| Author |
Message |
|
MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
|
DP07 wrote: 40m/134m
The marketing has been great, so while I once thought it would get an opening near 30m, I'd now say 40m. Unlike many action films though I think this will have a pretty good multiplier. The summer weekdays will of course help, but I think the real difference is that it is more comedy oriented. Come on MovieDude, this isn't I, Robot, it should have a multiplier of at least 3. :wink: Yeah, but it DOES have Batman Begins five days after it opens, and War of the Worlds twelve. The weekdays won't quite be at the full summer extent yet.
|
| Wed Jun 08, 2005 10:19 am |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15530
Location: Everywhere
|
MovieDude wrote: DP07 wrote: 40m/134m
The marketing has been great, so while I once thought it would get an opening near 30m, I'd now say 40m. Unlike many action films though I think this will have a pretty good multiplier. The summer weekdays will of course help, but I think the real difference is that it is more comedy oriented. Come on MovieDude, this isn't I, Robot, it should have a multiplier of at least 3. :wink: Yeah, but it DOES have Batman Begins five days after it opens, and War of the Worlds twelve. The weekdays won't quite be at the full summer extent yet. The weekdays are nearly there. The weekend after Batman Begins opens they just about are at their height, and even in the first week they will be over 85% of the normal summer weekdays. For the run as a whole it makes only a slight difference.
It will survive the competition. I don't see it dropping more then the 56% (I forget the exact number) X2 dropped against Reloaded. Its legs will be fine.
|
| Wed Jun 08, 2005 11:51 am |
|
|
|
A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
|
Put me down for 37m/125
|
| Wed Jun 08, 2005 1:39 pm |
|
|
|
baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
|
If I could look into my crystal ball for this weekend, it would look like this:
Friday: 10 mill
Saturday- 12.5 (25% increase)
Sunday- 8 mill (-36%)
Weekend total- 30.5 mill
Total- 85-90 mill
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
|
| Wed Jun 08, 2005 2:11 pm |
|
|
|
FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am
Posts: 9808
Location: Suisse
|
Im with baumer here.
Something like 30/92
_________________Libs wrote: FILMO, I'd rather have you eat chocolate syrup off my naked body than be a moderator here.
|
| Wed Jun 08, 2005 6:19 pm |
|
|
|
MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
|
 DP07 wrote: MovieDude wrote: DP07 wrote: 40m/134m
The marketing has been great, so while I once thought it would get an opening near 30m, I'd now say 40m. Unlike many action films though I think this will have a pretty good multiplier. The summer weekdays will of course help, but I think the real difference is that it is more comedy oriented. Come on MovieDude, this isn't I, Robot, it should have a multiplier of at least 3. :wink: Yeah, but it DOES have Batman Begins five days after it opens, and War of the Worlds twelve. The weekdays won't quite be at the full summer extent yet. The weekdays are nearly there. The weekend after Batman Begins opens they just about are at their height, and even in the first week they will be over 85% of the normal summer weekdays. For the run as a whole it makes only a slight difference. It will survive the competition. I don't see it dropping more then the 56% (I forget the exact number) X2 dropped against Reloaded. Its legs will be fine. I think they'll be fine too, I just don't think it'll pass a 3 multiplier. :razz:
|
| Wed Jun 08, 2005 11:52 pm |
|
|
|
Neostorm
All Star Poster
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 2:48 pm
Posts: 4684
Location: Toronto
|
I'm saying 51 Million opening weekend, total of 154 million
|
| Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:56 am |
|
|
|
matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
|
i might change the Opening number later
Opening weekend- $43.5M
Final Gross- $139M
|
| Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:00 pm |
|
|
|
insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm
Posts: 5868
|
51/147
Buzz is too strong and stars are too powerful to get an opening below $40 million. Can't explain the legs though....I just have a feeling. I'm thinking I, Robot or Bourne Supremecy numbers.
_________________
|
| Thu Jun 09, 2005 1:07 pm |
|
|
|
FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am
Posts: 9808
Location: Suisse
|
I saw the movie today. It was just ok. You could easy cut 30 min off because they story can be put on a toilet paper.
I would give a 6/10
Btw:Interesting.There were a lot of elder women in the audience. Actually a very lot of a lot.....
_________________Libs wrote: FILMO, I'd rather have you eat chocolate syrup off my naked body than be a moderator here.
|
| Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:31 pm |
|
|
|
Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
|
I dont think Smith will have alot of appeal towards the teen crowd, mostly the older audience will go see it, still should do pretty good though.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
|
| Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:32 pm |
|
|
|
Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
|
I dont think Smith will have alot of appeal towards the teen crowd, mostly the older audience will go see it, still should do pretty good though.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
|
| Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:32 pm |
|
|
|
A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
|
FILMO wrote: I saw the movie today. It was just ok. You could easy cut 30 min off because they story can be put on a toilet paper.
I would give a 6/10
Btw:Interesting.There were a lot of elder women in the audience. Actually a very lot of a lot..... Define elder? 30? 70?
|
| Thu Jun 09, 2005 11:05 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
Killuminati510 wrote: I dont think Smith will have alot of appeal towards the teen crowd, mostly the older audience will go see it, still should do pretty good though. How do you figure that? How is it NOT aimed at teens?
The stars, the action, the summer...I don't see how it doesn't attract teens. Brad Pitt isn't exactly on the hottie list of 80 year old women (I think...). Angelina is on EVERYONE's hottie list (even those 80 year old women).
But, we'll find out soon.
|
| Thu Jun 09, 2005 11:20 pm |
|
|
|
JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
|
Some of my friends, my gf, my sister and her bf saw the midnight showing today. I thought it was totally fun, and all who went with me agreed. The ending fell apart a little bit, but I was laughing throughout the movie. I give it an entertaining 4 out of 5 stars :wink:
_________________
"Do or do not, there is no try."
|
| Fri Jun 10, 2005 2:45 am |
|
|
|
The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
|
opening - 36.1 million.
Closing - 116.1 million.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
|
| Fri Jun 10, 2005 2:48 am |
|
|
|
JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
|
Opening Weekend: 46 million
Total Gross: 123 million
_________________
"Do or do not, there is no try."
|
| Fri Jun 10, 2005 4:15 am |
|
|
|
andaroo1
Lord of filth
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:47 pm
Posts: 9566
|
Zingaling wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: I dont think Smith will have alot of appeal towards the teen crowd, mostly the older audience will go see it, still should do pretty good though. How do you figure that? How is it NOT aimed at teens? The stars, the action, the summer...I don't see how it doesn't attract teens. Brad Pitt isn't exactly on the hottie list of 80 year old women (I think...). Angelina is on EVERYONE's hottie list (even those 80 year old women). Teens are an easy market to capture with something like this, the ads have been clearly targeted towards an older audience.
It will attract teens by default, their goal, however is to attract "The Bourne Supremacy adult audience".
|
| Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:32 am |
|
|
|
Bodrul
All Star Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 11:21 am
Posts: 4694
Location: Cambridge, England.
|
OPENING PREDICTIONS
newfoundglorysp - 19m
nebs -- $20m
libs - $20m
roguecomander-25.7m
El masked - 27m
bj - 28m
lecter - $29.5 m
rtms-30m
filmo-30m
baumer-30.5m
Impact - 32m
teenman-34m
MG casey - 34.3m
Andrew - 35m
Riggs27- $35m
hans - 36m
Scott V-36.1m
roguecommander - $37 m
Archie Gates - 37m
zach - 37m
rb652-37.5m
matatonio - $38M
Public enemy#1- 38
zingaling-40m
dp07-40m
sako - 43m
trixter-43m
matatonio-43.5m
moviedude-45m
J morphin-46m
algren - $48m
tombraider17-51m
insomniacdude-51m
neostorm-51m
TOTAL
nebs -- $55 m
newfoundglorysp - 60m
El masked - 72m
baumer-85m
lecter - $88m
roguecommander - $91m
filmo-92m
sako - 95m
Andrew - 100m
rtms-100m
bj - 102m
roguecomander-103m
MG casey -104.9m
libs - 105m
zach - 105m
impact - 105m
rb652-105m
zing - $108.0 m
Public enemy #1- 108m
hans - 109 m
trixter-110m
Riggs27 - $112m
Scott V-116.1m
J morphin-123m
moviedude-125m
matatonio - $125M
Archie Gates - 125m
zingaling-128m
dp07-134m
matatonio-139m
algren - $141m
insomniacdude-147m
tombraider17 - 150m
neostorm-154m
teenman-170m
|
| Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:36 am |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
My final predictions.
Opening: $42.8 million
Total: $128.4 million
|
| Fri Jun 10, 2005 11:48 am |
|
|
|
Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
|
My predictions
$44,000,000
$127,000,000
|
| Fri Jun 10, 2005 7:06 pm |
|
|
|
Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
|
Wait, question.
Why do you have me down as predicting $20M?
My prediction was actually $40M. At this point, I think $50M is more likely, in fact.
Edit: Whoops. Looks like $20M was some foolish prediction I made back in December. Ignore me.
|
| Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:51 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
Libs...
Libs wrote: I don't this movie will open to these heights of over $40M some of you are predicting (come on), but I do think it should be able to open with at least $20M-25. I'd say a finish of $105-115M seems likely. Heh. Page 1. 
|
| Fri Jun 10, 2005 10:53 pm |
|
|
|
Bodrul
All Star Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 11:21 am
Posts: 4694
Location: Cambridge, England.
|
OPENING PREDICTIONS
newfoundglorysp - 19m
nebs -- $20m
roguecomander-25.7m
El masked - 27m
bj - 28m
lecter - $29.5 m
rtms-30m
filmo-30m
baumer-30.5m
Impact - 32m
teenman-34m
MG casey - 34.3m
Andrew - 35m
Riggs27- $35m
hans - 36m
Scott V-36.1m
roguecommander - $37 m
Archie Gates - 37m
zach - 37m
rb652-37.5m
matatonio - $38M
Public enemy#1- 38
dp07-40m
libs - $40m
zingaling-40m
sako - 43m
trixter-43m
matatonio-43.5m
moviedude-45m
J morphin-46m
algren - $48m
tombraider17-51m
insomniacdude-51m
neostorm-51m
Last edited by Bodrul on Sun Jun 12, 2005 10:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
|
| Sun Jun 12, 2005 7:58 am |
|
|
|
Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
|
I still don't feel like my prediction should go down as $20M, when I said that half a year ago and changed my mind quite a while ago...
|
| Sun Jun 12, 2005 9:56 am |
|
|
