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 June 10-12th Predictions 
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Kiera Knightly is my lady!
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
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mine:
1. Smith 33.0
2. Shark Boy 20.0
3. Cinderella Man 16.0
4. Madagasscar 15.0
5. Episode III 14.0
6. Longest Yard 12.0
7. Honeymooners 10.0
8. Sisterhood 7.0

-High Tension 3.5

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Sat Jun 04, 2005 9:42 pm
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The Producer
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Zingaling wrote:
I don't know how bad piracy will have an effect. I mean, I've been searching for High Tension for months, and still haven't found it yet. If it's available (which it is), it's not easily accessible unless I'm lookin' in all the wrong places...

But, no point in looking now. I can go see it in theaters.


Maybe you should try the French title... but if you give it a try it's... [-X
:wink:


Sun Jun 05, 2005 3:58 am
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The Greatest Avenger EVER
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makeshift wrote:
Mike wrote:
makeshift wrote:
I feel bad for High Tension. Honestly, this is one film that I think is going to suffer from piracy. Almost every horror fan that I know of that wanted to see it has already done so. It's bound to hurt the box office, as sometimes films like this only have their core audience to depend on.


But one thing that will help it is that a lot of those that saw it and loved it want to see it on the big screen still. Out of the four people I know of that saw it (and even own it) every one of them plans on supporting it in theaters.


As do I, but i'm just not feeling the hype and buzz around this film the way it should be, especialyl in the horror community. I'm not sure if that has more to do with Lion's Gate mishandling the film, or people not having much interest because they've already seen it. I'm expanding on this topic in the High Tension thread in Cinemania so as to not hijack this one.


Come on.. Like we were REALLY gonna feel any hype or buzz around a sadistic slasher flick like this?? :-k You know better than that dude.. This movie should've just went straight to DVD for as Mute as it has been on the marketing..


Sun Jun 05, 2005 4:39 am
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Mr. and Mrs. Smith
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Mr. and Mrs. Smith- 52 million
The Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl- 16.5 million
The Honeymooners- 6.3 million
High Tension- 3.2 million

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Sun Jun 05, 2005 9:19 am
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Daniel Raedts wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I don't know how bad piracy will have an effect. I mean, I've been searching for High Tension for months, and still haven't found it yet. If it's available (which it is), it's not easily accessible unless I'm lookin' in all the wrong places...

But, no point in looking now. I can go see it in theaters.


Maybe you should try the French title... but if you give it a try it's... [-X
:wink:


What's the French title? 8-[


Sun Jun 05, 2005 10:56 am
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Zingaling wrote:
Daniel Raedts wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I don't know how bad piracy will have an effect. I mean, I've been searching for High Tension for months, and still haven't found it yet. If it's available (which it is), it's not easily accessible unless I'm lookin' in all the wrong places...

But, no point in looking now. I can go see it in theaters.


Maybe you should try the French title... but if you give it a try it's... [-X
:wink:


What's the French title? 8-[


[-X

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Sun Jun 05, 2005 10:59 am
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College Boy Z

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jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
Daniel Raedts wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I don't know how bad piracy will have an effect. I mean, I've been searching for High Tension for months, and still haven't found it yet. If it's available (which it is), it's not easily accessible unless I'm lookin' in all the wrong places...

But, no point in looking now. I can go see it in theaters.


Maybe you should try the French title... but if you give it a try it's... [-X
:wink:


What's the French title? 8-[


[-X


Is curiousity a sin?

... 8-[


Sun Jun 05, 2005 11:00 am
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Zingaling wrote:


Is curiousity a sin?

... 8-[


Curiosity is not, but DL is.

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The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 11:03 am
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College Boy Z

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jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:


Is curiousity a sin?

... 8-[


Curiosity is not, but DL is.


*gasp* Downloading? How dare you, jb. [-X


Sun Jun 05, 2005 11:09 am
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The Producer
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Zingaling wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
Daniel Raedts wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I don't know how bad piracy will have an effect. I mean, I've been searching for High Tension for months, and still haven't found it yet. If it's available (which it is), it's not easily accessible unless I'm lookin' in all the wrong places...

But, no point in looking now. I can go see it in theaters.


Maybe you should try the French title... but if you give it a try it's... [-X
:wink:


What's the French title? 8-[


[-X


Is curiousity a sin?

... 8-[


Never heard of IMDB???? But at least you and most of us her go to the movies and pay for a ticket, while there's great bunch of people who are only downloading films and music and ruin the industry.

If you had French classes at school, the title would have been an easy one.


Last edited by 1981 on Sun Jun 05, 2005 11:12 am, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Jun 05, 2005 11:09 am
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Zingaling wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:


Is curiousity a sin?

... 8-[


Curiosity is not, but DL is.


*gasp* Downloading? How dare you, jb. [-X

:wink:

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The Greatest Actor Ever.
Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 11:09 am
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College Boy Z

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Daniel Raedts wrote:
Never heard of IMDB???? But at least you and most of us her go to the movies and pay for a ticket, while there's great bunch of people who are only downloading films and music and ruin the industry.

A question: did you never had any French classes at school?


I took French, but very basic. I'm taking Spanish all the way, though.

And, yeah, I don't plan on downloading it now. It's pointless when I can see it next weekend on the big screen...


Sun Jun 05, 2005 11:12 am
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Haute Tension


Sun Jun 05, 2005 11:14 am
The Producer
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Nebs wrote:
Haute Tension


:-$ :-$ :-$ :-$ :-$ :-$ :-$


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:00 pm
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Horror Hound
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HIGH TENSION is on over 1,300 theatres next weekend.

I'm hoping for as much as it can manage. But i'm guessing about $4,000,000.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:50 pm
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Any ganders for Howl's Moving Castle? It'll be in 35 theaters according to BOM, hmm.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 12:59 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Jiffy208 wrote:
Any ganders for Howl's Moving Castle? It'll be in 35 theaters according to BOM, hmm.


Spirited Away opened in 26 theaters with a PTA of $17,302. Hayao Miyazaki is better known now among art-house crowds, so I think Howl's Moving Castle can open with at least similar PTA in 9 more theaters. I'd think a 0.5M weekend.

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American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:02 pm
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Does anyone know what the plans are for HMC expanding after that first week?


Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:07 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Mr. and Mrs. Smith - $30.0 million
The Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl - $28.0 million
The Honeymooners - $11.0 million
High Tension - $2.6 million

PEACE, Mike ;)


Sun Jun 05, 2005 1:31 pm
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Team Kris
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Joined: Sat Nov 06, 2004 4:57 pm
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1. Mr. and Mrs. Smith- 48 mil
2. Adventures of Shark Boy and Lava Girl- 23 mil
3. Madagascar- 19 mil
4. ROTS- 17 mil
5. Longest Yard- 14 mil
6. Cinderella Man- 12 mil
7. Honeymooners- 9 mil

High Tension- 4 mil


Sun Jun 05, 2005 2:14 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Mr. and Mrs. Smith- $41M
Sharkboy & Lavagirl- $19.5M
The Honeymooners- $8.2M
High Tension- $4.7M


Sun Jun 05, 2005 2:17 pm
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Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
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Daniel Raedts wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
Daniel Raedts wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I don't know how bad piracy will have an effect. I mean, I've been searching for High Tension for months, and still haven't found it yet. If it's available (which it is), it's not easily accessible unless I'm lookin' in all the wrong places...

But, no point in looking now. I can go see it in theaters.


Maybe you should try the French title... but if you give it a try it's... [-X
:wink:


What's the French title? 8-[


[-X


Is curiousity a sin?

... 8-[


Never heard of IMDB???? But at least you and most of us her go to the movies and pay for a ticket, while there's great bunch of people who are only downloading films and music and ruin the industry.

If you had French classes at school, the title would have been an easy one.


Think about it this way. Downloading is bad (only if they are hollywood films, just like the commericals that play in the theaters about that crying set caterer saying how downloading is ruining her) but since its I believe High Tension is an italian film, there probably isnt anything wrong with it.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 2:18 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Shark Boy and Lava Girl predictions are all over the place, ranging from $10-30 million. Should be interesting. :)


Sun Jun 05, 2005 2:20 pm
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Wallflower
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
Daniel Raedts wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
Daniel Raedts wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I don't know how bad piracy will have an effect. I mean, I've been searching for High Tension for months, and still haven't found it yet. If it's available (which it is), it's not easily accessible unless I'm lookin' in all the wrong places...

But, no point in looking now. I can go see it in theaters.


Maybe you should try the French title... but if you give it a try it's... [-X
:wink:


What's the French title? 8-[


[-X


Is curiousity a sin?

... 8-[


Never heard of IMDB???? But at least you and most of us her go to the movies and pay for a ticket, while there's great bunch of people who are only downloading films and music and ruin the industry.

If you had French classes at school, the title would have been an easy one.


Think about it this way. Downloading is bad (only if they are hollywood films, just like the commericals that play in the theaters about that crying set caterer saying how downloading is ruining her) but since its I believe High Tension is an italian film, there probably isnt anything wrong with it.


HIGH TENSION is French.

And downloading isn't a huge deal when it's some big successful mainstream hollywood flick that doesn't need any more money. If it's already big then it won't miss your few bucks.



*****MY EARLY PREDICTIONS FOR NEXT WEEKEND BASED ON THE ESTIMATES*****

1. MR. AND MRS. SMITH - 32.7 MILLION
2. SHARK BOY AND LAVA GIRL - 22.4 MILLION
3. MADAGASCAR - 18.1 MILLION
4. THE LONGEST YARD - 14.6 MILLION
5. STAR WARS: EPISODE 3 - 14.3 MILLION
6. CINDERELLA MAN - 13 MILLION
7. THE HONEYMOONERS - 11.7 MILLION
8. SISTERHOOD OF THE TRAVELING PANTS - 7.7 MILLION
9. HIGH TENSION - 5.3 MILLION
10. MONSTER-IN-LAW - 2.8 MILLION
11. LORDS OF DOGTOWN - 2.8 MILLION
12. CRASH - 2.4 MILLION


*HOWL'S MOVING CASTLE - $700,000


Sun Jun 05, 2005 2:42 pm
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Wallflower
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BKB_The_Man wrote:
makeshift wrote:
Mike wrote:
makeshift wrote:
I feel bad for High Tension. Honestly, this is one film that I think is going to suffer from piracy. Almost every horror fan that I know of that wanted to see it has already done so. It's bound to hurt the box office, as sometimes films like this only have their core audience to depend on.


But one thing that will help it is that a lot of those that saw it and loved it want to see it on the big screen still. Out of the four people I know of that saw it (and even own it) every one of them plans on supporting it in theaters.


As do I, but i'm just not feeling the hype and buzz around this film the way it should be, especialyl in the horror community. I'm not sure if that has more to do with Lion's Gate mishandling the film, or people not having much interest because they've already seen it. I'm expanding on this topic in the High Tension thread in Cinemania so as to not hijack this one.


Come on.. Like we were REALLY gonna feel any hype or buzz around a sadistic slasher flick like this?? :-k You know better than that dude.. This movie should've just went straight to DVD for as Mute as it has been on the marketing..



I really hate to comment on another post of yours saying how they should have just released this STV and nobody will see it, but I have to say that while you might not have seen any marketing for it, I've seen a ton of TV spots for it. And also, SIN CITY and THE PASSION were sadistic and ultra-violent and that didn't hurt them. Besides, this is a horror film, people going to it will be people that like horror films or they wouldn't be seeing it. People won't know it's incredibly violent just from a TV spot so it wouldn't prevent them from seeing it. And hello, it's ridiculous to say it being sadistic would make people not see it because another Lions Gate horror film, HOUSE OF 1000 CORPSES, was advertised as being incredibly sadistic and that helped it. It ended up opening really well and having surprisingly solid legs, and it sucked! The reviews were bad too. Yet it was a mini-sleeper hit. There's no reason this couldn't be, and it's opening on more than double the screens HOUSE opened on.

HIGH TENSION could end up having a $5,000 per-screen average. This is one that could open mediocre or surprisingly excellent. It's not impossible for it to do great (6-9 Million would be great, even amazing!) since it is summer, so that will definitely help it. And the awesome trailers (the first two anyway) have been being shown in front of movies since SAW, which was a hit and a horror film so it had the same kind of audience. It was also shown in front of DIARY OF A MAD BLACK WOMAN, an even bigger hit than SAW. And it's been in front of various other movies too, like some prints of AMITYVILLE, UNLEASHED, HOUSE OF WAX, MINDHUNTERS, CRASH, etc... Even THE LONGEST YARD at Thompsoncory's theater (which showed the great second trailer with the quotes that I'm sure would play very well with audiences). And now I'm sure it's in front of most prints of LORDS OF DOGTOWN, which also did surprisingly decent. So it has had quite a bit of exposure, and a shitload of TV spots. I'm sure the TV spots will change this week too and will be awesome with cool quotes, like the "IT WILL SCARE THE HELL OUT OF YOU" one.

Right now my prediction puts it in the low $4,000 per-screen average area, however it's obvious it will be in more than 1,300 theaters since actuals pretty much always end up being higher than the estimates. It could be in 1,500 or so. Which would put my per-screen average below $4,000. I can't imagine it not being able to have at the very least a per-screen average of $3,500.


Sun Jun 05, 2005 2:55 pm
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