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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18931 Location: San Diego
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
Mmmm I'm feeling like this may be too much but f it lol I'm in. Think we're bound for something exciting to happen at the box office and it seems like things are really coming together for this.
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 2:57 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23903 Location: Classified
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
I went $285M in the game but that already feels too low. I don’t think this has the date night appeal that Deadpool had, though the Halloween season release date may make up for that.
$105M / $300M
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 3:40 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38234
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
I would be more on board with a huge opening weekend club, I think the buzz will be huge. But I expect some people to be disappointed in it being atypical for a superhero film, and I believe it will receive social media backlash as men's rights activists new favorite movie. So combined with rushout factor its legs end up not as impressive.
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 4:04 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
This has such a wide range. Yes it's the Joker but it's not a standard action, super hero, or comic book movie that gets the young males excited, and many adults won't notice until WOM hits because they'll dismiss it as another comic book movie. It's a character drama really. And there are so many Joker depictions out there now. It's not like it's been awhile.
I think leggy yes but no clue about the opening. It seems like it *should* beat Venom's OW but I could see it missing. Especially in the current marketplace.
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 4:07 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
2.7 multiplier would be really good. 3.0 phenomenal. It could have legs because it’s not a sequel, but the Joker is just so well known. I wouldn’t rule out a 150m opening at this point.
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 4:13 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
This smells like every perfect storm we have seen in the past.
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 4:33 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
OUT
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 5:03 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
No
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 5:13 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6160 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
No way because legs are going to be terrible. Your average moviegoer is not going to be pleased that there's basically no action.
_________________ .
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 5:25 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
I think we are getting caught in hype (or possibly creating one). This was going to win awards, it was evident a few weeks back when it actually started showing in festivals. While they were never released this close to awards timing Logan and especially TDK have done very well in awards circuit though it doesn't expand the audience to these levels. It will open big but winning few awards won't just (almost) double its OW from say $85m-$90m to $150m-$160m and then have great legs as well. I just can't see this having that mainstream level of repeat viewings because its an awards heavy movie and I still expect the WoM among audience being divisive.
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 5:25 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
Didn't it win any award before this in the festival it was shown before?
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 5:36 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
Ah I c. I thought with the reviews coming in earlier it premiered a week or two before this and it premiered in a festival before. Regardless with the reviews Phoenix was always in contention of Best Actor.
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 5:44 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21654 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
It'll be funny when the WWW thread comes by the guy who made this one.
Logan numbers are more than reasonable. I do feel people will end up hating this movie, I mean just general audiences. Film lovers should love it.
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Sat Sep 07, 2019 9:49 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18931 Location: San Diego
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
Idk if audiences are gonna hate this tbh as walking into this you should know this isn't gonna be some action fun movie but I won't count on general audiences using logic.
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Sun Sep 08, 2019 3:03 am |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am Posts: 1742 Location: Calisota
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
It 2 disappointed, Maleficent 2 will drop a lot from the first, there's not a big blockbuster opening at the beginning of November and this is the last superhero movie of the year. The Golden Lion will help.
I'm in. Guardian of the Galaxy 2 numbers, just a little more backloaded.
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Sun Sep 08, 2019 3:35 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
Fuck it I'm in.
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Sun Sep 08, 2019 1:01 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
People love a provocateur and want to see him suffer, hurt others, do stunts and be glorified, all to obscure their own hardship and reality.
However derivative The Joker is, the joke is on the people.
I think this will have high entertainment value, but don't see $300m+.
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Sun Sep 08, 2019 5:48 pm |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16901 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
Gurl ofc I'm in. I'm fully hyped for this
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Sun Sep 08, 2019 8:44 pm |
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Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm Posts: 1406
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
when do tickets go on sale for this??
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Sun Sep 08, 2019 9:57 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
In, I really wish Joker beats out Craptain Marvel and Far from Home, at least domestically.
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
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Sun Sep 08, 2019 10:30 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
OS numbers might not be that big because this is not releasing in China I guess.
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Sun Sep 08, 2019 10:32 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22728 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
I think the OW will be $100m+ but just not sure about the legs.
There is going to be that audience that goes to see it expecting an Venom type villain origin story and this is not going to be the film to please them. On the flip-side it will appeal to people who love good films so that may neutralise the free-fall somewhat.
Thinking $120m/$270m at best.
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Sun Sep 08, 2019 10:52 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23903 Location: Classified
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
Brian wrote: OS numbers might not be that big because this is not releasing in China I guess. Once Upon A Joker?
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Mon Sep 09, 2019 12:24 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
I have to admit I'm more curious to find out how this does than any movie in a really long time.
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Mon Sep 09, 2019 12:45 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Joker: Bigger R-Rated Movie of All Time Club
DP07 wrote: 2.7 multiplier would be really good. 3.0 phenomenal. It could have legs because it’s not a sequel, but the Joker is just so well known. I wouldn’t rule out a 150m opening at this point. I called it phenomenal, but I have to admit it feels realistic. WOM and repeat viewing might add over 100m to the gross. 140m/430m as of now.
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Mon Sep 09, 2019 1:12 am |
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