We have a goo dchance of surging ahead of last year this weekend....

If Underworld can open above 30 million and both Hoodwinked and Brokeback Mountain hold well, we will pass it for sure....here is what the top 10 looked like last year..

1 N Are We There Yet? $18,575,214
2 1 Coach Carter Par. $10,548,599 -56.4%
3 2 Meet the Fockers Uni. $9,683,260 -49.9%
4 3 In Good Company Uni. $7,989,410 -44.1%
5 4 Racing Stripes WB $6,815,275 -51.0%
6 N Assault on Precinct 13 Rog. $6,502,724 -
7 6 White Noise Uni. $4,988,480 -58.7%
8 7 The Aviator Mira. $4,837,872 -4.3%
9 9 The Phantom of the Opera WB $4,555,434 +24.2%
10 5 Elektra Fox $3,964,598 -69.0%

The holdovers absolutley collapsed last year... so all we need is some decent holds from last weekends openers...
Here's how I am see this weekend...

1. Underworld -- 27 million
2. Hoodwinked -- 10 million
3. Brokeback Mountain -- 8 million
4. Glory Road -- 7.5 million
5. Last Holiday -- 7 million
6. Narnia -- 6 million
7. Dick and Jane -- 6 million
8. Hostel -- 4 million
9. The New World -- 4 million
10. End of the Spear -- 4 million

Another victory for 2006

83m vs 97.6m

YAY, Go 06 It would be kewl to see the wknd break 100m with actuals

2006 now beats the last 4 years at the same time period.

A good start, hopefully it can finish that way.

Good idea (even if you didn't realize you were suggesting one). Can we make a list for a few years prior as well? And that way we can compare for broader trends as well?

Welcome!

I didn't think of that, but it's a great idea. Thanks for the welcome.

http://www.usatoday.com/life/movies/new ... look_x.htm

Here's USA TODAY'S Breakdown of how they feel about the 2006 year compared to 2005.. There saying X3 is the swan song for the franchise.. Didn't they hear about an X4 and X5 or maybe X3 really is it??

If it makes as much as Day After Tomorrow did for Fox over Memorial Day weekend, there'll be another one. Heck, Fox is so sequel-happy (isn't Big Momma's House 2 enough proof of that? <G>) that I'm surprised they didn't greenlight "The Day After The Day After Tomorrow" the Tuesday after it opened.

I think the problem is that they're probably going to be losing some of their cast with this one or else they know they'll be priced out of making it affordable to make a 4th movie.

Great increase this weekend, next weekend could be tough though...
$104 million

Here's my early estimates..

Big Momma's House -- 18 million
Underworld:Evolution -- 12 million
Nanny McPhee -- 12 million
Hoodwinked -- 8 million
Brokeback Mountain -- 7 million
Annapolis -- 7 million
Last Holiday -- 6.5 million
Glory Road -- 6.5 million
The Matador -- 6 million
Narnia -- 5 million
FDAJ -- 4 million
Walk the Line -- 3 million

Top 12 Total : 95 million

Could be close....

wow, looks like we actually beat last year, and should be able to beat next weekend as well...

Could 2006 be a good year for the Box Office afterall?? Guess we'll see...

[quote="Bryan_smith"]wow, looks like we actually beat last year, and should be able to beat next weekend as well...

Could 2006 be a good year for the Box Office afterall?? Guess we'll see...[/quote]

Still too early to tell. Remember we had a strong Jan last year, and look how that year turned out!

$99,373,000 this weekend, versus $104,449,103 last year.

We're down a little, but it's not too surprising because lots of films barely dropped last year due to the snowstorm the weekend before. I think we'll rebound next weekend.

Year to date:
(up to January 29th)

2006 $753.5 (+5.7% on 2005, +12.6% on 2004, +7.8% on 2003, +5.5% on 2002)
2005 $713.1
2004 $669.4
2003 $699.0
2002 $714.3

Great January for 2006!

Plus, let's not forget that The Chronicles of Narnia, King Kong, and Brokeback Mountain (among others) are contributing some of their grosses to 2006. Only $12 million of Brokeback's final gross will go to 2005, while the rest will go to 2006.

As of right now, this is how 2006 looks (from Jan. 1 - Jan. 29):

[table][row]Rk.[col]Title[col]Studio[col]Gross in 2006[col]TC[col]Total Gross[row]1[col]The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe[col]BV[col]$68,332,913 [col]3,853[col]$277,773,000 [row]2[col]King Kong[col]Uni.[col]$54,272,165 [col]3,627[col]$212,982,000 [row]3[col]Fun with Dick and Jane[col]Sony[col]$52,251,462 [col]3,239[col]$106,314,000 [row color=#FFFF00]4[col color=#FFFF00]Hostel[col color=#FFFF00]Lions[col color=#FFFF00]$45,665,000 [col color=#FFFF00]2,337[col color=#FFFF00]$45,665,000 [row color=#FFFF00]5[col color=#FFFF00]Underworld: Evolution[col color=#FFFF00]SGem[col color=#FFFF00]$44,303,000 [col color=#FFFF00]3,207[col color=#FFFF00]$44,303,000 [row]6[col]Brokeback Mountain[col]Focus[col]$38,406,000 [col]1,654[col]$50,836,000 [row]7[col]Hoodwinked[col]Wein.[col]$37,671,999 [col]3,020[col]$37,672,000 [row color=#FFFF00]8[col color=#FFFF00]Glory Road[col color=#FFFF00]BV[col color=#FFFF00]$34,766,001 [col color=#FFFF00]2,397[col color=#FFFF00]$34,766,000 [row]9[col]Cheaper by the Dozen 2[col]Fox[col]$33,632,086 [col]3,211[col]$79,591,000 [row color=#FFFF00]10[col color=#FFFF00]Last Holiday[col color=#FFFF00]Par.[col color=#FFFF00]$32,628,000 [col color=#FFFF00]2,514[col color=#FFFF00]$32,628,000 [row]11[col]Memoirs of a Geisha[col]Sony[col]$28,538,116 [col]1,654[col]$53,862,000 [row]12[col]Munich[col]Uni.[col]$28,254,341 [col]1,498[col]$40,530,000 [row color=#FFFF00]13[col color=#FFFF00]Big Momma's House 2[col color=#FFFF00]Fox[col color=#FFFF00]$28,000,000 [col color=#FFFF00]3,261[col color=#FFFF00]$28,000,000 [row]14[col]Rumor Has It[col]WB[col]$20,744,058 [col]2,815[col]$42,013,964 [row]15[col]The Family Stone[col]Fox[col]$17,440,770 [col]2,464[col]$58,846,106 [row]16[col]The Ringer[col]FoxS[col]$16,748,351 [col]1,853[col]$34,013,979 [row]17[col]Walk the Line[col]Fox[col]$15,161,996 [col]1,201[col]$106,013,000 [row color=#FFFF00]18[col color=#FFFF00]Nanny McPhee[col color=#FFFF00]Uni.[col color=#FFFF00]$14,085,000 [col color=#FFFF00]1,995[col color=#FFFF00]$14,085,000 [row color=#FFFF00]19[col color=#FFFF00]Tristan and Isolde[col color=#FFFF00]Fox[col color=#FFFF00]$13,793,000 [col color=#FFFF00]1,845[col color=#FFFF00]$13,793,000 [row]20[col]Match Point[col]DW[col]$13,242,075 [col]501[col]$13,691,000 [row]21[col]Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire[col]WB[col]$12,966,820 [col]2,316[col]$286,248,000 [row]22[col]Syriana[col]WB[col]$10,728,142 [col]1,725[col]$46,876,000 [row]23[col]Casanova[col]BV[col]$10,308,672 [col]1,011[col]$11,034,000 [row]24[col]The Producers[col]Uni.[col]$9,339,030 [col]978[col]$18,602,572 [row color=#FFFF00]25[col color=#FFFF00]End of the Spear[col color=#FFFF00]RM[col color=#FFFF00]$7,763,000 [col color=#FFFF00]1,163[col color=#FFFF00]$7,763,000 [row color=#FFFF00]26[col color=#FFFF00]Annapolis[col color=#FFFF00]BV[col color=#FFFF00]$7,708,000 [col color=#FFFF00]1,605[col color=#FFFF00]$7,708,000 [row]27[col]The New World[col]NL[col]$7,692,607 [col]811[col]$7,833,000 [row color=#FFFF00]28[col color=#FFFF00]Grandma's Boy[col color=#FFFF00]Fox[col color=#FFFF00]$5,984,116 [col color=#FFFF00]2,016[col color=#FFFF00]$5,984,116 [row]29[col]The Matador[col]Wein.[col]$5,461,324 [col]885[col]$5,501,000 [row]30[col]Wolf Creek[col]Wein.[col]$5,439,781 [col]1,761[col]$16,001,000 [row]31[col]Pride and Prejudice[col]Focus[col]$3,942,438 [col]407[col]$37,440,000 [row]32[col]Capote[col]SPC[col]$3,465,403 [col]348[col]$15,279,000 [row color=#FFFF00]33[col color=#FFFF00]BloodRayne[col color=#FFFF00]Rom.[col color=#FFFF00]$2,405,421 [col color=#FFFF00]985[col color=#FFFF00]$2,405,420 [row]34[col]Yours, Mine and Ours[col]Par.[col]$2,261,674 [col]1,174[col]$52,590,333 [row]35[col]Good Night, and Good Luck.[col]WIP[col]$1,690,379 [col]157[col]$25,134,000 [row]36[col]Chicken Little[col]BV[col]$1,687,760 [col]803[col]$133,432,759 [row]37[col]Mrs. Henderson Presents[col]Wein.[col]$1,671,814 [col]54[col]$2,047,000 [row]38[col]The Squid and the Whale[col]IDP[col]$1,529,368 [col]151[col]$6,586,000 [row]39[col]The Polar Express - IMAX[col]WB[col]$1,226,326 [col]66[col]$10,870,048 [row]40[col]Transamerica[col]Wein.[col]$1,203,257 [col]82[col]$1,448,000 [/table]

Overall this weekend beat last weekend by 2% for a total of $126.6m- very impressive!!

(thats not top 12 but rather the whole lot)

god, this year gives me such a BO boner

Does BOM count every movie when making the YTD charts, or just each weekends top 12?

Im not sure about BOM - I got that info off http://www.entdata.com

This January will end a record month!

shouldn't the weekend of the 22nd be an increase

looks like it will be a very close weekend again.... which is great, considering last winter was really strong

Looks like a loss this weekend...

Weekend 5:

2006: $81,684,000
2005: $87,739,607


Year to date: (up to February 5th)

2006 $889.2 (+3.1% on 2005, +11.8% on 2004, +5.4% on 2003, +5.4% on 2002)
2005 $862.4
2004 $795.1
2003 $844.0
2002 $843.9

[table][row]Year[col]Gross[col]2006[col]2005[col]2004[col]2003[col]2002[row][col][col]% change[col]% change[col]% change[col]% change[col]% change[row]2006[col]$894.70 [col]-[col]3.70%[col]12.50%[col]6.00%[col]6.00%[row]2005[col]$862.40 [col]-3.60%[col]-[col]8.50%[col]2.20%[col]2.20%[row]2004[col]$795.10 [col]-11.10%[col]-7.80%[col]-[col]-5.80%[col]-5.80%[row]2003[col]$844.00 [col]-5.70%[col]-2.10%[col]6.20%[col]-[col]0.00%[row]2002[col]$843.90 [col]-5.70%[col]-2.10%[col]6.10%[col]0.00%[col]-[/table]

Still a good lead, even though the weekend was behind.

This weekend could beat it. Even without a $40 million opener (like Hitch last year), all the openers should open well.

Actually this weekend was another increase over lat year.

I think 06 has only lost one weekend so far. Very good.

The $100m lead over 04 is very good. It will be needed to counter TPOTC.