After the Golden Globes, the Producers Guild Awards are up next on January 22nd!



Here's my reasoning for Crash and Wallace and Gromit:

Crash was a producer's dream. It was made for 6 million dollars, yet it grossed over 50 million domestically, and featured a cast of well known actors such as Sandra Bullock, Brendan Fraser, Matt Dillon, and Don Cheadle, as well as up and comers like Ryan Phillippe, Terrence Howard, and Jennifer Esposito.

When does something like THAT ever come together? I think this win will also position Crash as the movie that could possibly upset the Brokeback Mountain applecart come Oscar night.

Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit was the best reviewed animated film of the year by a good amount. Take a look at the RT scores:

Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit (95%)
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride (83%)
Robots (62%)
Madagascar (55%)
Chicken Little (36%)

Those are my predictions, and this stuff is only fun when everybody plays, so step up to the plate with your picks. Who cares if you're right or wrong, it's all in good fun.

Wow, Robots was actually fresh at RT? Not bad in comparison to Madagascar and Chicken Little.

Anyway, Wallace & Gromit will win this without competition.


For the best film...

Brokeback Mountain

Its budget might be higher than Crash's, but still below $20 million and it'd be a great way to honor the small studio that is about to deliver their highest-grossing movie of all time. I would say that the stars here are present as well with Ledger, Gyllenhaal, Hathaway and Williams and the movie is definitely on track to outgross Crash when all is said and done and they know that. It has one one of the most successful limited runs ever and I would say they will be hnonoring that as well.

Oh and that aside, Brokeback Mountain is pretty much the most praised movie around the globe, so I would say that'll be a factor too

In conjunction with variety, I'm picking Good Night, and Good Luck. It was a labour of love for Clooney, that was filmed in black and white no less, about a subject matter most people aren't exposed to constantly (unlike say homosexuality and racism). Cost 7 mill, made 24 mill, a success by any measurement.

Wallace and Gromit will win Animated.

Hmmm, the thing is exactly that GNGL's box-office was not very impressive for the amazing reviews and acclaim it got. Crash was released during a time in which it could not benefit from award buzz, had a budget of $6.5 million and made more than twice as much and BBM simply posted INCREDIBLE PTA's during its run so far and is on track to make well over $50 million as well.

Except for the bizarre Moulin Rouge victory, they've been good at picking the eventual BP winner. With that in mind, I go for the front runner, not to mention gayest contender since MR , Brokeback Mountain.

I can't argue those numbers but considering BBM and Crash both had niche markets, I think GNGL's run is still impressive.

Let's not forget the PGA isn't completely about $$$. Crying Game, Moulin Rouge (turned its profit overseas), Driving Miss Daisy, all winners.

Comeon, Oscar fans, get those predictions on the table. These awards are up soon.

I'd like to hear all of your opinions and guesses.

Brokeback Mountain should take this one without much problem. If it were to lose, then Crash is most likely to pull off the upset, and of course whichever film won would get a huge boost and become an automatically threat to Brokeback.

Brokeback Mountain
W&G

I have stopped caring.

Capote will shock and win.

Yeah, my head tells me it'll be Brokeback, but my heart is hoping for Crash so this race has some hope of being interesting. I think it would be in everybody's best interest if Crash won the PGA.

Although I have stopped caring ( )

I think the only future "big" awards that won't go to Brokeback Mountain are the SAG Ensemble (Crash) and POSSIBLY the DGA (Good Night, and Good Luck.)

Betting aginst Brokeback in anything is definitely risky.

I don't think it's possible for me to be any more wrong than I already have been, so I may as well take chances and in Good Luck's case... fight for the better film!

At this point it's just my hope that Good Night, and Good Luck. wins SOMETHING.

I've sucked the pooch so much this year, that it may be my last doing any sort of predictions.

Aww...don't give up so easily. Sometimes we get them right and sometimes we don't. At least you have a good grasp on this stuff and your guesses have some logic attached. You don't come off as uninformed at all.

I blame Sam Mendes and Rob Marshall and Universal Pictures (for screwing up Munich campaign). If they had played their cards right, I would have totally gone into November with at least 4 aces.

As it is, I was only right about Good Night and Walk the Line... NOT ACCEPTIBLE!!!!

I'm under the impression that had Jarhead and Memoirs of a Geisha done better, we would be talking about an entirely alternate set of picks this year.

I think that Cinderella Man should have been released in November. That would have changed the whole complexion of the race.

It was a year of many films not living up to their billing. Jarhead, Munich, and Memoirs all did well on paper. I still haven't seen Memoirs, so I don't know how good or bad it is. It doesn't look terrible or anything.

It's not about bad predictions, I mean how easy is it to follow Oscar trends and go with the consensus. For me its about not caring.

<reaches into a hat, pulls out a name>

looks like Capote will pull an upset and blow the race wide open.

Now if you'll excuse me, I have site business to attention to.

I agree with andaroo. GNGL should take the DGA because Lee already won the DGA for CTHD. The SAG ensemble nod can really go either way, but Crash is a good bet, yeah.

If Cinderella Man was released in November/December it'd be a much bigger player now, probably ahead of Walk the Line, since its reception seems to be generally warmer and it has Russell Crowe.

The awards banquet will be held her in Los Angeles at 8 - 10 PM PST. I'll make sure to post the winner when available.

This is going on right now, so results could come in anytime.

Still time to make a prediction.

This is tonight? I had no idea.

Brokeback Mountain wins in a walk.

Yup. It's going on at the moment.

If I was betting money, yeah, BBM gets it, but I'm really hoping Crash can win so we have a bit of excitement in the BP race.