Variety has it.


The Directors Guild of America, favoring moderate-scale dramas for its best director nominations, has selected Bennett Miller for "Capote," Ang Lee for "Brokeback Mountain," George Clooney for "Good Night, and Good Luck," Steven Spielberg for "Munich" and Paul Haggis for "Crash."

-Oscarwatch forums

Capote getting a last minute surge - SAG, DGA, WGA, and PGA.

So it's Walk the Line and Munich fighting for the last spot.

Capote and Crash are in: PGA, DGA, SAG Ensemble, WGA.

Who would've thunk Capote would get in? Well-deserved though.

Can't believe we end up with 4 indie-films at the top (BBM, GNAGL, Crash, Capote) with the more mainstream ones fighting for the last spot.

finally Munich get's one.

I might as well just watch the Independent Spirit Awards.

John Waters is funnier anyway.

Golden Globes are only going to be 3/5 this year.

Walk the Line suddenly looks very weak. People love Reese' performance and like Phoenix's, but after that, nothing. I think Munich will take it.

I'm still not convinced Capote will get in, though its chances have risen ten fold.

Peter Jackson and King Kong are out and done with.

Munich is still pretty much locked for a nod.

BP: Brokeback, Crash, Good Night, Munich, Walk the Line

Sounds like the official end of Kong too.

With all the indies dominating, this sounds like 1996 as well.

What is up with Crash and Capote?

I think it's these two that are just really annoying me. I hate these noms.

Like I said, I hope Brokeback sweeps now. And George picks up any leftovers.

PEACE, Mike.

Somehow the campaign for films like Match Point (despite a brief recovery at the Globes) just never took off. This is such a weird year.

It's very hard to phantom Capote miss at this point after getting support from all 4 big guilds. It also has 2 acting noms at SAG besides the ensemble. Its strength is everywhere except for the tech branches, which we don't know yet.

Good comparison. That had 4 indie films as well.

So Crash is basically a lock, and Capote is looking very strong though I wouldn't be surprised if it's edged out by both Munich and Walk the Line. They need something widely popular in the mix, so I still say Walk the Line will make it by the skin of its teeth. A History of Violence is practically dead now, eh?

Any films outside the top 6 (BBM, GNAGL, Crash, Capote, Munich, and WTL) have to be considered dead at this point.

Does anyone think that he got rewarded enough with LOTR / Return of the King?

It's so spread out with all of the major awards. It's such a crazy year.

GG Drama
- Brokeback Mountain
- The Constant Gardener
- Good Night and Good Luck
- A History of Violence
- Match Point
GG Director
- Match Point
- Good Night and Good Luck
- King Kong
- Brokeback Mountain
- The Constant Gardener
- Munich
PGA
- Brokeback Mountain
- Capote
- Crash
- Good Night and Good Luck
- Walk the Line
DGA
- Brokeback Mountain
- Capote
- Crash
- Good Night and Good Luck
- Munich

Not to mention there are all the midrange awards (BFCA, LAFCA, NBR, etc) that are also acknowledging a large range of films. I wouldn't be surprised to see ANYTHING at the Oscars, nor would I be surprised if a lot of precursor stuff is just thrown out the window, and the Oscars go alone.

PEACE, Mike.

I wouldn't group GG and the midrange awards with guilds. The guilds consist of people who actually vote for Oscar, and so far the big four voting blocks (writers, directors, producers, and actors) have shown unanimous support on four films: BBM, GNAGL, Crash, and Capote. Crash and Capote might miss at the end, but it's not going to be by a big margin at all and requires tech branches to be solidly behind one film.

Capote is in...

Jesus christ.

There is still not usually this much disparity. And the Globes are still considered a "major awards". Guilds are historically the best predictors, but they have their problems too. Films who have swept the Guilds with noms in the past have been shut out by the Oscars. So I am presenting both the Guilds and the Globes, because precedent has really been thrown out of the window this year.

PEACE, Mike.

There is still not usually this much disparity. And the Globes are still considered a "major awards". Guilds are historically the best predictors, but they have their problems too. Films who have swept the Guilds with noms in the past have been shut out by the Oscars. So I am presenting both the Guilds and the Globes, because precedent has really been thrown out of the window this year.

PEACE, Mike.

I still don't think Capote is going to get a Best Picture nomination.

Thank god Spielberg got in. I mean, Jesus, Capote? Is this film really worthy of all these accolades? I know the DGA is a great predictor, but I just don't see it getting a nom for best picture. Walk the Line isn't on very steady legs either so there seems to be two open spots with a handful of films competing for them (3 filled spots are of course GNAGL, Brokeback and Crash).

Bu neither. I would like to remind people of Being John Malkovich and Almost Famous who got just as much (if not more) noms everywhere (and they also socred better at the Globes) and were shut out.

It's set for me:

Brokeback Mountain
Good Night, and Good Luck
Crash
Walk the Line
Munich