Total After Day 6: Est. Admissions




Spider-Man 2 28,811,662 ( 4,425,782 | 4,152 | 1,066 )
Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith 28,548,481 ( 1,548,089 | 3,661 | 423 )
The Matrix Reloaded 25,193,949 ( 1,248,499 | 3,603 | 347 )
Spider-Man 24,811,725 ( 1,431,217 | 3,615 | 396 )
Star Wars: Episode I- The Phantom Menace 22,941,439 ( 2,141,983 | 2,970 | 721 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King 22,829,808 ( 2,249,288 | 3,703 | 607 )
Shrek 2 22,479,261 ( 1,841,971 | 4,163 | 442 )
Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones 22,088,187 ( 1,291,359 | 3,161 | 409 )
The Passion of the Christ 21,650,856 ( 1,621,100 | 3,043 | 533 )
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers 19,889,183 ( 2,325,291 | 3,622 | 642 )
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban 18,598,652 ( 1,100,557 | 3,855 | 285 )
Jurassic Park 17,908,058 ( 1,707,188 | 2,404 | 710 )
Austin Powers in Goldmember 17,837,257 ( 1,315,880 | 3,613 | 364 )
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets 17,634,001 ( 694,059 | 3,682 | 189 )
X2: X-Men United 17,088,344 ( 812,017 | 3,741 | 217 )
Mission: Impossible 2 17,035,075 ( 2,406,478 | 3,653 | 659 )
Rush Hour 2 16,433,636 ( 1,290,292 | 3,118 | 414 )
Toy Story 2 16,337,214 ( 494,308 | 3,236 | 153 )
Men in Black II 16,025,090 ( 1,009,327 | 3,557 | 284 )
Planet of the Apes 15,984,734 ( 1,098,508 | 3,500 | 314 )
Bruce Almighty 15,846,784 ( 776,888 | 3,483 | 223 )
Godzilla 15,833,991 ( 2,490,279 | 3,310 | 752 )
Austin Powers: The Spy Who Shagged Me 15,691,090 ( 1,302,331 | 3,312 | 393 )
The Day After Tomorrow 15,434,392 ( 769,502 | 3,425 | 225 )
Jurassic Park III 15,416,589 ( 1,037,481 | 3,434 | 302 )
Finding Nemo 15,108,451 ( 1,115,208 | 3,374 | 331 )
The Matrix Revolutions 14,656,288 ( 760,765 | 3,502 | 217 )
The Mummy Returns 14,328,064 ( 624,919 | 3,401 | 184 )
Signs 14,192,420 ( 1,075,973 | 3,264 | 330 )
Meet the Fockers 13,509,026 ( 2,226,190 | 3,518 | 633 )
X-Men 13,267,670 ( 901,855 | 3,025 | 298 )
The Incredibles 13,118,847 ( 721,615 | 3,933 | 183 )
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl 12,956,971 ( 1,244,538 | 3,269 | 381 )
Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines 12,950,729 ( 946,175 | 3,504 | 270 )
Monsters, Inc. 12,944,523 ( 510,601 | 3,237 | 158 )
The Hulk 12,879,991 ( 722,289 | 3,660 | 197 )
Armageddon 12,817,459 ( 1,260,386 | 3,127 | 403 )
The Perfect Storm 12,608,840 ( 968,325 | 3,407 | 284 )
Scooby-Doo 12,217,288 ( 885,059 | 3,447 | 257 )
Big Daddy 11,537,698 ( 929,743 | 3,027 | 307 )
Cast Away 11,282,939 ( 1,724,151 | 2,769 | 623 )
The Bourne Supremacy 11,239,521 ( 833,210 | 3,165 | 263 )
Waterboy, The 11,103,505 ( 1,166,266 | 2,664 | 438 )
I, Robot 11,018,550 ( 764,227 | 3,420 | 223 )
8 Mile 10,804,725 ( 427,255 | 2,470 | 173 )
Die Another Day 10,664,666 ( 1,144,581 | 3,324 | 344 )
The Village 10,481,477 ( 641,560 | 3,730 | 172 )
Deep Impact 10,466,615 ( 470,825 | 3,156 | 149 )
Mummy, The 10,454,518 ( 540,097 | 3,209 | 168 )
Bad Boys II 10,331,700 ( 730,829 | 3,186 | 229 )
Pokemon: The First Movie 10,230,888 ( 239,922 | 3,043 | 79 )
2 Fast 2 Furious 10,229,647 ( 528,432 | 3,408 | 155 )
Scream 2 10,194,339 ( 479,076 | 3,112 | 154 )
Bug's Life, A 10,156,900 ( 325,033 | 2,686 | 121 )
XXX 10,024,673 ( 673,497 | 3,374 | 200 )
Lethal Weapon 4 9,906,933 ( 802,104 | 3,117 | 257 )
Van Helsing 9,889,866 ( 457,600 | 3,575 | 128 )
Wild, Wild West, The 9,784,460 ( 1,721,903 | 3,342 | 515 )
Saving Private Ryan 9,683,713 ( 975,064 | 2,463 | 396 )
Runaway Bride 9,586,444 ( 867,021 | 3,158 | 275 )
Titanic 9,469,281 ( 706,972 | 2,674 | 264 )
Ice Age 9,420,216 ( 434,423 | 3,316 | 131 )
Catch Me If You Can 9,414,510 ( 1,041,545 | 3,156 | 330 )
Troy 9,411,883 ( 506,730 | 3,411 | 149 )
Shrek 9,384,796 ( 550,791 | 3,587 | 154 )
Scary Movie 3 9,197,474 ( 342,123 | 3,505 | 98 )
World is Not Enough, The 9,116,535 ( 950,394 | 3,163 | 300 )
Haunting, The 9,018,110 ( 655,147 | 2,808 | 233 )
Mr. Deeds 8,906,402 ( 713,285 | 3,231 | 221 )
Charlie's Angels 8,883,969 ( 377,024 | 3,037 | 124 )
Truman Show, The 8,816,777 ( 568,495 | 2,315 | 246 )
Doctor Dolittle 8,780,030 ( 793,397 | 2,789 | 284 )
Rush Hour 8,775,326 ( 441,934 | 2,638 | 168 )
Lilo & Stitch 8,709,883 ( 880,965 | 3,191 | 276 )
Hitch 8,697,230 ( 366,646 | 3,575 | 103 )
Shark Tale 8,634,135 ( 310,332 | 4,016 | 77 )
Dinosaur 8,605,125 ( 376,906 | 3,257 | 116 )
Patch Adams 8,571,642 ( 1,010,661 | 2,714 | 372 )
Gladiator 8,505,345 ( 631,862 | 2,938 | 215 )
Anger Management 8,410,283 ( 432,445 | 3,551 | 122 )
Ocean's Eleven 8,404,770 ( 511,131 | 3,075 | 166 )
Minority Report 8,301,721 ( 646,644 | 3,001 | 215 )
What Women Want 8,240,911 ( 684,861 | 3,012 | 227 )
Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle 8,222,431 ( 501,357 | 3,485 | 144 )
Daredevil 8,204,827 ( 324,910 | 3,471 | 94 )
Cheaper by the Dozen 8,127,037 ( 1,161,689 | 3,298 | 352 )
Matrix, The 8,110,990 ( 758,097 | 2,849 | 266 )
S.W.A.T. 8,110,240 ( 537,248 | 3,202 | 168 )

Ok, so basically, while SW3 is still in stratospheric heights, other films are beginning to catch up. In particular, Spider-Man 2 is obviously going to be a formidable challenger over the next week, and could switch places back and forth for records. I think Spidey will keep its fastest to $200m record, but if so, then by a thin margin. SW3 should edge it out over the weekend, thanks to MMDWKnd Monday. After that, it really depends on the legs.

SW3 will not match Shrek 2's total; the film has 4 $20m+ days coming up, and had decent legs thereafter. $95m over 4 days is a staggering sum, and Shrek 2 is a strong competitor.

I think that, at this point, a total of $380-410m is possible. Depending on how it does during the weekend, it will stay ahead of the $370m triumvirate (ROTK/SM2/TPOTC).

On the adjusted chart front, Titanic, TPM, SM1, Jurassic Park will all have an easy time racing ahead of SW3 over the coming days and weeks. Titanic-Adj. will end up more than doubling SW3's total, while TPM-Adj. and JP-Adj. will be more than $100m ahead.


Cheers :wink:

Day | ---------- Revenge of the Sith ---------- | --------------------- Shrek 2 --------------------- | ------------------ Spider-Man 2 ------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed | --------------------------------------------- | $11,786,415 (- / -) $11,786,415 | $40,442,604 (- / -) $40,442,604
Thu | $50,013,859 (- / -) $50,013,859 | $9,158,767 (-22.3% / -) $20,945,182 | $23,812,920 (-41.1% / -) $64,255,524
Fri | $33,529,613 (-33% / -) $83,543,472 | $28,340,295 (+209.4% / -) $49,285,477 | $32,452,342 (+36.3% / -) $96,707,866
Sat | $40,693,760 (+21.4% / -) $124,237,232 | $44,797,042 (+58.1% / -) $94,082,519 | $33,748,257 (+4% / -) $130,456,123
Sun | $34,212,468 (-15.9% / -) $158,449,700 | $34,900,541 (-22.1% / -) $128,983,060 | $21,955,628 (-34.9% / -) $152,411,751
Mon | $14,352,807 (-58% / -) $172,802,507 | $11,512,320 (-67% / -) $140,495,380 | $27,661,137 (+26% / -) $180,072,888
Tue | $9,907,771 (-31% / -) $182,710,278 | $8,023,299 (-30.3% / -) $148,518,679 | $12,012,472 (-56.6% / -) $192,085,360

Well, it ruined my childhood and I think it generally caused society to fall apart. :razz::wink:

Seriously, nothing. :wink: This simply has always seems to be a frontloaded film IMO. :wink: Just as I thought with The Matrix sequels, and The Ring Two, and I'm a fanboy of both those franchises. :wink:

I think I probably said this already, but when talking about how competition will affect the legs, I mean new competition after opening weekend. That's obviously different from Spider-Man.

Well, I hear a few more agreeing somewhat now, probably thanks in part to the Monday and Tuesday drops. Still, we were the first. :wink:

Ok what do you have in mind?

BTW, Nebs, what do I get for my 9.9m Tuesday prediction? :razz: :wink:

Probably a cookie

BTW yesterday might have quite a good hold. It was 28th Star Wars anniversary yesterday and some of the fans might have gone to see ROTS again. Oh well we shall see. I predict 8.8 for Wed.

You really think many would even know about that?

Look at every Star Wars site or forum and I think that would answer your question :wink:

Two cookies you'll get!

I think Box's charts should be linked up on the site, somehow.

BTW, Nebs and Box, you've been doing a great job with this thread. :wink:

$8,520,000 wednesday i think

Cheers DP.


Btw, heard on another board about American Idol (finals?) and Lost's finale that was on wednesday night...that also could affect Sith's gross.

Wednesday $8,652,951

Day | ---------- Revenge of the Sith ---------- | --------------------- Shrek 2 --------------------- | ------------------ Spider-Man 2 ------------------
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed | --------------------------------------------- | $11,786,415 (- / -) $11,786,415 | $40,442,604 (- / -) $40,442,604
Thu | $50,013,859 (- / -) $50,013,859 | $9,158,767 (-22.3% / -) $20,945,182 | $23,812,920 (-41.1% / -) $64,255,524
Fri | $33,529,613 (-33% / -) $83,543,472 | $28,340,295 (+209.4% / -) $49,285,477 | $32,452,342 (+36.3% / -) $96,707,866
Sat | $40,693,760 (+21.4% / -) $124,237,232 | $44,797,042 (+58.1% / -) $94,082,519 | $33,748,257 (+4% / -) $130,456,123
Sun | $34,212,468 (-15.9% / -) $158,449,700 | $34,900,541 (-22.1% / -) $128,983,060 | $21,955,628 (-34.9% / -) $152,411,751
Mon | $14,352,807 (-58% / -) $172,802,507 | $11,512,320 (-67% / -) $140,495,380 | $27,661,137 (+26% / -) $180,072,888
Tue | $9,907,771 (-31% / -) $182,710,278 | $8,023,299 (-30.3% / -) $148,518,679 | $12,012,472 (-56.6% / -) $192,085,360
Wed | $8,652,951 (-12.7% / -) $191,363,169 | $8,003,467 (-0.2% / -32.1%) $156,522,146 | $10,034,713 (-16.5% / -75.2%) $202,120,073

Thursday: $8.48 million (-2%)
Friday: $15.94 million (+88%)
Saturday: $23.10 million (+45%)
Sunday: $20.79 million (-10%)
Monday: $16.63 million (-20%)

Weekend: $59.83 million (-44.82% from last weekend)
Four-Day Weekend: $76.46 million (-29.49% from last weekend)
Total Domestic Gross: $276.30 million

It'll probably drop more than 2% on Thursday. More like 5-6%.

Final Predictions:

Thursday: $8.04 (-7%)
Friday: $14.75 (+83.5%)
Saturday: $18.59 (+26%)
Sunday: $16.36 (-12%)
Monday: $12.60 (-23%)

3-Day: $49.7 (-54.1%)
4-Day: $62.3 (-42.5%)

Why such a low increase on Saturday? Clones, Phantom Menace, and The Matrix Reloaded ALL increased over 40%.

I didn't realize Reloaded did that. It really won't make a difference though, it would add $5 million to the 4-Day.

I just have a feeling though that the Sat increase will be low.

I predict around $55 million for the 3-day weekend and about $69-70 million for 4-day.

:???: horible drops throughout the wk :???: man, and I was realy hoping for a new 2nd wknd record