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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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 December 9-11 Predictions Big weekend.
Chronicles of Narnia - $61 million
Syriana - $22 million
Last edited by Libs on Sat Dec 10, 2005 3:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 8:34 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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The Chronicles of Narnia - $50 million
Syriana - $16 million
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 8:38 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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I'm getting Jarhead vibes from Syriana all over again. I could be wrong but I see $20M.
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 8:51 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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I don't think the trailer is on par with Jarhead to get people who haven't heard about the film as interested and hooked as after they saw Jarhead's trailer. It's a film that destines to do well in big liberal cities such as New York and L.A. I know nobody expected it to do this well so far in limited release, so that means it has broader appeal than it has given credited for, but I can only see $20M if the actual theater count jumps to over 2500. So far BOM has changed it from 2000 to 1900+ to 1750.
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 8:57 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40591
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Chronicles of Narnia - 65 mil
Syriana - 15.5 mil
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 8:58 pm |
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kypade
Kypade
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 10:53 pm
Posts: 7908
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Chronicles of Narnia - $89,453,201.29
Syriana - $26,783,845.00
:O
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 9:31 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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The Chronicles of Narnia - 70 million
Syriana - 18 million
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 9:38 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32629
Location: the last free city
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Chronicles of Narnia - $63m
Syriana - $17m
HP4 - $9m
Aeon - $6m
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 9:38 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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1. The Chronicles of Narnia - 51.2
2. Syriana - 13.5
3. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - 9.1
4. Walk the Line - 7.7
5. Aeon Flux - 4.3
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 9:39 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm
Posts: 7286
Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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xiayun wrote: I don't think the trailer is on par with Jarhead to get people who haven't heard about the film as interested and hooked as after they saw Jarhead's trailer. It's a film that destines to do well in big liberal cities such as New York and L.A. I know nobody expected it to do this well so far in limited release, so that means it has broader appeal than it has given credited for, but I can only see $20M if the actual theater count jumps to over 2500. So far BOM has changed it from 2000 to 1900+ to 1750. but it has been playing in NY and LA for about a month now - I know because I saw it about a month ago so that will lower those 2 big cities some.
I haven't said anything because I want to re-see it when it opens wide and everyone else sees it.
Also, I haven't been following the BO # on it or if it incrased from the first 5 theaters it started in.
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 10:25 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Goldie wrote: xiayun wrote: I don't think the trailer is on par with Jarhead to get people who haven't heard about the film as interested and hooked as after they saw Jarhead's trailer. It's a film that destines to do well in big liberal cities such as New York and L.A. I know nobody expected it to do this well so far in limited release, so that means it has broader appeal than it has given credited for, but I can only see $20M if the actual theater count jumps to over 2500. So far BOM has changed it from 2000 to 1900+ to 1750. but it has been playing in NY and LA for about a month now - I know because I saw it about a month ago so that will lower those 2 big cities some. I haven't said anything because I want to re-see it when it opens wide and everyone else sees it. Also, I haven't been following the BO # on it or if it incrased from the first 5 theaters it started in. Nov. 25-27 (5 theaters)
22 $374,502 $74,900 $553,530 1
Friday, December 2 (9 theaters)
$142,422 +182.9% $15,825 $892,261
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 10:37 pm |
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misterglass
Iron Man
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:56 pm
Posts: 678
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Syriana is only getting 1700 theatres and it's only been playing for two weekends, not a month.
_________________
misterglass/NYC
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 10:37 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm
Posts: 7286
Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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shades033 wrote: Syriana is only getting 1700 theatres and it's only been playing for two weekends, not a month. sorry it seemed like a month ago - time really files when you are busy.
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 10:53 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs Projections:
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion the Witch and the Wardroble - 68m-88m ( undecided on where it will land)
Syriana - 18.6m
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - 10.48m -48%
Walk the Line - 7.86m -28%
Pride and Prejudice - 3.82m -24%
Undecided on other films in the top 12.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 10:58 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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The overestimating of Narnia begins...
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 11:01 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Zingaling wrote: The overestimating of Narnia begins...  do you mean underestimating  
 _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 11:05 pm |
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Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
Posts: 1406
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Zingaling wrote: The overestimating of Narnia begins...  
thank goodness im not alone!
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 11:32 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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God I kinda hope I'm overestimating Narnia, but I've just heard too much, there's been too much adverteising, and all the evidence leans too heavily toward the film being a huge smash for me to honestly predict less then 70 million.
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| Sat Dec 03, 2005 11:38 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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MovieDude wrote: God I kinda hope I'm overestimating Narnia, but I've just heard too much, there's been too much adverteising, and all the evidence leans too heavily toward the film being a huge smash for me to honestly predict less then 70 million.
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| Sun Dec 04, 2005 12:33 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I don't know about USA and TNN, but if you watch FOX and haven't seen commercials for Narnia and Kong, I think you might not be paying attention. Both films have tons of commercials.
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| Sun Dec 04, 2005 12:39 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Narina will smash the Ape 
The both have fantastic T.V. spots, but Narnia just bearely egdes past the Ape. Narnias trailers are hands down way better _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Dec 04, 2005 12:50 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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One thing I forgot to add is how interesting this weekend is going to be. It's like opening F9/11 against Passion of the Christ on the same weekend.
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| Sun Dec 04, 2005 1:02 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Zingaling wrote: The overestimating of Narnia begins... I second this. People seem to forget that only two other December films have opened with over $50M, and both were LOTR sequels.
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| Sun Dec 04, 2005 1:06 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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BJ wrote: Zingaling wrote: The overestimating of Narnia begins... do you mean underestimating Perhaps, but... Quote: The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion the Witch and the Wardroble - 68m-88m ( undecided on where it will land)
Even $68 million is a stretch, but it could actually happen. $88 million, though? Let's be real here, there's no reason whatsoever why this film would open to a number like that. It'd be the biggest December opening ever by a good $16 million, and I can't see it.
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| Sun Dec 04, 2005 1:14 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Positive Jon wrote: Zingaling wrote: The overestimating of Narnia begins... I second this. People seem to forget that only two other December films have opened with over $50M, and both were LOTR sequels. they would have both obliterated those opening wknds with a friday release, that does not fit well with Narnia, it opens on a friday afterall  Two Towers would have opend around 80m and ROTK would have opened in the 90m-110m range. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Dec 04, 2005 1:16 am |
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