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 April 4-6 Predictions 

Will Minecraft out open Sonic 2 for number 2 video game opening?
Yes 67%  67%  [ 4 ]
No 33%  33%  [ 2 ]
Total votes : 6

 April 4-6 Predictions 
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23244
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: April 4-6 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote:
Despite middling reviews, presales today was nuts. I am thinking 130-140m OW now.


:wub2: :wub2: :wub2:

If it goes that high - it wont be gunning for No.2 video game opening but No.1 (for the 3 day anyway)

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Thu Apr 03, 2025 2:07 am
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Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12192
Post Re: April 4-6 Predictions
Thought it's worth bringing in top OWs adjusted for inflation to put things into perspective of this range of OW.

108 films now adjust to $130M+ OWs. First family skewing movies in a $130M+ range:

54 Alice in Wonderland $171,418,967
70 The Super Mario Bros. Movie $158,164,497
84 The Secret Life of Pets $140,536,219
89 The Jungle Book $139,066,332
93 Finding Nemo $135,718,614
101 The Incredibles $132,189,771

So its going to feel like Jungle Book/Secret Lives of Pets type OWs. These were $103M-104M in 2016 9 years ago so gives an idea of what a $140M OW would correspond to in 2025.


Thu Apr 03, 2025 2:25 am
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Devil's Advocate
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Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
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Post Re: April 4-6 Predictions
I always do a double take at how big Secret Life of Pets was, 140/480 adjusted.

Minecraft potentially selling as many tickets opening weekend as as Super Mario Bros license to print money is hard to believe.

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Thu Apr 03, 2025 11:33 am
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Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21447
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
Post Re: April 4-6 Predictions
Super Mario opened on Wednesday so its first Fri-Sun was deflated.

140m Ow would probably still lead to 350-400m+ total.


Thu Apr 03, 2025 11:39 am
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23244
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: April 4-6 Predictions
Shack wrote:
I always do a double take at how big Secret Life of Pets was, 140/480 adjusted.

Minecraft potentially selling as many tickets opening weekend as as Super Mario Bros license to print money is hard to believe.


I think we all forget how INSANE 2016 was for family films:

Unadjusted....

Finding Dory 135/486
Secret Life of Pets 104/368
The Jungle Book 103/364
Zootopia 75/341
Sing 35/270
Moana 56/248

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Thu Apr 03, 2025 6:56 pm
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