will even have 25m for the 4 day IMO. I don't think the appeal was wide enough.
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 5:55 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23385
Location: Melbourne Australia
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I always thought this film was more Teen movie than Scary movie - so i say $20m four day.
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 10:45 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Seriously, with Big Momma's House 2 and WASC making $20+ million opening weekend, this one will easily top $35 million. Last post by Lecter in this thread. 
Anyway:
Opening: 15.1 (18.0 4-day)
Total: 39.7 (2.63)
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 1:25 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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16m (4 day)
Total: 45m
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 1:36 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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The Dark Shape wrote: Zing's prediction is getting smaller and smaller... I tried to play it safe for the derby without crossing the line of insanity.
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 3:43 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Zingaling wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: Zing's prediction is getting smaller and smaller... I tried to play it safe for the derby without crossing the line of insanity. Zingaling wrote: Date Movie will make no less than $25M for the 4-Day weekend.
It just won't. What kind of confidence is that?! 
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 4:07 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Yeeeeeeeah.
Uh, last time I checked, $26M is more than $25M. So, when I say "Date Movie will make no less than $25M 4-Day," I didn't do anything wrong by going with $26M.
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 4:10 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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 Zingaling wrote: If what you said before about Date Movie being a big internet movie were true, it would be tracking well on Reel Source, atleast. And, yeah, comparing Date Movie to Freedomland (which is like destined to make less than $30M TOTAL) and Eight Below is not exactly the best idea.
Like I said, everyone is trying to find reasons why it's tracking well on Moviefone and Yahoo, instead of judging it like other films that have showed up on there early in the week and went on to do well (WASC, FD3, Underworld, etc.). It's not like Date Movie is some special exception to every single Moviefone and Yahoo related rule. Underworld: Evolution was probably a huge internet movie, and it did show up on Moviefone and Yahoo around the same time as this. But, no one excused that. People are trying to find reasons why this one is an exception, when really, it's not the case. Well, the internet buzz is good, but hardly extraordinary. The yahoo search buzz score of 9 is hardly impressive; movies that open with under 10m often have scores nearly as high. Underworld 2 was in the mid 20s at this time. The other buzz indicator that track clicks is much better for the movie, but that's because of the trailer, and trailer viewing at yahoo has never been a good indicator for BO. It's hard to say how many clicks it has independent of the trailer.
As for moviefone, well, there have been movies to bomb that have done as well.
Last edited by DP07 on Fri Feb 17, 2006 4:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 4:23 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Final prediction:
$17.8m (3-day) / $21.0m (4-day) / $50.0m (total)
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Feb 17, 2006 4:32 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Damn, i never joined the $35M group....but earlier on in this thread, i had $31M.
Then said on page 4, "no doubt in my mind, this will open above $30M"
Hehee, how i was wrong.
The movie is far from a flop though....still very solid figures.
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| Sat Feb 18, 2006 12:55 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Someone hide this thread please...
and delete all the replies that said it was a lock for at least 35 million for 3 days!
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| Sat Feb 18, 2006 4:35 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40592
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From December
Shack wrote: Nope, I'm out.
I thought the trailer was funny, but it doesn't scream big hit to me.
I'm thinking about 24 mil opening right now. Oh yeah. Owned.
Biatches. _________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sun Feb 19, 2006 3:38 am |
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Temujin
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Jul 02, 2005 12:40 pm
Posts: 156
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Shack wrote: Heh, Cheaper By the Dozen 2 was tracking for 38 million 5-day and it made 14. So it does happen.
But I don't think it will here. It looks like another Not Another Teen Movie if you ask me. The ads have just been...bad. I'm thinking it could go as low as 13 million 3-day, though I'll be predicting somewhere around 20 to 21 million most likely. And then this. Owned.
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| Sun Feb 19, 2006 3:04 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Alright, so it didn't quite open to what I expected, but for a $20M production cost, it'll be a nice little profit for Fox.
Oh, and tracking was off big time for it.
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| Tue Feb 21, 2006 1:06 am |
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Korrgan
problem?
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:52 am
Posts: 15515
Location: Bait Shop
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Ihopetheynevermakeasecondone.That'dbeterrible.
Andmypredictionwould'vebeenlike$18forthe4-day,hadIpredictedanywhere.
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| Tue Feb 21, 2006 1:14 am |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm
Posts: 7286
Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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as here are the numbers through Thursday
3. DATE MOVIE 20THE CENTURY FOX 2,896 895,000 309 24,689,000
* guess there is a chance it might hit 35 Million by Sunday
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| Sat Feb 25, 2006 1:59 am |
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