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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3225
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 Why Titanic's gross may never be reached again (adjusted).
Given the confluence of DVDs, On-Demand services, shorter Theater-DVD times, and public apathy it is quite possible, even likely, that Titanic will never be topped. This argument is nothing new. The dawn of VCRs was hailed as the beginning of the end for the movie industry. What distinguishes then from now is that technology and the market is making it painfully easy to see a recent movie in your livingroom or wait a short while for it to leave theaters. Misanthropes rejoice. As these trends progress mega blockbusters will become even rarer and most of the top films of the year will reside in the $250-$350m (2005) category. Studio profit potential may not change as they adjust to the changing landscapes but less dependence will be made on boxoffice receipts.
Discuss
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sat Dec 17, 2005 12:04 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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I agree lilmac.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Sat Dec 17, 2005 12:29 pm |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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baumer72 wrote: I agree lilmac.
don't star wars and GWTW have higher adjusted grosses?
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Sat Dec 17, 2005 1:23 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3225
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Indeed and so by default their grosses are unlikely to be achieved again.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sun Dec 18, 2005 4:02 am |
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GCC
The Dark Knight
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 5:11 pm Posts: 777
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Yes, the movie theatre is dying. We will all be witnesses to it.
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Sun Dec 18, 2005 3:41 pm |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am Posts: 9808 Location: Suisse
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Does somebody have a link for a worldwide adjusted gross list???
_________________Libs wrote: FILMO, I'd rather have you eat chocolate syrup off my naked body than be a moderator here.
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Sun Dec 18, 2005 3:49 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3225
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It's almost impossible to adjust foreign grosses.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sun Dec 18, 2005 9:30 pm |
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gardenia.11/14....
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:43 am Posts: 1241 Location: the south
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 The Big T...
I often contemplate on the fact that I can't really explain the T's oversized $$$.. My analysis relies on concepts of storytelling vs. the aforementioned aspects of technology(dvd, releases, etc.).. AS the world becomes 'safer' and more 'interconnected' then the aspect of exceptional story becomes more remote with each decade... Thus a classic telling of an epic story has passed.. Fearce love between classes, battle against the elements, the heights of new technology.... These are each and all being muddeled in the web of connectiveness...
comments ... ??
_________________ -------------------------------------------------------- My book>hollywoodatemybrain.com<... True?!..
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Sun Dec 18, 2005 11:40 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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 Re: The Big T...
gardenia.11/14.... wrote: I often contemplate on the fact that I can't really explain the T's oversized $$$.. My analysis relies on concepts of storytelling vs. the aforementioned aspects of technology(dvd, releases, etc.).. AS the world becomes 'safer' and more 'interconnected' then the aspect of exceptional story becomes more remote with each decade... Thus a classic telling of an epic story has passed.. Fearce love between classes, battle against the elements, the heights of new technology.... These are each and all being muddeled in the web of connectiveness...
comments ... ??
Yes. I think you're brilliant.
Greater connectivity does decrease the need for the representation of the 'other', whatever that other is, and the need to fight it, because the other can be so easily contacted. Social boundaries (classes, ethnicities, religions, etc.) and geographical boundaries (mountains, deserts, the sea) that previously separated us are not entirely removed, but they are much more easily crossed.
I think Titanic suggests the one separation which this connectivity will heighten, rather then remove, and that is the separation between the human being and the machine. We can construct a ship like the Titanic, but we cannot prevent human arrogance from turning it into a monstrous tomb. Likewise, we can create airplanes, but cannot fully prevent them from being transformed into weapons of mass destruction.
What you have touched on is something we as a society have yet to fully understand. The world at present is no less a new territory than the Americas were five hundred years ago.
Cheers.
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Sun Dec 18, 2005 11:49 pm |
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Cotton
Some days I'm a super bitch
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 7:22 pm Posts: 6645
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Well, from a more business perspective, I think Titanic's success was largely attributed to the fact that it had such a massive, broad-demographic appeal. However, the entertainment industry is increasingly adopting a demassified concept in marketing that movies and TV shows just don't reach the audience levels they used to. It's a much more efficient and less risky way of marketing a brand, but the payoff may not be as big...
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Mon Dec 19, 2005 12:47 am |
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choubachou
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 1796
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Shrek 2 proves you wrong.
_________________ Best of 2014: 1- Apes 9.5/10 2- Noah 9.0/10 3- Lone Survivor 8.5/10 4- Captain America 8.0/10 5- 300: 8.0/10
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Mon Dec 19, 2005 1:33 am |
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Cotton
Some days I'm a super bitch
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 7:22 pm Posts: 6645
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choubachou wrote: Shrek 2 proves you wrong.
Those movies still exist, it's just there are more and more movies these days that use a different formula.
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Mon Dec 19, 2005 1:46 am |
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snack
Extraordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:18 pm Posts: 12159
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Why King Kong will outgross Titanic....think about, they're pretty much the exact same movie ('cept Kong opened twice as big --> will gross twice as much)
1. Both 3+ hours
2. Both have male hearthrobs that attract repeat female viewership (Leo and Jack Black)
3. Both involve the title character (or object) 'falling' to its death in the end.
4. Both have (in)famous nipple shots.
Nipples in King Kong
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Mon Dec 19, 2005 2:45 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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Snickety Snack 2 wrote: Why King Kong will outgross Titanic....think about, they're pretty much the exact same movie ('cept Kong opened twice as big --> will gross twice as much) 1. Both 3+ hours 2. Both have male hearthrobs that attract repeat female viewership (Leo and Jack Black) 3. Both involve the title character (or object) 'falling' to its death in the end. 4. Both have (in)famous nipple shots. [img]http://www.all-###########.us/taboo/kate-winslet/kate007.jpg[/img] Nipples in King Kong
Dude, when this is all said and done and the dust settles and the smoke clears, KING KONG will be seen as a joke in comparison to TITANIC and will all look back on this whole thing and wonder what we were smoking to even cause us to think this movie would challenge TITANIC.. It's all downhill the rest of the way for KONG..
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Mon Dec 19, 2005 4:45 am |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am Posts: 13347
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Mon Dec 19, 2005 4:46 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3225
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Perhaps my assertion that most of the top movies will fall in the $250-$350m range is false. Or maybe I should anticipate adjustments to inflation.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sat Jul 15, 2006 3:43 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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 Re: Why Titanic's gross may never be reached again (adjusted
lilmac wrote: Given the confluence of DVDs, On-Demand services, shorter Theater-DVD times, and public apathy it is quite possible, even likely, that Titanic will never be topped. This argument is nothing new. The dawn of VCRs was hailed as the beginning of the end for the movie industry. What distinguishes then from now is that technology and the market is making it painfully easy to see a recent movie in your livingroom or wait a short while for it to leave theaters. Misanthropes rejoice. As these trends progress mega blockbusters will become even rarer and most of the top films of the year will reside in the $250-$350m (2005) category. Studio profit potential may not change as they adjust to the changing landscapes but less dependence will be made on boxoffice receipts.
Discuss
I agree and also think this sucks in the sense that Cameron's gonna lay claim to this title of having a movie at the #1 All Time Domestic Grosser without another film of equal or better quality having a fair chance at passing it because of times changing....
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Sat Jul 15, 2006 7:30 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13056 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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There's one rule that rules them all: NEVER SAY NEVER...
Who would have thought in advance that a little independent movie which opened in 108 theaters and averaged only $5,531 in those theaters would leave theaters with more than $241m? (MY BIG FAT GREEK WEDDING of course)
Who would have thought in advance that a subtitled movie would do more than $370m at the box office? (THE PASSION OF THE CHRIST of course).
Who would have thought in the first place that TITANIC would gross more than $600m?
Who would have thought in advance that a movie would beat TITANIC? (MOVIE TITLE still unknown ;-))
Another golden Hollywood rule (by William Goldman): NOBODY KNOWS ANYTHING
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Sat Jul 15, 2006 7:46 am |
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Mr. R
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Feb 20, 2006 3:19 pm Posts: 2231
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lilmac wrote: It's almost impossible to adjust foreign grosses.
But information about foreign admissions should be somewhere. And it is more reliable than grosses.
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Sat Jul 15, 2006 8:33 am |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am Posts: 13347
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Is Titanic even the biggest grosser, adjusting currency from the films in the past? I doubt it but if it is, it's probably not by much.
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Sat Jul 15, 2006 9:37 am |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm Posts: 13270 Location: Yuppieville
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Archie Gates wrote: Is Titanic even the biggest grosser, adjusting currency from the films in the past? I doubt it but if it is, it's probably not by much.
Gone With the Wind is, isn't it?
Regardless, Titanic's run is a hell of a lot more impressive.
_________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
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Sat Jul 15, 2006 11:22 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
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Archie Gates wrote: Is Titanic even the biggest grosser, adjusting currency from the films in the past?
Worldwide i think it is.
_________________
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Sat Jul 15, 2006 11:32 am |
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Chris Springob
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Wed Jun 01, 2005 9:27 pm Posts: 73 Location: Macquarie Park, NSW, Australia
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Does a list of all time worldwide grossers adjusted for inflation even exist?
If it does, Nazgul may be right that Titanic would be tops, though I'm guessing that Star Wars would be close.
As to the original point, if you just look at the inflation-adjusted domestic list, we haven't seen a movie crack the top 25 in seven years now (last one was The Phantom Menace). (Cracking the top 25 means grossing nearly $500 million in 2006 dollars.) That's a rather long drought. But it's certainly not unprecedented. There was a similar drought between Return of the Jedi in 1983 and Jurassic Park in 1993. So these things can be cyclical, and it's a bit presumptuous to say that something will *never* happen in the future, just based on trends from the last few years.
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Sat Jul 15, 2006 11:50 am |
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Mr. R
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Feb 20, 2006 3:19 pm Posts: 2231
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Chris Springob wrote: Does a list of all time worldwide grossers adjusted for inflation even exist?
I believe it does. It is really not so hard to make such list, although it takes time and patience. The information about admissions exists, the problem is to find it and put together. To get the adjusted gross you only need to take a movie, a country where it was released, and the number of tickets sold multiplied by the current average ticket price in that country. Than take all countries, where the movie was released, and put the grosses together. Mission possible.
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Sat Jul 15, 2006 1:32 pm |
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