Episode III Thread - 16th on All-Time Domestic List
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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My Final Predictions (its a little bit higher)
Opening Day- $41.1M
Opening Weekend- 3DAY- $96.2M
Opening Weekend- 4DAY- $137.3M
Second Weekend (Memorial Day)
3DAY- $53M -44.9%
4DAY- $66M -31.4%
Domestic Gross- $328M (3.40)
Overseas Gross- $399M
WW Gross- $727M
Midnight Showings- $11M
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| Thu May 19, 2005 1:19 am |
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Anonymous
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 Final Predictions 82 members made some prediction...
Code:
all $ are in millions.
Op- Opening Memorial 3day 3day 3day Dom- Over WW Mult Mid-
en- Weekend Weekend 2nd OW % OW es- seas Ttl w/o nig-
ing (thu-sun) (fri-mon) wknd of Mult tic Ttl OD ht
Day 3day 4day 3day 4day drop Ttl iply Ttl
================================================================================
Algren ? 65 ? ? ? ? 22% 4.6 301 ? ? ? ?
MG Casey 46 91 136 51 ? 44% 32% 3.1 285 386 625 2.6 ?
Korrgan ? 105 ? ? ? ? 31% 3.2 338 ? ? ? ?
Nebs 46 116 162 77 91 34% 23% 4.3 500 531 1031 3.9 15
matatonio 41 96 137 53 66 45% 29% 3.4 328 399 727 3.0 11
Snickety Snack 2 ? 87 ? ? ? ? 29% 3.4 297 ? ? ? ?
Dr. Lecter 44 102 146 54 ? 47% 28% 3.5 358 410 768 3.1 12
Amer ? ? 138 ? ? ? ? ? 406 ? ? ? ?
BJ 48 115 163 64 83 44% 23% 4.4 502 598 1100 3.9 18
ShadyMilkman ? 102 ? ? ? ? 25% 4.0 405 ? ? ? ?
neo wolf 44 112 156 ? ? ? 33% 2.9 330 ? ? 2.6 ?
RogueCommander 44 108 152 59 71 45% 27% 3.8 405 600 1005 3.3 ?
Daniel Raedts ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 525 ? ? ? ?
ChipMunky 40 115 155 71 90 38% 21% 4.7 537 463 1000 4.3 ?
DP07 44 106 150 43 54 59% 33% 3.0 317 395 712 2.6 14
Maverikk ? ? 125 ? ? ? ? ? 350 ? ? ? ?
hans 46 91 137 52 65 43% 25% 4.0 360 390 750 3.5 ?
jb007 ? 96 ? ? ? ? 21% 4.8 462 ? ? ? ?
Riggs27 ? 94 ? ? ? ? 29% 3.5 327 ? ? ? ?
Samweis Gamdschie ? 93 ? ? ? ? 32% 3.1 291 ? ? ? ?
Nazgul9 40 95 135 47 ? 51% 27% 3.7 350 400 750 3.3 ?
MikeQ. 43 93 136 ? ? ? 31% 3.2 300 ? ? 2.8 ?
FILMO 41 98 139 ? ? ? 25% 4.0 388 462 850 3.5 ?
want2write 35 95 130 ? ? ? 29% 3.5 330 ? ? 3.1 ?
insomniacdude 45 105 150 60 78 43% 22% 4.6 480 350 830 4.1 ?
Ragnarok 45 90 136 39 47 57% 31% 3.3 296 324 620 2.8 15
El_masked_este.. 42 95 137 ? ? ? 33% 3.1 290 ? ? 2.6 ?
Squee ? 87 ? ? ? ? 27% 3.8 327 ? ? ? ?
Impact 47 112 159 68 90 39% 29% 3.5 390 510 900 3.1 ?
revolutions 41 95 136 50 62 47% 29% 3.4 325 500 825 3.0 10
moviedude 43 98 141 44 55 55% 31% 3.2 315 ? ? 2.8 ?
scottb 45 113 158 58 70 49% 27% 3.7 415 505 920 3.3 ?
Zingaling 45 101 146 55 68 46% 29% 3.4 348 400 748 3.0 11
Futureboy ? 103 ? ? ? ? 30% 3.4 345 465 810 ? ?
Killuminati510 ? ? 120 ? ? ? ? ? 355 ? ? ? ?
BKB The Man 52 108 160 ? ? ? 32% 3.1 340 ? ? 2.7 ?
Jon Lyrik ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 290 ? ? ? ?
rusty 33 105 138 ? ? ? 26% 3.9 410 ? ? 3.6 ?
nghtvsn 43 108 151 64 81 41% 26% 3.8 415 502 917 3.4 ?
Terminator1997 36 101 137 ? ? ? 23% 4.3 434 510 944 3.9 ?
addrOck ? ? 125 ? ? ? ? ? 400 ? ? ? ?
Legend of Jam 35 105 140 ? ? ? 29% 3.5 363 ? ? 3.1 ?
Positive Jon 43 105 148 63 76 40% 27% 3.8 395 427 822 3.4 ?
Amos 40 96 136 52 ? 46% 28% 3.5 340 380 720 3.1 ?
Steve 38 97 135 ? ? ? 31% 3.2 315 ? ? 2.9 ?
Erendis 38 86 124 ? 75 ? 26% 3.8 325 350 675 3.3 ?
baumer72 43 110 153 ? 70 ? 28% 3.6 400 550 950 3.2 ?
JMorphin 40 100 140 ? ? ? 31% 3.2 321 ? ? 2.8 ?
StarWars 39 97 136 56 73 42% 24% 4.1 397 454 851 3.7 ?
TonyMontana ? 78 ? ? ? ? 31% 3.3 255 ? ? ? ?
The Dark Shape 37 93 130 72 ? 23% 27% 3.8 350 380 730 3.4 ?
Archie Gates 40 115 155 ? ? ? 33% 3.0 350 ? ? 2.7 ?
loyalfromlondon 47 123 170 ? ? ? 26% 3.8 470 ? ? 3.4 ?
Mesjarch 46 108 154 74 93 31% 25% 4.0 435 470 905 3.6 ?
RB652 ? ? 138 ? ? ? ? ? 405 ? ? ? ?
Raffiki 43 104 147 74 85 29% 25% 3.9 410 590 1000 3.5 ?
Vovanik 37 82 119 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
dolcevita 38 91 129 ? ? ? 24% 4.1 375 325 700 3.7 ?
torrino 41 92 133 42 ? 54% 30% 3.4 310 ? ? 2.9 ?
BOYFRESH 40 113 153 72 87 36% 25% 4.0 450 525 975 3.6 ?
KC 45 105 150 50 65 52% 26% 3.9 410 600 1010 3.5 ?
Flava'd‡ 44 107 151 60 77 44% 26% 3.8 410 560 970 3.4 ?
MadGez 41 108 149 ? 74 ? 25% 4.0 437 370 807 3.7 ?
~~~Archangel~~~ 41 106 147 ? ? ? 23% 4.3 460 500 960 4.0 ?
choubachou 38 90 128 ? ? ? 38% 3.5 319 376 695 3.1 ?
Buffjedi ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 560 440 1000 ? ?
Ivan K 40 92 132 ? ? ? 29% 3.4 315 ? ? 3.0 ?
Kali Ariel 44 95 139 ? ? ? 27% 3.7 350 ? ? 3.2 16
neostorm 51 94 145 47 59 50% 23% 4.3 401 425 826 3.7 ?
Snrub ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 289 ? ? ? ?
Chris 44 98 132 ? ? ? 26% 3.8 375 ? ? 3.4 ?
newfoundglorysp 32 79 111 43 56 46% 29% 3.4 270 500 770 3.0 9
alex young 41 90 131 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 14
junio 45 99 144 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
bradley with... 48 118 166 68 88 42% 23% 4.4 518 582 1100 4.0 ?
xiayun 45 105 150 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
Jeff 42 44 98 142 50 63 49% 28% 3.6 350 400 750 3.1 ?
rolandka19 42 100 142 ? ? ? 28% 3.6 358 ? ? 3.2 ?
Lucky 36 90 126 ? ? ? 28% 3.6 325 375 700 3.2 ?
Animosity Reigns 43 105 148 51 ? 51% ? ? ? ? ? ? 15
deathawk 50 126 176 ? ? ? 24% 4.1 515 ? ? 3.7 ?
Scott Vasquez 50 107 157 ? ? ? 25% 4.0 425 ? ? 3.5 ?
Premiere ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 400 ? ? ? ?
BoxOfficeReport 40 100 140 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
BoxOfficeGuru 40 107 147 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
BoxOfficeMojo 38 94 132 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
BoxOfficeProp... 34 93 127 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
NaturalFlux7 44 102 146 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?
The Numbers-med. 43 110 154 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 10
================================================================================
average 42 100 143 57 73 -44% 27% 3.7 376 456 848 3.3 13
Low 32 65 111 39 47 -23% 21% 2.9 255 324 620 2.6 9
High 52 126 176 77 93 -59% 34% 4.8 560 600 1100 4.3 18
================================================================================
TPM actual 29 65 106^ 51 67 -22% 15% 6.6 431 493 924 6.1 ?
AOTC actual 30 80 110 48 60 -40% 26% 3.9 311 339 650 3.5 8
^ 106 is a 5-day total as TPM opened on wednesday. AOTC opened
on thursday and ROTS will also open on thursday.
opening weekend 3-day is fri-sun and 4-day is thu-sun.
memorial day weekend 3-day is fri-sun and 4-day is fri-mon.
Last edited by Anonymous on Fri May 20, 2005 6:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Thu May 19, 2005 5:39 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15530
Location: Everywhere
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BJ wrote: DP07 wrote: Final predictions:
Midnight - 14m
Opening day - 43.99m
3 day - 106m
4 day - 149.99m
Second weekend (3 day) - 43m (-59.4%)
4 day - 54m
Third weekend - 16.5m (-61.6%)
Multiplier - 2.575
Domestic - 317m
Overseas - 395m
International - 712m legs = way to bad :down: what on earth makes you think the best star wars film in over 20 years is just going to fall like a stone [-X that prediction is hilarious and yes BJ thinks its imposible. 400m+ says BJ, and he has high hopes for a 500m gross  My belief that quality doesn't make that much of a difference when it comes to the legs of franchise films of this nature. :wink: Really, it is conventional wisdom that quality will have a major effect, however, what clear evidence is there to suggest that it does? These films overwelmingly are frontloaded regardless of WOM (From X2 to Kill Bill Vol. 2). When they are not (TPM) it is appearent that some other factor other then WOM must have been at play.
I'll go into more detail on this in the weekend wrap-up article. :wink:
As far as factors that will cause frontloading, there is the fanbase. It's true that it's been there for TPM and AOTC, however, neither of those opened in nearly 3,600+ theaters or with 9,400 prints. That will have a major impact as the film will meet the demand right away, which is good for opening weekend, but bad for legs (I might add though that it's good for the film overall). Furthermore, this film will appeal less towards families given that it is darker and with a PG-13 rating. Competition for that audience will also be far greater this time around with Madagascar, which will hurt the second weekend. The family audience is the most important when it comes to legs, so that will also prove to have an impact. The competition in the second week will also take screens away from ROTS. How often do two films of that size open on the same weekend? Finally, the trend from TPM's multiplier of over 6 to AOTC's of 3.5 should mean a lower multiplier for ROTS. That is normal though as nearly all franchises get more frontloaded over time.
Hey BJ, I remember when we were comparing our similar predictions for The Ring Two a few months ago. We were wrong about the opening, but we nailed the legs. :wink: You should know better. :razz: :wink:
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| Thu May 19, 2005 6:43 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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At this point, I wouldn't rule out $400 million. If it gets around $150 million for the 4-day, and has legs like Attack of the Clones, that's still over $400 million. I'm not going to say anything right now and set it up for a dissapointment, but it's not out of the question.
Anyone still think 2005 is doing badly? :wink:
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| Thu May 19, 2005 6:50 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15530
Location: Everywhere
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Zingaling wrote: At this point, I wouldn't rule out $400 million. If it gets around $150 million for the 4-day, and has legs like Attack of the Clones, that's still over $400 million. I'm not going to say anything right now and set it up for a dissapointment, but it's not out of the question.
Anyone still think 2005 is doing badly? :wink: In a way yes. Even if we say that it gets 400m, it still would be shy of Shrek 2.
Although I think the weak numbers this year are related to the number of wide releases.
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| Thu May 19, 2005 6:59 am |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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Zingaling wrote:
Anyone still think 2005 is doing badly? :wink:
Of course it is. Even if SW3 substitutes for Shrek 2, are you seeing any HP3 in June and a $373m monster in July?
Also, I'm trying hard to look for surprises like F9/11 and The Notebook, and frankly, it's hard to find any potential blockbuster like Bounre Supremacy.
And oh yeah, this year still had no Passion. That's a $370m hurdle to overcome.
I hate this year. So bloody boring. SW3 is the only major thing we had, and it might fall short of 3 2004 releases.
And no Pixar  _________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Thu May 19, 2005 8:26 am |
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junio
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat May 07, 2005 2:23 pm
Posts: 1778
Location: Guaynabo, Puerto Rico
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Ivan K wrote: Of course it is. Even if SW3 substitutes for Shrek 2, are you seeing any HP3 in June and a $373m monster in July? Well, there is War of the Worlds coming out in late June. That should easily do HP3 numbers.
And there are always surprises... If you see them coming they are not surprises anymore.
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| Thu May 19, 2005 9:56 am |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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junio wrote: Ivan K wrote: Of course it is. Even if SW3 substitutes for Shrek 2, are you seeing any HP3 in June and a $373m monster in July? Well, there is War of the Worlds coming out in late June. That should easily do HP3 numbers. And there are always surprises... If you see them coming they are not surprises anymore. junio, WOTW = 2005's SM2. It opens on almost the same date during ID4 Wknd.
Guys,
Advance 'Star Wars' tickets sold at record rates
LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - Movie fans dressed as Jedi Knights, wookies and droids lined up for hours on Wednesday for sold-out midnight showings of the final "Star Wars" movie, as record advance ticket sales promised one of the biggest film openings of all time.
"Star Wars: Episode III -- Revenge of the Sith" was set to debut at 12:01 a.m. Thursday with some 9,400 prints showing in nearly 3,700 North American theaters, making it the widest release for any of the six installments in the "Star Wars" saga.
Only two other movies, "Shrek 2" and "Spider-Man 2," have opened wider [box: they mean print count; SW3's 9,400 prints are third behind Shrek 2 and SM2].
"Revenge of the Sith," the third and final "prequel" to the original 1977 "Star Wars" film, features the story of how a promising young Jedi, Anakin Skywalker, turns to the dark side of The Force and becomes the evil Darth Vader.
It is the first "Star Wars" in the series to be rated PG-13, a more restrictive classification than the PG label carried by the others, due to a higher level of violence.
But "Sith," distributed by 20th Century Fox, also has generally enjoyed a much warmer reception from critics than either of the last two prequels.
Box office analysts said they expected "Sith" to easily gross $35 million to $40 million domestically on its first day alone, and at least match the $110 million opening weekend tally of its immediate predecessor -- "Episode II -- Attack of the Clones."
"It's a forgone conclusion that $100 million is going to be achieved by the end of the weekend," said Paul Dergarabedian, president of box office tracking service Exhibitor Relations. "The question is just how high can it go."
"Clones," which also opened on a Thursday, ranks as the most successful "Star Wars" opening yet. But the first prequel in the series, "Episode I -- Phantom Menace," went on to generate a bigger box office in the long run, grossing more than $922 million worldwide.
Collectively, the first five "Star Wars" films have grossed $1.8 billion in the United States and Canada and a total of $3.8 billion globally.
Hollywood executives are counting on the latest "Star Wars" to shake the industry out of a 12-week box office slump. Optimism about the blockbuster potential of "Sith" came largely from brisk advance ticket orders.
Retail ticket service Fandango reported that it was selling four "Star Wars" tickets per second on Wednesday, making "Sith" its hottest title ever.
Likewise, the nation's two biggest movie theater chains each reported record advance ticket sales for "Sith," surpassing previous benchmarks set by "The Matrix Reloaded" and "The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King."
"The majority of our midnight shows are sold out this evening, but we are adding capacity as we speak," said Dick Westerling, spokesman for No. 1 exhibitor Regal Entertainment.
Both Regal and No. 2 AMC Entertainment said they were scrambling to open additional screenings to handle the overflow demand from fans who miss the midnight showing, as costumed "Star Wars" devotees lined up hours ahead of time to get the best seats.
"Spider-Man 2" boasts the biggest first-day box office ever, $40.4 million, while "Shrek 2" holds the record for highest single-day gross -- $44.8 million earned in its fourth day of release.
The original "Spider-Man" is the all-time weekend box office champ, grossing nearly $115 million in its first Friday-through-Sunday frame.
Reuters/VNU
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/starwars_dc
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So what will that mean for the weekend numbers? Industry insiders are predicting a four-day opener in the range of $125 million-$160 million -- with the potential to best some impressive numbers. The biggest Thursday opening day, according to Nielsen EDI, was $42.5 million for Warner Bros. Pictures' "The Matrix Reloaded" in May 2003, which included Wednesday night previews starting at 10 p.m. "Reloaded" also holds the distinction of being the best four-day opener, with $134.3 million. Industry insiders are predicting that "Sith" could surpass both figures.
Another record in "Sith's" sights is DreamWorks' "Shrek 2" mark for any one day: $44.8 million during the first Saturday of its May 2004 release. But with the boxoffice in the doldrums for the past three months, no one is betting on anything.
At this year's ShoWest convention, Lucas did call the final installment of his epic adventure "Titanic in Space," but the likelihood of "Sith" reaching $600 million in total domestic box office is remote, even for the likes of Darth Vader.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20050519/med ... _dc/nc:786_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Thu May 19, 2005 10:02 am |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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Just in from CNN:
Exhibitors in Mexico are expecting/hoping for an opening of $9m in Mexico.
Incredibles $6m
SM2 $10.43m
Shrek 2 $10.9m
HP3 $7.4m
The Passion $7.9M
ROTK $5.1m
Reloaded $5.8m
TTT $5.9m
AOTC $$3.4m
Spider-Man 1 $12.9m 
You can see that $9m would be huge, esp. given AOTC's pathetic sum (it opened after SM's monstrous gross).
So yeah, this is fantastic news from Mexico. _________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Thu May 19, 2005 11:51 am |
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Bodrul
All Star Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 11:21 am
Posts: 4694
Location: Cambridge, England.
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Ivan K wrote: Just in from CNN: Exhibitors in Mexico are expecting/hoping for an opening of $9m in Mexico. Incredibles $6m SM2 $10.43m Shrek 2 $10.9m HP3 $7.4m The Passion $7.9M ROTK $5.1m Reloaded $5.8m TTT $5.9m AOTC $$3.4m Spider-Man 1 $12.9m You can see that $9m would be huge, esp. given AOTC's pathetic sum (it opened after SM's monstrous gross). So yeah, this is fantastic news from Mexico. whats that? for the day or for the weekend? _________________
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| Thu May 19, 2005 12:01 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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hans wrote:
whats that? for the day or for the weekend?
The weekend, of course.
Outside of the USA, only the UK and Japan, though rarely, have daily numbers that are
-worthy.
Btw, I think it's not impossible for the film to make $300m WW in its first week. _________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Thu May 19, 2005 12:10 pm |
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Anonymous
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I'm so content with the movie that my possible dissapointment with it's gross completly dissapeared.
Whatever it gross, it's fine with me.
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| Thu May 19, 2005 12:54 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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The film has been leaked online:
http://dailynews.yahoo.com/s/nm/2005051 ... iracy_dc_5
16,000 downloads, sheesh _________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Thu May 19, 2005 2:08 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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Wow. Sad news. I've pirated a few movies from time to time, but Star Wars? How can you even enjoy watching a two-bit theater-cam copy of that? I'd pay the $5.50 or whatever for that anytime rather then pirating it.
_________________
See above.
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| Thu May 19, 2005 2:21 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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RogueCommander wrote: Wow. Sad news. I've pirated a few movies from time to time, but Star Wars? How can you even enjoy watching a two-bit theater-cam copy of that? I'd pay the $5.50 or whatever for that anytime rather then pirating it. That's what baffles me. I mean, this is a movie-going experience, not just a film.
It's the same with SM2, ROTK, etc.
And plus, the quality is bound to be crap. What a waste of time and hard drive space. _________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Thu May 19, 2005 2:23 pm |
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Samweis Gamdschie
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm
Posts: 2077
Location: At the edge of reality
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Is the deadline already over?
If so, I'll post my predictions nevertheless:
Opening Day - 53.0m
Opening Weekend - 104.2m
Opening Weekend (4-Day) - 157.2m
Memorial Weekend - 49m
Memorial Weekend (4-Day) - 61m
3-Day 2nd Weekend Drop - 53%
Domestic Total - 391m
Multiplier: 3.752
3-Day % of Total: 26.6%
Overseas Total: 440m
Worldwide: 831m
Midnight Previews: 14m
Multiplier without Opening Day: 2.752
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| Thu May 19, 2005 2:25 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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But to each his own I suppose, eh? In the long run I don't think this is going to hurt the film's gross very much at all.
_________________
See above.
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| Thu May 19, 2005 2:30 pm |
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scottb
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 11:50 pm
Posts: 354
Location: Cleveland, OH, USA
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Ivan K wrote: RogueCommander wrote: Wow. Sad news. I've pirated a few movies from time to time, but Star Wars? How can you even enjoy watching a two-bit theater-cam copy of that? I'd pay the $5.50 or whatever for that anytime rather then pirating it. That's what baffles me. I mean, this is a movie-going experience, not just a film. It's the same with SM2, ROTK, etc. And plus, the quality is bound to be crap. What a waste of time and hard drive space. What an experience it was indeed, the people downloading this pirated crap are missing out on a fun time because they are cheap and lazy.
_________________
All time North American box office.
1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m
4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m
5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m
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| Thu May 19, 2005 2:35 pm |
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Anonymous
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scottb wrote: What an experience it was indeed, the people downloading this pirated crap are missing out on a fun time because they are cheap and lazy. 
Lazy I am, cheap not so, just don't have money. 
Anyway, planning to see it couple more times in theaters for sure...quite a feat for me as haven't seen any movie twice in theater. Not counting 1997 OT.
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| Thu May 19, 2005 2:51 pm |
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scottb
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 11:50 pm
Posts: 354
Location: Cleveland, OH, USA
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Prequel Trilogy vs Other Trilogies (only completed trilogies above the current total of the PT are listed)
The first dollar amount is the total gross of all three movies in that trilogy, the second dollar amount is the minimum amount Revenge of the Sith has to gross at the US box office in order for the Star Wars prequel trilogy to top that particular trilogy. In other words if Revenge of the Sith grosses over $319 million at the US box office, the Prequel Trilogy will become the top grossing trilogy of all time unadjusted.
1. Star Wars OT - $1,060,779,251 - $319,014,214 (Could easily happen)
2. Lord of the Rings - $1,033,551,625 - $291,786,588 (Very likely to happen)
3. Harry Potter - $828,439,167 - $86,674,130 (Will do it in 2 or 3 days)
4. Jurassic Park - $767,326,501 - $25,561,464 (Probably already done it)
Top Trilogies Worldwide
Same as the chart above but this one compares worldwide box office numbers. So if Revenge of the Sith grosses over $1,342.6 million worldwide the Star Wars prequel trilogy will overtake the Lord of the Rings trilogy to become #1.
1. Lord of the Rings - $2,916,600,000 - $1,342,600,000 (not gonna happen)
2. Harry Potter - $2,637,100,000 - $1,063,100,000 (Very unlikely)
3. Jurassic Park - $1,902,100,000 - $328,100,000 (gonna happen very soon)
4. Star Wars OT - $1,788,900,000 - $214,900,000 (Could happen this weekend)
_________________
All time North American box office.
1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m
4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m
5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m
Last edited by scottb on Thu May 19, 2005 3:06 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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| Thu May 19, 2005 3:03 pm |
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scottb
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 11:50 pm
Posts: 354
Location: Cleveland, OH, USA
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Nebs wrote: scottb wrote: What an experience it was indeed, the people downloading this pirated crap are missing out on a fun time because they are cheap and lazy. Lazy I am, cheap not so, just don't have money. Anyway, planning to see it couple more times in theaters for sure...quite a feat for me as haven't seen any movie twice in theater. Not counting 1997 OT. Last movie I saw more then once in theaters was The Phantom Menace which I saw three times.
_________________
All time North American box office.
1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m
4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m
5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m
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| Thu May 19, 2005 3:04 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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If Episode III makes over $50 million today, I'm pretty confident it won't make more than $85 million for the 3-day weekend. Everyone is seeing it today, and it's going to throw off the normal balance of a normal 4-day.
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| Thu May 19, 2005 3:15 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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MG Casey wrote: If Episode III makes over $50 million today, I'm pretty confident it won't make more than $85 million for the 3-day weekend. Everyone is seeing it today, and it's going to throw off the normal balance of a normal 4-day. Not everyone is seeing it today. Hardcore fans either watched it last night or their going today. I'm sure the average family or child will wait until the weekend. It's the fans who are impatient. If it goes over $50 million today, I see around $100-$110 million for the weekend.
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| Thu May 19, 2005 3:18 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am
Posts: 25990
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I am currently trying to broker a deal with God: if it grosses $50m on day 1, it will not gross less than $90m during the weekend.
That would be just very annoying and stressful and stuff.
Hey, after that tsunami, he owes us :grin:
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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| Thu May 19, 2005 3:19 pm |
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scottb
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 11:50 pm
Posts: 354
Location: Cleveland, OH, USA
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Zingaling wrote: MG Casey wrote: If Episode III makes over $50 million today, I'm pretty confident it won't make more than $85 million for the 3-day weekend. Everyone is seeing it today, and it's going to throw off the normal balance of a normal 4-day. Not everyone is seeing it today. Hardcore fans either watched it last night or their going today. I'm sure the average family or child will wait until the weekend. It's the fans who are impatient. If it goes over $50 million today, I see around $100-$110 million for the weekend. Yeah plus most people I've talked to who have seen it at the midnight showings are planning on seeing it 2 or 3 times atleast.
_________________
All time North American box office.
1. Titanic - $600.8m
2. Star Wars - $461.0m
3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m
4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m
5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m
6. Spider-Man - $403.7m
7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m
8. Return of the King - $377.0m
9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m
10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m
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| Thu May 19, 2005 3:23 pm |
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