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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21654 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Lol, sub 150 OW.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Tue Apr 16, 2019 3:51 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7172 Location: Wisconsin
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Between GOT and End Game, Ep IX got the low end of attention. Doesn't mean the interest won't be there come Dec. 175M+ OW still likely IMO.
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Tue Apr 16, 2019 4:41 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Aug 26, 2019 8:48 am |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
195 595 1.15
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
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Mon Aug 26, 2019 9:01 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21927 Location: Places
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Anyone thinking this opens below TFA is out of their minds.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Mon Aug 26, 2019 12:42 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32125 Location: the last free city
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
HOLY FUCK! is that cloned Rey? is that a vision? WTF!!! LOOK AT ALL THOSE IMPERIAL STAR DESTROYERS!!! HOLY FUCK!!! C3PO 'KILL MODE' IS ACTIVATED! HE'S THE EVIL HIDING IN PLAIN SITE!!!! OH SHIT!
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Mon Aug 26, 2019 2:42 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Hmmm..... Could a certain Sith Lord from the Pre-quels be Rey's Daddy? Switchblade Lightsaber FTW!
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Mon Aug 26, 2019 3:46 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32125 Location: the last free city
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Like all 3rd film in a trilogy TROS is guaranteed to top TLJ domestically.
Return of the Jedi +19 million over Empire Strikes Back Revenge of the Sith +78 million over Attack of the Clone
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Mon Aug 26, 2019 7:40 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18931 Location: San Diego
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I see an opening around The Last Jedi. I'm gonna go with 225 for now. Legs all depend on reception.
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Mon Aug 26, 2019 11:07 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22728 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Magnus wrote: I have zero idea where this is going still.
If I had to guess, I'd say it does 225m OW and 685m finish (and does enough OS to get to $1.5B WW). Just enough to get into top 5 all time DOM, top 10 all time WW.
I think this sounds about right. It opens a bit higher than TLJ (or the same adjusted) which still reflects some audience loss due 3rd instalments of this franchise increasing historically. It then has better legs and hangs around to get closer to $700m.
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Mon Aug 26, 2019 11:11 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Yeah, maybe people forget how awful AotC was, and RotS didn't really get hurt by that. Sure, it added Vader... for a minute. But this is adding Palpatine. Call it a wash.
I'd say this opens close to $180 mil or more. And finishes above $700 mil.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Aug 27, 2019 1:09 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14542 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Compared to the others, opening on the 20th will lower the opening and boost the multiplier.
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Tue Aug 27, 2019 2:13 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32125 Location: the last free city
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
New updated prediction TROS - 260/800 Third film in a trilogy always rebounds big in a galaxy far far away
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Tue Aug 27, 2019 3:13 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Core fans are extremely relieved that JJ is back to hopefully fix the disaster of TLJ, so it could set a new record 3 day. It's not just the end of a trilogy - it's essentially the conclusion of a 40+ year saga that has been at the apex of pop culture the whole time.
Then again, it does have to compete with Cats, lol.
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Tue Aug 27, 2019 11:25 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
I don’t buy this opens bigger than TLJ.
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Tue Aug 27, 2019 12:25 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32125 Location: the last free city
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
zwackerm wrote: I don’t buy this opens bigger than TLJ. I don't buy you not buying this opening bigger than TLJ
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Tue Aug 27, 2019 1:18 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Not beating TLJ I think is not realistic unless a lot of very bad press happens. If all goes well it can crack 300m.
More schools will be out all day on Dec 20 than they were Dec 18 (TFA) let alone Dec 15 (TLJ). Endgame did not even open on a special day - just a typical school day. On top of that I'm sure they'll try to push the preview window to new earliness levels.
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Tue Aug 27, 2019 1:55 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6160 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
The Last Jedi? Out-opening Rogue One would be a more realistic expectation...
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Wed Aug 28, 2019 12:15 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32125 Location: the last free city
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Let's get back to this conversation AFTER the Final Trailer drops in October.
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Wed Aug 28, 2019 7:45 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
People did not like TLJ and Star Wars is over saturated and no longer an event. Hype has gotten less with each subsequent episode and I don’t think the finale effect works unless the previous entries were really well liked. TFA wasn’t hated but it seems relatively forgotten compared to Ep 4-6 and even 1-3 even if people like it more than 1-2.
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Wed Aug 28, 2019 8:24 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Do we remember DreamWorks sequels and their oversaturation with TV shows. This could be in the same boat with a new TV show coming just a month before. Even if they end the main trilogy here this isn't the last star wars movie by any means and most people know that. I also have concerns on the hook of this movie. Seeing Kylo and Rey fight it out isn't exciting when we have seen that in last two movies. It's still a Star wars movie so it will open big but I'm not expecting record breaking numbers or even $200m opening from this.
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Wed Aug 28, 2019 10:16 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
The fact that Palpatine has some role is a massively bigger hook than anything else involving Rey or Kylo.
People will show up more than anything for the links to the original characters and to (presumably) get the answers to all the questions that this trilogy has given rise to. The action scenes at this point are more secondary. Most of the box office of TFA is attributed to nostalgia for the original trilogy.
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Wed Aug 28, 2019 11:44 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
People didn't like TLJ. That's why it made $620 mil. Everyone knows only bad movies make $600+ mil.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Wed Aug 28, 2019 12:51 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
Chippy wrote: People didn't like TLJ. That's why it made $620 mil. Everyone knows only bad movies make $600+ mil. It had a way worse multiple than TFA that certainly means something.
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Wed Aug 28, 2019 1:02 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Star Wars - Episode IX predictions (12/20/2019)
It means it didn't have as great a multiplier as the biggest domestic movie of all time. What an insane standard to hold it up to.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Wed Aug 28, 2019 1:33 pm |
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