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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12192
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
So looks like a Barbie tidal wave is about to hit.
After seeing many reviews specifically call out Gosling it makes me think we could see a battle for supporting between Gosling and DeNiro. At the very least he could get an Oscar nod.
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Mon Jul 10, 2023 9:43 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25163 Location: Classified
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Eh but would they really wanna risk a headline of "biggest femme movie ever wins one oscar ... for a man."
Napoleon trailer is fine but kinda looks like every other movie ever too.
So I'm calling Flower Moon to roll over everything. The prestige of a $200M oscar bait film, the prestige of the talent involved, the prestige of how much white guilt it will summon and the prestige of being a classic-style film for fans of classic cinema the year after a wacky multiverse movie won. It has too much going for it and the reviews are already phenomenal too.
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Mon Jul 10, 2023 7:04 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68208 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Eh but would they really wanna risk a headline of "biggest femme movie ever wins one oscar ... for a man."
Napoleon trailer is fine but kinda looks like every other movie ever too.
So I'm calling Flower Moon to roll over everything. The prestige of a $200M oscar bait film, the prestige of the talent involved, the prestige of how much white guilt it will summon and the prestige of being a classic-style film for fans of classic cinema the year after a wacky multiverse movie won. It has too much going for it and the reviews are already phenomenal too. Yep. Three great points. I think you're on the money for them all.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Tue Jul 11, 2023 3:41 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40219
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
If Downey Jr gets close for Oppenheimer for supporting actor, would he be a guy like Pitt in OUATIH where he's got tons of industry connections who want him to win, or one like Stallone and Murphy where burnt bridges in his past and snobbery towards his populist choices catches up to him and he loses as the favorite on Oscar night? I'd lean towards the Pitt scenario.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Jul 12, 2023 8:49 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68208 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
I'd agree. Hollywood also like the idea of someone turning their life around, if the media can push that angle.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Thu Jul 13, 2023 3:12 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40219
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Oppenheimer is getting in, Barbie probably but I think I'd need to see the movie to be sure
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Jul 19, 2023 6:24 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19356 Location: San Diego
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Both will get in Picture I feel. Not sure how strong the rest of the year is besides Scorsese.
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Wed Jul 19, 2023 7:31 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12192
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Not likely to happen but it would be fun to have these two movies be the Oscar frontrunners too so the B+O battle goes on to Oscar night. Along with Spider-verse would be something to see 3 mega blockbusters up for BP.
Wonka practically feels like it's going to be a BAFTA favorite already so along with Dune could have a stacked box office BP list next year. I could even see a dark horse chance of the Marley movie overperforming box office wise as well.
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Wed Jul 19, 2023 11:02 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21449 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Wonka has no chance at best picture lol. It will be lucky to get art noms.
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Wed Jul 19, 2023 11:13 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12192
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Going to make the call now that Margot and Cillian will present together at next year's telecast. The Academy would be foolish to not try to jump on the bandwagon and have Barbie and Oppenheimer at the Oscars in a viral moment.
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Fri Jul 21, 2023 12:22 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40219
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
This could be a fantastic bounce back year for box office/Oscar movies, one of KOFM, Napolean or Color Purple could break out big too, and Dune 2 if it gets nominated again?
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri Jul 21, 2023 12:56 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21449 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Killers is doing 100m+ for sure unless they send it to Apple too quick.
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Fri Jul 21, 2023 12:58 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25163 Location: Classified
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Oppenheimer is definitely a theater movie. I don't think it will play as well on dvd screeners in the middle of the night. Will be rooting for Nolan on Oscar night though and would love to see Cillian take it too.
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Sat Jul 22, 2023 12:40 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40219
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
After watching the 2nd KOFM trailer this definitely seems like a movie the Oscars can give Best Picture to feel good about themselves.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat Jul 22, 2023 5:56 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11578 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
KOFM?
_________________
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Sun Jul 23, 2023 10:30 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21449 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Killers of the flower moon
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Sun Jul 23, 2023 1:10 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12192
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
I think the image of DeNiro getting a win after 43 years will be too good to pass up here still. Especially a juicy villain role.
Leo is very good at getting his supporting actors Oscars too (Waltz-Django, Pitt-Hollywood, Blanchett-Aviator).
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Sun Jul 23, 2023 2:31 pm |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16921 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Spider-Verse really is the best picture so far this year
Does it have a shot at Best Picture nom?
_________________ Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
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Mon Jul 24, 2023 1:29 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12192
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Yes on Spider-verse!
Based on the sheer size of Barbie, it looks like it could be career defining roles for Gosling and especially for Margot. It's going to be hard for anything to come close to this in their careers ($550M+ movies). Almost like a Forrest Gump for Hanks type movie role. Leo pretty much could ride Titanic to work with the best directors in Hollywood on projects he wanted to so quite interested in seeing what Gosling and Robbie end up doing career path wise.
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Tue Jul 25, 2023 10:43 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40219
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
We can't just have people's answer for "A list celebrity" be Pitt, Aniston, Jolie, Clooney, etc. for 50 years, so I hope Robbie or Gosling get put over in that department
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Jul 25, 2023 11:00 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12192
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
Shack wrote: We can't just have people's answer for "A list celebrity" be Pitt, Aniston, Jolie, Clooney, etc. for 50 years, so I hope Robbie or Gosling get put over in that department You forgot Roberts. 
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Tue Jul 25, 2023 11:14 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19356 Location: San Diego
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
It's early but I kinda feel like Margot and Cillian can win Actor and Actress. Not only is it deserved but it'd be pretty iconic and ratings may be record high.
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Mon Jul 31, 2023 1:40 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6317 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
I'm not convinced Barbie will be a serious contender for BP and same for Margot for Actress. She was good but didn't stand out as an amazing Oscar-worthy performance IMO. Gosling is a safer bet for Actor I'm thinking.
I think Oppenheimer could be the film to give Nolan a BD Oscar. But Scorcese might win it too, I imagine some Academy members may think this is the last time to recognize him since he's getting up there in age.
_________________ .
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Tue Aug 01, 2023 5:04 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40219
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
I think Nolan for BD in a split scenario makes sense even if Oppenheimer ends up too much of a white bro Picture win and some other "underdog" movie beats it.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Aug 01, 2023 5:52 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3208
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 Re: 2024 Contenders
I don’t see how Cilian Murphy doesn’t win for what is a Heath Ledger level performance. Best Director and Film nominations are locks. Oppenheimer takes at least one.
Barbie for best costume design perhaps. Though perhaps Napoleon or Dune will be strong front runners.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sat Aug 05, 2023 3:36 am |
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