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Episode III Thread - 16th on All-Time Domestic List

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BJ Killing With Kindness Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska	Star Wars Episode III - The Revenge of the Sith Opening Day: 48.07m Thur 2nd Day: 31.04m -35% Opening Wknd: 97.00m - Fri: 31.04m -35% / Sat: 38.80m +25% / Sun: 27.16m -30% 4-Day-Opening: 145.07m 5-Day: 158.65m - Mon: 13.58m -50% 6-Day: 169.51m - Tue: 10.86m -20% Opening Wk: 179.28m - Wed: 9.77m -10% 8-Day: 188.56m - Thur: 9.28m -5% 2nd Wknd: 52.95m -45.5% - Fri: 14.86m +60% / Sat: 20.05m +35% / Sun: 18.05m -10% 4-Day-Wknd: 69.90m -38% - Mon: 16.65m -10% 13-Day: 263.16m - Mon: 13.58m -50% 2nd Wk: 267.16m - Tue: 10.86m -20% 15-Day: 270.96m - Wed: 9.77m -10% 3rd Wknd: 21.14m -60.5% - Fri: 5.32m +40% / Sat: 9.04m +70% / Sun: 6.78m -25% Wk-1/Opening Day: 48.07m \| Total: 48.07m Wk-2: 140.49m - Wknd: 97.00m \| Total: 188.56m Wk-3: 82.40m - Wknd: 52.95m - 4-Day-Wknd: 69.66m \| Total: 270.96m Wk-4: 29.30m - Wknd: 21.14m \| Total: 300.26m Wk-5: 14.71m - Wknd: 10.13m \| Total: 314.97m Wk-6: 8.10m - Wknd: 5.95m \| Total: 323.16m Wk-7: 5.34m - Wknd: 3.12m \| Total: 328.50m Wk-8: 4.64m - Wknd: 2.20m - 4-Day-Wknd: 3.03m \| Total: 333.14m Wk-9: 2.26m - Wknd: 1.41m \| Total: 335.40m Wk-10: 1.52m - Wknd: .91m \| Total: 336.92m Wk-11: 1.20m - Wknd: .78m \| Total: 338.12m Wk-12: .95m - Wknd: .55m \| Total: 339.07m Wk-13: .78m - Wknd: .42m \| Total: 339.85m Wk-14: .60m - Wknd: .37m \| Total: 340.45m Wk-15: .54m - Wknd: .33m \| Total: 340.99m Wk-16: .50m - Wknd: .34m \| Total: 341.49m Wk-17: 1.27m - Wknd: .87m - 4-Day-Wknd: 1.08m \| Total: 342.76m Wk-18: .83m - Wknd: .66m \| Total: 343.59m Wk-19: .63m - Wknd: .52m \| Total: 344.22m Wk-20: .41m - Wknd: .31m \| Total: 344.63m Wk-21: .24m - Wknd: .19m \| Total: 344.87m Wk-22: .17m - Wknd: .13m \| Total: 354.04m Wk-23: .13m - Wknd: .09m \| Total: 345.17m Money made after Wk-23: ~.5m Estimated wks in theaters 27 Days to 50m: 2-Days - 79.11m Days to 100m: 3-Days - 117.91m Days to 150m: 5-Days - 158.65m Days to 200m: 9-Days - 203.41m Days to 250m: 12-Days - 258.16m Days to 300m: 22-Days - 300.26m Domestic Total: 345.5m International Total: 424m World Wide Total: 770m _________________ The Force Awakens Last edited by BJ on Fri Apr 22, 2005 10:43 am, edited 2 times in total.
Wed Apr 20, 2005 3:05 am

MGKC --------- Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas	BJ wrote: Opening Day: 48.07m 2nd Day: 31.04m -35% You were griping at me for the exact same 2nd day drop! :wink:
Wed Apr 20, 2005 5:12 pm

BJ Killing With Kindness Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska	MG Casey wrote: BJ wrote: Opening Day: 48.07m 2nd Day: 31.04m -35% You were griping at me for the exact same 2nd day drop! :wink: lol, I know _________________ The Force Awakens
Wed Apr 20, 2005 5:32 pm

Anonymous	Code: all $ are in millions. Op- Opening Memorial 3day 3day 3day Dom- Over WW en- Weekend Weekend 2nd OW % OW es- seas Ttl ing (thu-sun) (fri-mon) wknd of Mult tic Ttl Day 3day 4day 3day 4day drop Ttl iply Ttl ====================================================================== Algren ? 65 ? ? ? ? 22% 4.6 301 ? ? MG Casey 41 84 125 55 ? 35% 35% 2.8 239 386 625 Korrgan ? 105 ? ? ? ? 31% 3.2 338 ? ? Nebs 40 106 146 70 88 34% 26% 3.9 467 444 911 matatonio 38 90 128 49 ? 46% 28% 3.5 318 360 678 Snickety Snack 2 ? 87 ? ? ? ? 29% 3.4 297 ? ? Dr. Lecter 36 91 127 ? ? ? 27% 3.7 338 ? ? Amer ? ? 138 ? ? ? ? ? 406 ? ? BJ 48 97 145 53 70 45% 28% 3.6 346 424 770 ShadyMilkman ? 102 ? ? ? ? 25% 4.0 405 ? ? neo wolf ? 90 ? ? ? ? 27% 3.7 330 ? ? RogueCommander 37 82 119 ? ? ? 28% 3.5 290 ? ? Daniel Raedts ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 525 ? ? ChipMunky ? 115 ? ? ? ? 21% 4.7 537 ? ? DP07 34 84 118 37 ? 56% 32% 3.1 260 310 570 Maverikk ? ? 125 ? ? ? ? ? 350 ? ? hans 40 99 139 58 72 41% 26% 3.8 375 417 792 jb007 ? 96 ? ? ? ? 21% 4.8 462 ? ? Riggs27 ? 94 ? ? ? ? 29% 3.5 327 ? ? Samweis Gamdschie ? 93 ? ? ? ? 32% 3.1 291 ? ? Nazgul9 ? ? 130 ? ? ? ? ? 350 ? ? MikeQ. ? 95 ? ? ? ? 32% 3.2 300 ? ? FILMO 36 90 126 ? ? ? 27% 3.7 332 444 776 want2write 35 95 130 ? ? ? 29% 3.5 330 ? ? insomniacdude 35 95 130 ? ? ? 24% 4.1 390 ? ? Ragnarok 38 87 125 ? ? ? 31% 3.2 282 ? ? El_masked_este.. ? 95 ? ? ? ? 33% 3.0 288 ? ? Squee ? 87 ? ? ? ? 27% 3.8 327 ? ? Impact 47 112 159 68 90 39% 29% 3.5 390 510 900 revolutions 40 90 130 ? ? ? 25% 3.9 355 470 825 moviedude ? 95 ? ? ? ? 38% 2.6 250 ? ? scottb 40 109 149 ? ? ? 27% 3.7 408 478 886 Zingaling 40 93 133 ? ? ? 29% 3.5 321 ? ? Futureboy ? 103 ? ? ? ? 30% 3.4 345 465 810 Killuminati510 ? ? 120 ? ? ? ? ? 355 ? ? BKB The Man 35 85 120 ? ? ? 25% 4.0 340 ? ? Jon Lyrik ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 290 ? ? rusty 33 105 138 ? ? ? 26% 3.9 410 ? ? nghtvsn 33 95 128 ? ? ? 30% 3.4 321 ? ? Terminator1997 36 101 137 ? ? ? 23% 4.3 434 510 944 addrOck ? ? 125 ? ? ? ? ? 400 ? ? Legend of Jam 35 105 140 ? ? ? 29% 3.5 363 ? ? Positive Jon 37 97 134 ? ? ? 27% 3.7 363 387 750 Amos 38 83 121 45 ? 46% 26% 3.9 324 365 691 Steve 38 97 135 ? ? ? 31% 3.2 315 ? ? Erendis 38 86 124 ? 75 ? 26% 3.8 325 350 675 baumer72 33 99 132 ? ? ? 27% 3.7 370 530 900 JMorphin 40 100 140 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? StarWarsEpisode7 80 170 250 ? ? ? 16% 6.4 1093 ? ? TonyMontana ? 78 ? ? ? ? 31% 3.3 255 ? ? The Dark Shape 37 93 130 72 ? 23% 27% 3.8 350 380 730 ===================================================================== average 39 96 135 56 79 -41% 28% 3.7 364 425 778 high 80 170 250 70 90 -56% 38% 6.4 1093 510 944 low 33 65 118 37 70 -23% 16% 2.6 239 310 570 ===================================================================== TPM actual 29 65 106^ 51 67 -22% 15% 6.6 431 493 924 AOTC actual 30 80 110 48 60 -40% 26% 3.9 311 339 650 ^ 106 is a 5-day total as TPM opened on wednesday. AOTC opened on thursday and ROTS will also open on thursday. opening weekend 3-day is fri-sun and 4-day is thu-sun. memorial day weekend 3-day is fri-sun and 4-day is fri-mon. Click here for boxoffice stats for Episode I Click here for boxoffice stats for Episode II Click here for Episode I vs. Episode II weekend showdown Click here for Episode I vs. Episode II daily showdown Last edited by Anonymous on Mon May 02, 2005 2:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Mon May 02, 2005 2:01 pm

baumer72 Mod Team Leader Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake	Re: Star Wars Episode III Prediction Thread - Chart added Nebs wrote: Well, here it is. baumer started the thread on Mojo, but doesn't seem he'll join here soon. Post your predictions, discuss them, talk about movie. Would prefer that this would be spoiler-free thread though, but if you're insisting in some spoilers, would be good if you make the text 'highlight to read', meaning choose font colour to be white. (color=white)spoilers(/color), and replace () with []. Previous episodes box office: Star Wars (A New Hope) - $460,998,007 The Empire Strikes Back - $290,475,067 (-37%) Return of the Jedi - $309,306,177 (+6.48%) The Phantom Menace - $431,088,301 (+39.37%) Attack of the Clones - $310,676,740 (-27.93%) Some good sites with news, rumours, spoilers http://www.theforce.net http://boards.theforce.net/Revenge_of_t ... rs_Allowed)/b10331/ - TF.N Episode III spoiler board http://www.millenniumfalcon.com/index.php - great site for spoilers http://www.starwars.com - official site http://www.nightly.net/ubb/ultimatebb.p ... ory/1.html - good message board http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=4777 -Coming Soon's Episode III page Well, I'm here now, and thanks for keeping the thread alive. I am upping my prediction now. With all the hype surrounding this, I am going to say: Opening day- 33 mill Three day- 99 mill Five Day- 144 mill Total- 360 mill WW- 875 mill _________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident. Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
Mon May 02, 2005 2:04 pm

Anonymous	You guys and gals might want to download 3rd Clone Wars season. Could hype you a bit more. Episode III continues from Chapter 25. Chapter 21 - 41.6mb Chapter 22 - 41.6mb Chapter 23 - 57.7mb Chapter 24 - 55.1mb Chapter 25 - 63.8mb
Mon May 02, 2005 2:13 pm

Maverikk Award Winning Bastard Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ	Here's an interesting little tidbit... http://imdb.com/news/sb/2005-05-02/#2 Lucas Worries 'Sith' Will Flop With the final Star Wars film, Revenge of the Sith, not so far, far away, Darth Vader has landed on the cover of Time magazine, which assures fans that they will be breathing a lot easier than Vader when the movie opens on May 19. Critic Richard Corliss forecasts that there will be a "a sigh of relief that Lucas found the skill to make a grave and vigorous popular entertainment, a picture that regains and sustains the filmic Force he dreamed up." For his part, George Lucas tells Time that, while he believes "it turned out as well as I could have hoped," he worries that audiences may not think so. "I have a feeling this one is going to be sort of like the last one in terms of some people like it, some people hate it. And like everyone who makes movies, I'm always convinced the next one will be a flop. So right now I'm thinking it probably won't make any money and will be considered a failure."
Mon May 02, 2005 2:44 pm

A. G. Draughty Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am Posts: 13347	Opening Day 35 4 Day weekend 155 Domestic Gross 320 Beyond all the hype, the FX shots look much better than recent science fiction movies. I saw one shot of Padme against a city backdrop and it was the first time I can recall seeing a futuristic cityscape like that which looked believably real. edit: thanks for the correction Lecter, I could have sworn someone said 5 day in the posts above. Last edited by A. G. on Tue May 03, 2005 1:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
Mon May 02, 2005 3:22 pm

baumer72 Mod Team Leader Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake	MAV, This film has as much of a chance of being a failure as XXX2 has of grossing 600 million dollars to unseed Titanic as number 1. =D> _________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident. Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
Mon May 02, 2005 4:22 pm

scottb Star Trek XI Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 11:50 pm Posts: 354 Location: Cleveland, OH, USA	My updated predictions Opening Day: $41m Opening Weekend 3-Day total: $105m 4-Day total: $145m Memorial Day Weekend 3-Day total: $63m 4-Day total: $75m Total Domestic Gross: $407m Total Overseas Gross: $483m Total Worldwide Gross: $890m _________________ All time North American box office. 1. Titanic - $600.8m 2. Star Wars - $461.0m 3. Shrek 2 - $441.2m 4. E.T. the Extra Terrestrial - $435.1m 5. The Phantom Menace - $431.1m 6. Spider-Man - $403.7m 7. Revenge of the Sith - $380.3m 8. Return of the King - $377.0m 9. Spider-Man 2 - $373.6m 10. The Passion of the Christ - $370.8m
Tue May 03, 2005 12:32 am

Dr. Lecter You must have big rats Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany	My current predictions: Opening weekend 4-day - $131 million (opening day - $37 million) Total gross - $331 million _________________ The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Tue May 03, 2005 12:50 am

Dr. Lecter You must have big rats Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany	Archie Gates wrote: Opening Day 35 5 Day weekend 155 Domestic Gross 320 Beyond all the hype, the FX shots look much better than recent science fiction movies. I saw one shot of Padme against a city backdrop and it was the first time I can recall seeing a futuristic cityscape like that which looked believably real. It's a 4-day weekend _________________ The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Tue May 03, 2005 12:51 am

STEVE ROGERS The Greatest Avenger EVER Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501	Maverikk wrote: Here's an interesting little tidbit... http://imdb.com/news/sb/2005-05-02/#2 Lucas Worries 'Sith' Will Flop With the final Star Wars film, Revenge of the Sith, not so far, far away, Darth Vader has landed on the cover of Time magazine, which assures fans that they will be breathing a lot easier than Vader when the movie opens on May 19. Critic Richard Corliss forecasts that there will be a "a sigh of relief that Lucas found the skill to make a grave and vigorous popular entertainment, a picture that regains and sustains the filmic Force he dreamed up." For his part, George Lucas tells Time that, while he believes "it turned out as well as I could have hoped," he worries that audiences may not think so. "I have a feeling this one is going to be sort of like the last one in terms of some people like it, some people hate it. And like everyone who makes movies, I'm always convinced the next one will be a flop. So right now I'm thinking it probably won't make any money and will be considered a failure." :laugh: Jesus George.. Come on.. :laugh: _________________ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
Tue May 03, 2005 1:55 am

baumer72 Mod Team Leader Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake	Hey BKB, I remember when Last Crusade opened and George said he would happy with a 12 mill open, and he basically almsot more than tripled it. George always downplays his chance at success, but we all know that this film is going to be huge. I have seen the latest trailer and it sends chills through my bones. When Vader is rising and you see Anakin and Obi going at it, it just seems surreal. I think that this film will surprise everyone and really has a chance to do more than Spiderman. _________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident. Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
Tue May 03, 2005 8:23 am

Dr. Lecter You must have big rats Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany	Archie Gates wrote: Opening Day 35 4 Day weekend 155 Domestic Gross 320 Beyond all the hype, the FX shots look much better than recent science fiction movies. I saw one shot of Padme against a city backdrop and it was the first time I can recall seeing a futuristic cityscape like that which looked believably real. edit: thanks for the correction Lecter, I could have sworn someone said 5 day in the posts above. But now I'm actually surprised...I thought your predictions were based on 5 days..So you expect an opening day of $35 million and then a 3-day gross of $120 million, bigger than Spider-Man? I mean The Matrix Reloaded had an opening day of $37.5 million, on a Thursday and managed only $91 million 3-day, AOTC had $30 million on Thursday and managed $80 million 3-day. I don't see how it can start with $35 million and then make $155 million over 4 days...actually, I don't even see how it can make $155 million at all in 4 days, however you look at it Sorry for being nitpicky _________________ The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Tue May 03, 2005 8:48 am

baumer72 Mod Team Leader Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake	Dr. Lecter wrote: Archie Gates wrote: Opening Day 35 4 Day weekend 155 Domestic Gross 320 Beyond all the hype, the FX shots look much better than recent science fiction movies. I saw one shot of Padme against a city backdrop and it was the first time I can recall seeing a futuristic cityscape like that which looked believably real. edit: thanks for the correction Lecter, I could have sworn someone said 5 day in the posts above. But now I'm actually surprised...I thought your predictions were based on 5 days..So you expect an opening day of $35 million and then a 3-day gross of $120 million, bigger than Spider-Man? I mean The Matrix Reloaded had an opening day of $37.5 million, on a Thursday and managed only $91 million 3-day, AOTC had $30 million on Thursday and managed $80 million 3-day. I don't see how it can start with $35 million and then make $155 million over 4 days...actually, I don't even see how it can make $155 million at all in 4 days, however you look at it Sorry for being nitpicky But part of the reason for the smaller grosses for SW is that Lucas would not allow it to open in many theaters, if he bites the bullet this time and lets it go for 3700, then it does have a chance to crush Spidey's open. _________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident. Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
Tue May 03, 2005 8:51 am

Dr. Lecter You must have big rats Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany	baumer72 wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Archie Gates wrote: Opening Day 35 4 Day weekend 155 Domestic Gross 320 Beyond all the hype, the FX shots look much better than recent science fiction movies. I saw one shot of Padme against a city backdrop and it was the first time I can recall seeing a futuristic cityscape like that which looked believably real. edit: thanks for the correction Lecter, I could have sworn someone said 5 day in the posts above. But now I'm actually surprised...I thought your predictions were based on 5 days..So you expect an opening day of $35 million and then a 3-day gross of $120 million, bigger than Spider-Man? I mean The Matrix Reloaded had an opening day of $37.5 million, on a Thursday and managed only $91 million 3-day, AOTC had $30 million on Thursday and managed $80 million 3-day. I don't see how it can start with $35 million and then make $155 million over 4 days...actually, I don't even see how it can make $155 million at all in 4 days, however you look at it Sorry for being nitpicky But part of the reason for the smaller grosses for SW is that Lucas would not allow it to open in many theaters, if he bites the bullet this time and lets it go for 3700, then it does have a chance to crush Spidey's open. I expect it to open in around 3,500 theatres. Lucas is picky and that hasn't changed over years. I don't believe it has a chance to crush Spidey's opening because it opens on a Thursday. There is a good chance for it to set up an opening day record, but the frontloadness will be big enough to unload the interest in this movie on the first day mostly. It might need a $45+ million opening day to make $115+ million over the 3-day weekend. If it opened on a Wednesday, I'd agree with you, but it doesn't. Besides that, I was theoretically speaking. If it makes $35 million on its opening day, there is absolutely no chance it'll make $120 million over three days. Let's say it opens to $35 million on Thursday. It'll definitely drop on Frida,y just like last time. I'll be generous and give it a 20% drop, similar to last time (even though I believe it'll be more frontloaded). That'd give it a $28 million Friday. I'll be generous again and give it a 3.3 weekend multiplier. That means a $92.4 million 3-day weekend and a 4-day gross of $127 million. That's a best case scenario for a $35 million opening day, I'd say. Now let's say, it makes $40 million on Thursday, on-par with Spider-Man 2. With the same pattern (which is pretty generous), it'd generate a $105.6 million 3-day weekend (still almost $10 million shy off Spidey's opening) and a $145.6 million 4-day gross. If I stick with this, as mentioned above, rather generous pattern, it'd need a $44 million opening day AT LEAST to beat Spidey's opening. _________________ The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Tue May 03, 2005 9:05 am

Erendis Indiana Jones IV Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 9:40 am Posts: 1527 Location: Emyn Arnen	George Lucas wrote: So right now I'm thinking it probably won't make any money and will be considered a failure." Ep 1 made $430M, and in some circles it's STILL considered a failure. :fishing: _________________ I'm not around much anymore because I don't have time (or permission, probably) to surf the 'net from my new job.
Tue May 03, 2005 9:12 am

Anonymous	47 Million Opening Day 123 Million 3 Day 152 Million 4 Day 470 Domestic
Tue May 03, 2005 9:15 am

Dr. Lecter You must have big rats Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany	Erendis wrote: George Lucas wrote: So right now I'm thinking it probably won't make any money and will be considered a failure." Ep 1 made $430M, and in some circles it's STILL considered a failure. :fishing: It IS a cinematic failure. _________________ The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Tue May 03, 2005 9:27 am

A. G. Draughty Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am Posts: 13347	Dr. Lecter wrote: Archie Gates wrote: Opening Day 35 4 Day weekend 155 Domestic Gross 320 Beyond all the hype, the FX shots look much better than recent science fiction movies. I saw one shot of Padme against a city backdrop and it was the first time I can recall seeing a futuristic cityscape like that which looked believably real. edit: thanks for the correction Lecter, I could have sworn someone said 5 day in the posts above. But now I'm actually surprised...I thought your predictions were based on 5 days..So you expect an opening day of $35 million and then a 3-day gross of $120 million, bigger than Spider-Man? I mean The Matrix Reloaded had an opening day of $37.5 million, on a Thursday and managed only $91 million 3-day, AOTC had $30 million on Thursday and managed $80 million 3-day. I don't see how it can start with $35 million and then make $155 million over 4 days...actually, I don't even see how it can make $155 million at all in 4 days, however you look at it Sorry for being nitpicky I was going to redo them today, after I gave some more thought to it now that I know it's 4 day not 5 day. I didn't want to rush and redo it right as soon as I realized the mistake. This is the family movie of the summer, most likely - if it can avoid not totally sucking. Madagascar might do well, but this Sith is likely the main family movie. And with the weekends leading up to Sith having KOH and XXX2, it will just create more pent up demand for a real summer blockbuster. Bottom line though is I'm not changing it much, now that I've adjusted to the different weekend size, and I'm going higher on final gross. 40/155/350 This is all for kicks anyway. Lets see what happens.
Tue May 03, 2005 9:54 am

Dr. Lecter You must have big rats Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany	Archie Gates wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Archie Gates wrote: Opening Day 35 4 Day weekend 155 Domestic Gross 320 Beyond all the hype, the FX shots look much better than recent science fiction movies. I saw one shot of Padme against a city backdrop and it was the first time I can recall seeing a futuristic cityscape like that which looked believably real. edit: thanks for the correction Lecter, I could have sworn someone said 5 day in the posts above. But now I'm actually surprised...I thought your predictions were based on 5 days..So you expect an opening day of $35 million and then a 3-day gross of $120 million, bigger than Spider-Man? I mean The Matrix Reloaded had an opening day of $37.5 million, on a Thursday and managed only $91 million 3-day, AOTC had $30 million on Thursday and managed $80 million 3-day. I don't see how it can start with $35 million and then make $155 million over 4 days...actually, I don't even see how it can make $155 million at all in 4 days, however you look at it Sorry for being nitpicky I was going to redo them today, after I gave some more thought to it now that I know it's 4 day not 5 day. I didn't want to rush and redo it right as soon as I realized the mistake. This is the family movie of the summer, most likely - if it can avoid not totally sucking. Madagascar might do well, but this Sith is likely the main family movie. And with the weekends leading up to Sith having KOH and XXX2, it will just create more pent up demand for a real summer blockbuster. Bottom line though is I'm not changing it much, now that I've adjusted to the different weekend size, and I'm going higher on final gross. 40/155/350 This is all for kicks anyway. Lets see what happens. The problem is that 1) SW: ROTS is darker than all other SW movies and therefore not as much of a family flick as the other ones 2) SW: ROTS is PG-13 which is, still, not PG and therefore indicates that it is not really a family movie. I believe it's the first PG13 rated SW movie ever. As long as it's a good movie, however, I don't care much about its gross. _________________ The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Tue May 03, 2005 9:59 am

Mesjarch Cream of the Crop Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am Posts: 2388 Location: Poland	I will go with 35 m $ opening day and 93 m $ for the weekend for now but if it gets great reviews and WOM it will be much bigger.
Tue May 03, 2005 10:15 am

FILMO The Original Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am Posts: 9808 Location: Suisse	Erendis wrote: George Lucas wrote: So right now I'm thinking it probably won't make any money and will be considered a failure." Ep 1 made $430M, and in some circles it's STILL considered a failure. :fishing: I wouldnt mind to have a 430 Mio Dollar failure in my life :???: And if it happens:Wayne and so long to the art direction. _________________ Libs wrote: FILMO, I'd rather have you eat chocolate syrup off my naked body than be a moderator here.
Tue May 03, 2005 10:17 am

Nazgul9 Extraordinary Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany	My updated predictions for Ep3: thursday: $40m friday: $30m saturday: $37m sunday: $28m --------------------- 4-day WE: $135m 3-day WE: $95m 2nd WE (3-day): $47m domestic total: $350m overseas total: $400m worldwide total: $750m _________________
Tue May 03, 2005 11:21 am
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Episode III Thread - 16th on All-Time Domestic List

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