BBM expands to 269 theaters (+52 theaters or +24 %) New Year's weekend...

Nice.. It will pass 10 million today

and it wouldn't need to increase at all to match last Friday's number - assuming it doesn't drop today..

but of course it'll increase on Friday.. at least 25%, I think..

right now I'd say we are looking at a 4.5 million 4-day weekend and a total of close to 15 million by the end of Monday...
That mightnot seem like much, but is impressive considering it's still playing under 300 theatres... By the time this thing expands with the Golden Globes, it will have 20 million + in the bag... hard to see how it won't reach at the very least 50 million total... that seems to be the minimum at this point.. who knows what will happen when awards season kicks into gear next month...

BOM confirms the numbers. It dropped 34% on Tuesday and went up 9% on wednesday. Apart from BBM, only Cheaper by the dozen 2 and The polar express increased yesterday, and none of them as much as Brokeback

According to info posted at another forum BM also added a few theaters Wed in Wyoming and Indiana that could account for the boxoffice increase on Wed.

But is Wyoming ready for Brokeback Mountain?

That could explain it. I wonder why It doesn´t show up on BOM, though.

Alright, here is my analysis as to why I believe that 50 million total at this point, is the minimum that this film is going to finish with.

To begin, I think that the Nasayers are not looking at the big picture. From this point on, this film is going to have at the very least two whole months of playability, and two months which it will be one of the focuses of the entertainment media. Starting next weekend it will expand more broadly, and will be playing in 400+ theatres. By the end of this long weekend, it should have between 14-15 million total. That means that 35 million is needed by the end of Feburary when the Oscars take place... That is going to be unbelievably easy, and here is why;

For the first few weekend of January, this picture is going to be touted as the leader in the Golden Globrd race. What many people are forgetting is that up to this point, it has been playing in under 250 theates, and has had little to no advertising. The only advertising has been by the media, and while it is great, it was all before Christmas and has somewhat been lost in the shuffle of the holidays. So advertising should focus attention back on the picture. From there, if it wins any Golden Globes (which I believe it should) it will get a boost from that, and then another boost from Oscar Nominations a week after that (for which I believe a Best Picture nomination is inevitable). By this time it should be in close to 1000 theatres, and should be able to pull in at least 5 million for the weekends. I should also have at least a 30 million total by the end of January. That gives it the entire month of Feburary to build it's box office, and it should. It will be one of the main focuses of the Oscar race.

And no matter how many people say that it's subject is limiting, I think that it has more playability than last year's Sideways, and here is why; women. All my girl friends want to go and see this. It's a heart-breaking love story, not unlike say, the Notebook. And we all know the kind of legs that film had. And if women can convince their significant others to go with them (which won't be that hard to do once the awards start coming in), then it will only stregthen it's box office. If Sideways can make over 70 million dollars, I see no reason as to why this can't.

It should be at least 50 million by Oscar day. If it wins Best Picture, along with a couple of other main categories, who knows how far it will go. But yes, 50 million total at this point is the minimum. Afterall, Million Dollar Baby made 40% of its' gross after winning the Oscar. This one is in it for the long run....

Ok, BOM thursday number:

$920,000 PTA $4,240 +21,9%





Does anyone know if they kept adding thaters on Thursday? The last time this happened, BOM had the right theater count (SBD was wrong). BOM still says 217 screens... in any case, considering the last two days increases, I think It´s bounf to have a softer one this friday.

But even if it"only" increases 25%, its going to have a 4.5 million 4-day weekend or so, increasing its PTA from last week..

+5 million is completely reachable at this point, methinks..

5 million would be absolutely amazing.


Here´s hoping

with 1.3 million on Friday, 5 million seems to be in the bag for the weekend.... and with a nice expansion next weekend, it could match that number...

It should be past the $30 million mark by the time Oscar nominations come in in the last week of January. Depending on how it plays with the Globes, possibly $35m!

I think the holiday dailies helped it quite alot despite being counter-Holiday fair.

congrats to brokeback, 100m here comes the little film that could

I am sure it will continue to do well in the core areas, but I think that Focus, at the moment, is more interested in how it is playing out in the 'burbs where it has been released.

Million Dollar Baby couldn't do 100m and it's an Eastwood film. That's too much of a stretch for BBM, even if it wins.

MDB made it to the mark I expect BBM to make more, its as simple as that

Oh yeah it just crossed didn't it.

Anyway, I don't see Brokeback getting a 2,500 theater release.

I think at best, it could rise up to Mystic River numbers!
And that's assuming ti remaind the front-runner in the media and builds on more buzz as the Oscar season progresses and it wins!

I don't think $100m is out of the question. It's definitely a possibility, but time will tell how strong of a possibility. wow. That would be great wouldn't it?

WHOA, another weekend with a possible $10,000+ PTA

I think a 10 000 + avg is inevitable for the weekend.. it could possibly hit 15 000 +...

Anyways, I finally saw this last night. WOW.
About halfway through the film, I was wondering why it has been deemed one of the best films of the year... then came the second half. I didn't just cry, I wept... right through the credits... such a powerful film... I really believe that this has a shot at 100 million.

I wonder how much this film will gross in total. I am thinking something along the lines of $85m-$105m is possible.

Spider-Man, your avatar is way too long for the one liners you are posting.

Brokeback Mountain will be released on DVD March 7th. Yes you heard me.

http://www.thedigitalbits.com/mytwocentsa113.html#jar

I am sure they will change that if it gets a lot of Oscar noms...

Anyhow, for the 3 day portion of the weekend, it made 3.6 million and was up 89% from last weekend, with a 13 400$ avg. Pretty good! Should be able to pull at least 4 million when it expands into 400+ theatres next weekend.

No. The DVD market is strong and the theater market not so. They know they are a sure bet for nominations. They would rather have super DVD sales/rentals at this point, they are already in the black.

There are people that will rent this who would not go to a theater (even if it is playing in their cities).