After a little more research, I'm convinced Cinderella Man's number isn't that great. I'm looking at BOM's comparison chart between it and The Terminal, Seabiscuit, and Road to Perdition. None of them increased 100% on Friday, even though two of them got good theater bumps. The three films had a weekend multiplier of 3.165, 3.486, and 3.374. So suppose CM is able to drop only 5% Wednesday and Thursday combined, increase 98.5% on Friday and a multiplier of 3.486 (pretty much the best best case scenario), it will gross 11.4M for the weekend, still a 38% drop. I think 100M is very unlikely at this point.

Wow, Crash has a decent chance to get a mulitplier of over 6 whereas Dogtown may not even get a 2.

$80-85 million seems likely for Cinderella Man at this point.

A 100% dissapointing drop for Sith

Damn Madagascar and Damn TLY :evil: Did they had to open at the same time and take many people from seeing ROTS? Damn them!! I hope the other movies from those studios will bomb heavily

I'm still thinking Sisterhood will have some of the strongest legs of the summer.

This movie isn't produced by Lions Gate...... They just paid $4 million to acquire it.

I didn't even notice it did over $1 million yesterday. Excellent result and you could be right.

I'm actually surprised Sisterhood didn't go higher. It definately made more than the average at the theatre I went to. It'll have fine legs.

CM will drop quickly. Xia, you're assumptions, as you stated, are pretty much "the best possible" and I don't think it'll come close to that. Its not going to break 11 million this weeken. If anything, I see it struggling to get ten.

Will Dogtown even reach 20 million for its total run? I doubt it.

Anything under $10 million won't even get Cinderella Man over $60 million total. Unlikely, dolce.

It won't even pass 12m

No doubt...especially since I predicted only 57ih I think. No doubt its unlikely. My predictions aren't based off of logic, just *natural intuition* but anyways....I'll step out and let you guys work it out.

I do not know why I'm so antagonistic to this movie, because I've heard nothing but good reviews from people on the site, and like everyone asssociated with the production. Ah well...I still don't think it'll get 60.

Yet all those films were released later in the summer with higher weekday numbers. So, it's possible that CM can increase by more on Friday and/or have a higher weekend multiplier. Not that I think it will reach 100m though....

Possible, given its over 60% drop on Monday, when the other ones enjoyed better holds. Normally the higher Monday's drop, the better Friday's increase. Still, however I calculate the number, I won't go over 12M in my prediction.

I just don't get what the big deal is with SITH having a 3.2% drop.. Who cares?? The difference between it and Madagascar was 3 Million dollars when SITH has already made a bloody fortune in 3 weeks.. Just because it's SW doesn't mean it's gonna hold up forever and considering Madagascar is more of a feel good movie for kids, SITH really isn't kid friendly.. Some of you focus too much on the doom and gllom of stuff like this.. It's performing Excellent..

WHY??? WHY?? WHY?? Explain how this is disappointing??? I don't get it.. A 3.2% drop is not that big a deal the way your making it out to be after it just made over 300 Million dollars in record time.. The Bottom line id that the movie is Frontlaoded and everyone rushed out to see it when it came out and now it's winding down.. If anything, you all should be concerned about BATMAN BEGINS and how it will perform in it's 2nd week cause it very well could pull a HULK.. If it does that, then every RT user and Batfan will be placed on Suicide watch.. It's a damn good movie, but it's also alot more talk than it was action, kind of like HULK was..

Madagascar, Sith, Longest Yard, Sisterhood and Crash are all doing excellently in my opinion.

Hmmm, Sisterhood of Travelling Pants could pass $40M, we'll see after the weekend drop.