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Samweis Gamdschie
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm Posts: 2077 Location: At the edge of reality
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
At the moment 900m seems out of reach, it's heading at 870-890m. 
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Wed May 08, 2019 4:49 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36945
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
The difference between EG and SW7 is now less than $45m and by end of this weekend the SW7 would have over taken EG in total. I can see a case where EG does less than $70m in its 3rd weekend given the reports here mentioned that is doing good in PLF and IMAX screens and Pikachu should take away 40%-50% if those showtimes if not more.
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Wed May 08, 2019 5:50 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6707
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
Jack Sparrow wrote: The difference between EG and SW7 is now less than $45m and by end of this weekend the SW7 would have over taken EG in total. I can see a case where EG does less than $70m in its 3rd weekend given the reports here mentioned that is doing good in PLF and IMAX screens and Pikachu should take away 40%-50% if those showtimes if not more. That is not true. Endgame is keeping 100% of iMax(which is by far the biggest PLF format) and keeping one PLF in Plexes with multiple PLF and keeping all the evening > 6PM shows in places where there is one PLF(XD or Prime or Dolby). There are markets where Pokemon did not get PLF. So majority of Premium Format shows is still with Endgame.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed May 08, 2019 6:04 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36945
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
Hmm yeah upon research Pikachu is not being released in IMAX which is surprising. It will be interesting to see how EG hold then.
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Wed May 08, 2019 6:15 pm |
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Lafin Atchu
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2013 9:02 pm Posts: 519 Location: Golden State
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
John Wick takes IMAX screens next weekend thought
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Wed May 08, 2019 7:35 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36945
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
Even more surprising because I thought Pikachu is more suited for IMAX than John Wick
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Wed May 08, 2019 9:20 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6707
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
I checked around all major theaters around NYC and SF and Endgame is keeping iMax in all of them. So John Wick 3 iMax release is limited. However in theaters with iMax and Dolby, its taking the Dolby entirely as opposed this week share between Avengers and Pikachu. However in theaters with just RPX, Avengers seem to retain them. So until Aladdin opens during Memorial weekend, Endgame still has chunk of PLF showtimes. Checking at iMax.com, it seems to have around 20% of iMax screens. https://www.imax.com/movies/john-wick-c ... parabellum
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed May 08, 2019 10:32 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36945
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
Great thanks for the info Keyser so the factors are all there for EG to do well. Its holds should be good for next two weekends its now the question of demand.
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Wed May 08, 2019 10:45 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3209
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
Endgame could be number 1 for four weeks...maybe beat John Wick ?
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Thu May 09, 2019 12:27 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32575 Location: the last free city
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
lilmac wrote: Endgame could be number 1 for four weeks...maybe beat John Wick ? It will be  drop less than 40%
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Thu May 09, 2019 3:49 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6707
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
There is zero chance of Endgame beating John Wick 3. That is have amazing Presales having sold 1.25m in just one MTC(reported in BOT tracking thread). It’s locked to open above 50m.
Endgame losing more iMax/PLF would gross around 35m at best. This weekend would be the last one at top unless Pikachu surprises us but that is looking unlikely to me.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Thu May 09, 2019 5:28 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36945
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
EG's 2nd Wednesday is so close to IW's. I believe by next week IW will make more in dailies. EG's difference from SW7 has now shrunk to $27m and half of it will be covered tomorrow. I believe fastest to $700m will stay with SW7 (marginally)
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Thu May 09, 2019 6:48 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68219 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
It hasn't even reached a multiplier of 1.9 yet. #lame
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Fri May 10, 2019 11:49 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36945
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
Sub-$70m weekend is happening. It's time to change the title to *It's NOT Happening*
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Fri May 10, 2019 6:28 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36945
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
With the $16m Friday estimate for EG, SW7 has $10m lead which should easily increase to $20m by end of this weekend.
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Sat May 11, 2019 11:41 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25168 Location: Classified
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
Probably but The Force Awakens’ legs were pretty basic after its holiday season onslaught. So Endgame could still catch up if it plays throughout June with those juicy summer weekdays.
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Sat May 11, 2019 12:46 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Probably but The Force Awakens’ legs were pretty basic after its holiday season onslaught. So Endgame could still catch up if it plays throughout June with those juicy summer weekdays. Endgame just isn't a good weekday film, takes up 3.5 hours of your day when there's lawns to mow and everything else that goes with summer.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Sat May 11, 2019 1:08 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25168 Location: Classified
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
Rolling Thunder wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: Probably but The Force Awakens’ legs were pretty basic after its holiday season onslaught. So Endgame could still catch up if it plays throughout June with those juicy summer weekdays. Endgame just isn't a good weekday film, takes up 3.5 hours of your day when there's lawns to mow and everything else that goes with summer. Yeah but surely school being out will help with 7-8pm shows.
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Sat May 11, 2019 1:19 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32575 Location: the last free city
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Oooh No!* :(
Damn you frontloaders lol
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Sat May 11, 2019 7:09 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36945
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Its Happening
I do feel EG's late legs will be good but then again that was the case with IW as well look at its week 5,6,7 and 8 holds. EG is dropping much harder than IW and with these kind of holds I don't see how it will maintain more theaters/screens. Another fact is that for 18 weeks IW never did more than SW7 or throughout its run. I just don't see a way for EG to catch up. Next weekend it will loose some of its IMAX/PLF screens so even with a better drop it will be close to IW
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Sat May 11, 2019 7:11 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15475 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Oooh No!* :(
Just needs a multiplier of about 5.5.  Probably not going to happen, but late legs will still be really good. Screens remain a major issue. This weekend it lost many to Pokemon, and the runtime limited showtimes. If it had more screens, I bet it would increase better on Friday and Saturday.
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Mon May 13, 2019 1:08 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15475 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Oooh No!* :(
Still the 3rd biggest third Saturday and it did it with limited showtimes.
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Mon May 13, 2019 1:18 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6707
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Oooh No!* :(
DP07 wrote: Still the 3rd biggest third Saturday and it did it with limited showtimes. Wut. Its still playing in way more screens than Pokemon and has screen count like most big grossers in their OW. Its BO at this point is not limited by screen count. Even peak iMax and PLF shows are not selling out except in tiny DBOX, 4Dx screens. Only problem for the movie is the movie itself and how big its OW was. Almost everyone who would see this movie have seen it already. Now its relying on Marveloonies to see it over and over again. That is why it dropped 58% despite Pokemon having Meh OW. Disney it appears to have 6 week contract with Plexes and so it will play in ginormous theater /show count for that long !!!
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon May 13, 2019 1:47 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15475 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Oooh No!* :(
Keyser Söze wrote: DP07 wrote: Still the 3rd biggest third Saturday and it did it with limited showtimes. Wut. Its still playing in way more screens than Pokemon and has screen count like most big grossers in their OW. Its BO at this point is not limited by screen count. Even peak iMax and PLF shows are not selling out except in tiny DBOX, 4Dx screens. Only problem for the movie is the movie itself and how big its OW was. Almost everyone who would see this movie have seen it already. Now its relying on Marveloonies to see it over and over again. That is why it dropped 58% despite Pokemon having Meh OW. Disney it appears to have 6 week contract with Plexes and so it will play in ginormous theater /show count for that long !!! I’ve seen big screen count losses, especially this past week. It playing in less than half as many screens at many locations. It can still be difficult to get good seats right before showtime at a convenient time. And third week is more about convenience.
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Tue May 14, 2019 12:15 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32575 Location: the last free city
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 Re: *CLUB* Endgame first movie to top $1b dom *Oooh No!* :(
Oh Endgame things were looking so promising opening weekend/week. Just needed a 2.8 IM  & this club would’ve been a success but you’ve failed me.  should’ve known
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Fri May 24, 2019 12:51 pm |
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