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 Scores with Actuals 
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
Post Scores with Actuals
My projections:

Star Wars: Episode III - 87.42% ( 139.0 / 159.0 )
Monster-In-Law - 100.00% ( 13.7 / 13.7 )
Kicking and Screaming - 88.79% ( 10.3 / 11.6 )
Unleashed - 67.65% ( 4.5 / 3.4 )
Kingdom of Heaven - 64.71% ( 4.6 / 3.4 )
Crash - 92.73% ( 5.1 / 5.5 )
House of Wax - 93.33% ( 3.2 / 3.0 )
The Hitchhiker's Guide - 85.00% ( 2.3 / 2.0 )
The Interpreter - 100.00% ( 2.8 / 2.8 )
Mindhunters - 80.00% ( 0.8 / 1.0 )

Accuracy: 85.963%

Xiayun's projections:

Star Wars: Episode III - 84.24% ( 139.0 / 165.0 )
Monster-In-Law - 94.48% ( 13.7 / 14.5 )
Kicking and Screaming - 85.83% ( 10.3 / 12.0 )
Unleashed - 87.50% ( 4.5 / 4.0 )
Kingdom of Heaven - 64.71% ( 4.6 / 3.4 )
Crash - 94.44% ( 5.1 / 5.4 )
House of Wax - 93.33% ( 3.2 / 3.0 )
The Hitchhiker's Guide - 85.00% ( 2.3 / 2.0 )
The Interpreter - 100.00% ( 2.8 / 2.8 )
Mindhunters - 88.89% ( 0.8 / 0.9 )

Accuracy: 87.843%

KOH and Unleashed is going to kill everyone!


Last edited by MGKC on Sun May 22, 2005 1:30 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sat May 21, 2005 1:16 pm
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84.74% with 97.48% for SW3. - Casey's

87.19% with 93.94% for SW3. - xiayun's

Meh, I'm just glad I was close to SW3. Rest will forget pretty soon.


Last edited by Anonymous on Sat May 21, 2005 1:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat May 21, 2005 1:20 pm
College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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MG, are those your projections? BOF has BOM's forecast on there.


Sat May 21, 2005 1:20 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
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Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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83.22% with MG Casey's
85.34% with xiayun's

PEACE, Mike ;)


Last edited by MikeQ. on Sat May 21, 2005 1:28 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat May 21, 2005 1:21 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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83.81% with xiayun's projections.


Sat May 21, 2005 1:24 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
Posts: 1406
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why do the names of the movies on BOF never change???

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Sat May 21, 2005 1:24 pm
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
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Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Zingaling wrote:
MG, are those your projections? BOF has BOM's forecast on there.

:???: I'm confused. I just made my own projections.


Sat May 21, 2005 1:25 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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MG Casey wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
MG, are those your projections? BOF has BOM's forecast on there.

:???: I'm confused. I just made my own projections.


Nevermind. I was talking about the first numbers you had posted before you edited with xiayun's...


Sat May 21, 2005 1:25 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
Post 
83.91% with MG

85.51% with Xiayun


Sat May 21, 2005 1:26 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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For derby, I have 87.96% with Casey's projections and 91.04% with my own projections.

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Recent watched movies:

American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Sat May 21, 2005 1:26 pm
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xiayun, how you got $115m weekend? Might optimistic if you ask me...but love it!


Sat May 21, 2005 1:29 pm
Cream of the Crop

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm
Posts: 2077
Location: At the edge of reality
Post 
Star Wars: Revenge of the Sith - (151 / 165) -- Accuracy: 91.52%
Monster-In-Law - (13.2 / 14.5) -- Accuracy: 91.03%
Kicking and Screaming - (11.2 / 12.0) -- Accuracy: 93.33%
Crash - (5.0 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
Unleashed - (4.7 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 61.76%
Kingdom of Heaven - (4.7 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 61.76%
House of Wax - (3.1 / 3.0) -- Accuracy: 96.67%
The Interpreter - (2.6 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 92.86%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (2.4 / 2.0) -- Accuracy: 80.00%
Mindhunters - (0.8 / 0.9) -- Accuracy: 88.89%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 84.87%

New Release: 84.44%
Still in Theater: 84.98%


Sat May 21, 2005 1:30 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Nebs wrote:
xiayun, how you got $115m weekend? Might optimistic if you ask me...but love it!


All it needs is a 25% jump today and a 25% drop on Sunday to achieve around $113 million.

It's not all that optimistic. It's realistic. :wink:


Sat May 21, 2005 1:31 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm
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Location: At the edge of reality
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The average Dery score is....





















OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 62.73%





















8-[


Sat May 21, 2005 1:33 pm
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loyalfromlondon
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83.42% with MG's

83.49% with xiayun's

By the way, for those who remember, I used to be a fairly big poster at BOM, at then I moved here... I haven't posted in 7 months or so though. I decided to come out of hiding for ROTS. :wink:

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Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


Algren wrote:
I don't think. I predict. ;)


Sat May 21, 2005 1:34 pm
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Site Owner
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm
Posts: 14631
Location: Pittsburgh
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Someone calculate me ... I can never figure this stuff out.


SW Opening Day: 53
Star Wars Opening Weekend (3day): 115

Monster-in-Law - 14
Kicking and Screaming - 9.7
Crash - 4.8
Kingdom of Heaven - 4.4
Unleashed - 4
House of Wax - 3
The Interpreter - 2.5
The Hitchhiker's Guide - 2.2
Mindhunters - 0.5

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Sat May 21, 2005 1:34 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Nebs wrote:
xiayun, how you got $115m weekend? Might optimistic if you ask me...but love it!


It first depends on what real Friday number is, of course. 2M difference on Friday would mean 5M difference for the weekend. But assuming it's BOM's 35.5M, then using AOTC's 3-day multiplier, we'll get close to 117M. I think the PG-13 rating effect that BOG mentioned will be offset by the better WOM, and the weekend gross won't be much lower than that.

_________________
Recent watched movies:

American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Sat May 21, 2005 1:35 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Eagle wrote:
Someone calculate me ... I can never figure this stuff out.


SW Opening Day: 53
Star Wars Opening Weekend (3day): 115

Monster-in-Law - 14
Kicking and Screaming - 9.7
Crash - 4.8
Kingdom of Heaven - 4.4
Unleashed - 4
House of Wax - 3
The Interpreter - 2.5
The Hitchhiker's Guide - 2.2
Mindhunters - 0.5


86.99% with mine, a little lower with Casey's.

_________________
Recent watched movies:

American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Last edited by xiayun on Sat May 21, 2005 1:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat May 21, 2005 1:39 pm
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trixster wrote:
83.42% with MG's

83.49% with xiayun's

By the way, for those who remember, I used to be a fairly big poster at BOM, at then I moved here... I haven't posted in 7 months or so though. I decided to come out of hiding for ROTS. :wink:


Hey! Wb trixster...saw you on BOM couple of days ago and glad you came back here as well.


And, hope you're right xiayun.


Sat May 21, 2005 1:39 pm
loyalfromlondon
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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Nebs wrote:
trixster wrote:
83.42% with MG's

83.49% with xiayun's

By the way, for those who remember, I used to be a fairly big poster at BOM, at then I moved here... I haven't posted in 7 months or so though. I decided to come out of hiding for ROTS. :wink:


Hey! Wb trixster...saw you on BOM couple of days ago and glad you came back here as well.


Thanks.

_________________
Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


Algren wrote:
I don't think. I predict. ;)


Sat May 21, 2005 1:40 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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trixster is back! \:D/


Sat May 21, 2005 1:40 pm
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Site Owner
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm
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Damn, thought I would have done better.


O well.

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Sat May 21, 2005 1:40 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm
Posts: 2077
Location: At the edge of reality
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Eagle wrote:
Damn, thought I would have done better.


O well.


You did good, much better than me... =D>


Sat May 21, 2005 1:41 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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I'm pretty sure my score will go down with estimates and actuals, and other folks will see their scores rise.

_________________
Recent watched movies:

American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Sat May 21, 2005 1:43 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm
Posts: 2077
Location: At the edge of reality
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xiayun wrote:
I'm pretty sure my score will go down with estimates and actuals, and other folks will see their scores rise.


Well, I disagree - I think you'll be in the top 10 this weekend... you nailed pretty much everything! Congrats!! =D> =D>


Sat May 21, 2005 1:45 pm
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