Any early predictions?

Is the Silent Hill trailer attached to Ultraviolet?

Wow, that doesn't look good for 16 Blocks to be #1 this week... not sure what to do. (Already forgot to put in my Box Office Derby predictions anyway... oh, well.)

16 Blocks - 94, +0, B
Aquamarine - 133, +6, C+
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - 119, +2, B-
Ultraviolet - 182, +8, B+

No projections yet, since it's still painfully slow.

Is there a particular reason Aquamarine has more reviews than 16 Blocks?

I think I would actually be a little amused if it somehow made more, especially since the reviews I've read say it's not that bad for what it is.

Aquamarine will have a 3x bigger ratio.

yes, it is. So more exposure for the film.

Aquamarine will be big, especially if the grade stays in the C range. Ice Princess, with an even more family friendly G rating as well as pretty decent reviews, still had a ratio over 600 with frontpage. Without front page, the ratio could get cut in half, but it'll still be large.

is Yahoo stuck or is everything flopping?

16 Blocks - 125, +31, B
Aquamarine - 220, +87, C+
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - 165, +46, B-
Ultraviolet - 237, +55, B- (down from B+)

Next hour should be even bigger.

Looks like Block Party is out of the fight for the top spot.

16 Blocks -180, +55, B
Aquamarine - 363, +143, C+
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - 217, +52, B-
Ultraviolet - 342, +105, B-

Not looking good for 16 blocks?

Na it's fine for 16 Blocks, it's more of a night movie with an older audience, and should also handily be getting the lowest ratio of the movies opening.

I see no sellouts anywhere for anything. Not good.

I wouldn't be surprised if Madea tops again.

16 Blocks -193, +13, B
Aquamarine - 393, +30, B- (up from C+)
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - 230, +13, B-
Ultraviolet - 365, +23, B-

Seems decent for Ultraviolet and 16 Blocks. Aquamarine is surprisingly strong while Block Party is weak.

With a 300 ratio, Aquamarine probably won't get 2m. The real winner this week looks like Ultraviolet. Pretty good for a crummy spring dump.

Ultraviolet looks to have around $4M today. The biggest story so far is the weakness of Block Party. The PTA could still be good, but it'll be more in the Hustle & Flow range instea of Madea's Family Reunion.

It actually does have a few sellouts here in DC, but I agree it will probably have between a $7,000 and $8,000 PTA.

16 Blocks looks like it might not do much more than Hostage. Very disappointing for that.

I'm seriously going to laugh if Aquamarine and Ultraviolet are *both* ahead of it.

I always had a feeling about 16 Blocks not doing so well, but meh, I caved into the pressure. In fact, all of my last-minute prediction changes this morning will all work against me, unfortunately.

16 Blocks - 201, +8, B
Aquamarine - 415, +22, C+ (down from B-)
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - 234, +4, B-
Ultraviolet - 381, +16, B-

16 Blocks - 236, +35, B
Aquamarine - 493, +78, B- (up from C+)
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - 277, +43, B-
Ultraviolet - 479, +98, C+ (down from B-)

Any near final projections for all four?

16 Blocks - 253, +17, B
Aquamarine - 527, +34, C+ (down from B-)
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - 296, +19, B-
Ultraviolet - 530, +51, C+

Well, it looks like it will be a split weekend, Madea probably making around 12, which should be around 16 blocks, and Ultraviolent may pull out a tight victory.

The curse of the 2006 thrillers continues.

16 Blocks - 266, +13, B
Aquamarine - 538, +11, C+
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - 304, +8, B-
Ultraviolet - 551, +21, C+

A weak day for Yahoo, and no move to the frontpage means the numbers won't improve the last 3 hours either. Comparatively, Ultraviolet seems to be the most impressive, but its grade has dropped from B+ all the way to C+. I think David's projected ratio of 160 is still likely, and it will give it close to $4m for the day. Even with decent report, the number doesn't suggest Aquamarine will break $2m; should be a little below that. Then around $3.5m for 16 Blocks. Block Party is the most disappointing, as it is unlikely to challenge $3m. I'd give it about $2.5m.

Based on the theatre I went to today, that seems about right.

Attendence only for the Openers:

Ultraviolet - 65% full in a 300-seater at 6:00. Decent but not great either.

Block Party - 10 people (wow) at 7:30. That's terrible for such a primetime show. Add in the fact that two of the people obviously didn't know what they were seeing and thus walked out 20 minutes in and it's not looking good. I thought people were saying Chapelle has pull?

16 Blocks - 60% in a 300-seater. Again, decent but it really should be closer to selling out, especially since Firewall did just that a few weeks ago in the same theatre at the same time.