You know FWDAJ is the type to have a nice increase next weekend and a multiplier of like 7, so I don't think it's doing poorly at all. I think it will be 14th of the year.

Kong is bound to sell very well on DVD, especially with all the special features that'll be on it, such as Peter Jackson's production diaries.

You know, I think people are disappointed with Kong because it's getting beat out by Narnia. If we didn't compare the two, Kong doesn't look so bad. It did have a better increase into Friday, after all. Kong's doing fine. It's still making $200 million.

Yes, KK will see 200m on DVD IMO, of which the studio will get 150m, so it will easily be extremely profitable once all the other revenues come in.

I don't doubt it will be profitable for the studio when all is said and done, but I would be willing to bet that what you are describing would not fit the studio's definition of extremely profitable...

350m+ in revenues when all is said and done on the domestic side. That will cover the budget and marketing plus provide a 75m+ profit. Then there will be the profits from overseas.

I just find it hard to imagine the Universal executives gathered around the board table during the first week of December, receiving their various projections for the holiday movie season, and one stands up and says, "If King Kong is extremely profitable we might see as much as $75 million domestic plus overseas profits".

I kinda envision them falling asleep with visions of sugar plums dancing in their heads...

I'd rather be in the blue (profit) than in the red (loss), no matter how much the blue is.

I thought the expression for profit was "in the black".

Kong will pass its budget without much trouble. The real threshold now is passing WOTW.

I mean, do we REALLY know for a fact that KONG will be making 200 Million???

We never know the exact intracies of movies budgets and production contracts. Jackson's contract, might have had stipulations that if certain conditions weren't met ($250m domestic, whatever) that he had to pay back the studio $10m or something. I know Cameron had a deal like that with Titanic, he got so fed up he told them to keep all the money (they were trying to get him to pay them back before it was released). I remember reading baseball free agents would sign contracts back in the late 70s and they would trumpted Rod Carew signs $2.4m 8 year deal!! Then if you looked at it Carew had to hit 40 home runs (which he was never going to do),the Angels had to win the division, etc. Therotically it was worth $2.4m, but Carew was really getting paid around $1.6m for the 8 years.

Well, movies like Brokeback Mountain benefit from Oscar buzz the most so when it gets plentiful of noms in January, expect it to get a huge boost. I expect Brokeback Mountain to at least pass $45 million.

Yeah, we do.

Hmmm, I wouldn't really go that far, but I see a nice $115-120 million gross for it, so more like #16 of the year.

Nothing is set in stone yet... ALI opened Christmas Day with $10.2m (setting a Christmas Day opening record in 2001), yet it made only $58.2m altogether...

what are we loking for a 3 day for kong?

fri-8.2
sat.6
sun-16?
thatd be 32.

It won't jump that much on Christmas day.

i honestly have no idea really, though id think itll be atleast a 30 million weekend.

Agreed. It's definitely a lock.

The gross for each film won't be much higher on Christmas Day than on Friday because the early matinee business for Christmas Day will likely be dead because people will be all sleeping from partying and drinking the day before. That's why I realized what Jeff said is no doubt true: Monday gross will be highest by far out of the four days.

Oh for heaven sakes, IT IS NOT A LOCK.. This movie was supposed to be a so called LOCK to tear the box office up and eat NARNIA for breakfast because it had Peter Jackson's name attached to it and now, it's doing so pathetically on a day to day basis, that it's being compared to GODZILLA and The HULK.. Yeah, that's the LOCK were all looking for isn't it?? Bottom Line: Seeing Friday's numbers points this movie to at best, a 25 or 26 Million weekend for 3 days and probably less than 35 Million for a 4 day and that Ladies and Gentlemen is downright and you know it is..

Narnia Rocks all

It depends largely one what it does Sunday I suppose. I'm expecting a huge increase to give it an 18m weekend. With a multiplier of over 7 it could near 140m. That might be a bit bullish, but I do think it can have an increase of 25% next weekend.

C'mon BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN!!! Loves it.

Nice again for KONG.

Well, let's just say that Brokeback's target audience was at the mall doing some late shopping..



and let's face it... this isn't a Christmas movie.. even though it's about love, this is the least "holiday film" out there right now -you really see people going to see this at this time? only special people like us would do that.. it should pick up next monday, hopefully..