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 AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b 

ENDGAME will hit $3b in
Poll ended at Sun May 12, 2019 5:03 am
28 days or less 9%  9%  [ 1 ]
29-35 days 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
36-38 days 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
sometime in June 9%  9%  [ 1 ]
sometime in July 18%  18%  [ 2 ]
sometime in August 18%  18%  [ 2 ]
sometime in September 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
later 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Bah, humbug, it will never hit $3b 45%  45%  [ 5 ]
Total votes : 11

 AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b 
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Post AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
So it took 5 days to hit $1b and 11 days to hit $2b WW - what about $3b?

Poll runs for a week...

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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Some time in August.


Sun May 05, 2019 7:30 am
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Bah!


Sun May 05, 2019 8:16 am
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Early June if not late May

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Sun May 05, 2019 8:35 am
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
I feel like it is not slowing down as fast OS, but there is no logic in my statement

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Sun May 05, 2019 9:06 am
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Avatar international record
$2,027,457,462 billion
Endgame $2,100,000,000 billion +

The Force Awakens domestic record
$936,662,225 million
Endgame $1,000,000,000 billion +

Avatar worldwide record
$2,787,965,087 billion
Endgame $3,100,000,000 billion +

IT’S HAPPENING!!! :noway:

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Sun May 05, 2019 9:38 am
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
I think it falls short, making around $2.9-95 billion.

Question though: Could Endgame end up #1 worldwide of all time without becoming #1 all time in any individual markets? I think USA is out of reach. It's the #1 import ever in China but ain't touching Wolf Warrior 2. Are there any other markets where it could reach #1? Cuz it's entirely China that launching its international total past Avatar.


Sun May 05, 2019 1:04 pm
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Don't think it makes it there.


Sun May 05, 2019 4:43 pm
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Jonathan wrote:
I think it falls short, making around $2.9-95 billion.

Question though: Could Endgame end up #1 worldwide of all time without becoming #1 all time in any individual markets? I think USA is out of reach. It's the #1 import ever in China but ain't touching Wolf Warrior 2. Are there any other markets where it could reach #1? Cuz it's entirely China that launching its international total past Avatar.


Per BOP, these are the markets where it's either reached #1 all-time (disregarding the listings specific to western films) or in contention to be:

Quote:
Highest all-time industry release

Asia-Pacific: Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Vietnam. China (western), India (western) and Thailand (western). Highest all-time industry release across the region as a whole. China continues to lead internationally with an estimated $576M to date, making it the #3 film of all-time there behind only Wolf Warrior 2 and The Wandering Earth.

Europe: Egypt, Ethiopia, Middle East (as a whole), Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Ukraine and UAE. Turkey (western).

Latin America: Mexico, Colombia, Central America and Paraguay.

Top 3 all-time industry release

Asia-Pacific: Hong Kong (#2) and Singapore (#2).

Latin America: Brazil (#2), Chile (#2), Bolivia (#2) and Peru (#2). Avengers Endgame is the #3 release of all-time across the region as a whole, after only Avengers: Infinity War and The Avengers.

https://www.boxofficepro.com/global-wee ... uglydolls/

So, yeah, it won't be topping any of the Tier-1 markets if it doesn't overcome TFA, but obviously the regional aggregate numbers for Latin America/Asia (China, in particular) are where its greatest strength in this race lies.


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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Everyone with a little bit knowledge of overseas markets knows that 3B is out of question.

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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
I have a feeling it will do well after 5th weekend and continue to chug along and gross 3B sometime in August. We have seen so many blockbusters continue to make money late in their run and final gross being much bigger than what was extrapolated early.

But it could finish around 2.9B. That is the floor at this point.

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Mon May 06, 2019 10:57 am
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
$44.7m WW Monday (day 13), $2.2384b

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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Monday was a holiday in 3 big markets (UK, Korea and Japan). Drop today will be rough. Korea dropped 75%. At least domestic gross would benefit from discount tuesday.

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Tue May 07, 2019 2:20 pm
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Keyser Söze wrote:
But it could finish around 2.9B. That is the floor at this point.

Not really sure about that. EG would barely get there using IW's holds, and I don't see why it should improve so much - especially considering it doesn't have a free 3rd weekend and that IW was already hurt by good weather in Europe, while Endgame's help from rain and low temperatures will likely finish by mid-May.

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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Really difficult to predict Avatar's adjusted worldwide rate. Exchange rates knock it down from $2.8b in 2009 to $2.5ish billion in 2019 but local currency inflation propels it above $3bn. Probably $3.3bn....?

Avatar and EG will be close in terms of WW dollar but I think EG beats it worldwide admissions wise.

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Wed May 08, 2019 11:50 am
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
$44.7m WW Monday (day 13), $2.2384b
$34.2m WW Tuesday (day 14), $2.2727b

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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
its running out of audience at this point. $3B looks tough but one can never say impossible.

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Wed May 08, 2019 1:08 pm
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Keyser Söze wrote:
its running out of audience at this point. $3B looks tough but one can never say impossible.


All that matters now is if Avatar remains "King of the World!"

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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Or is it?

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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b

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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
um. idk if that imagery is appropriate. He could have just used the numerical listing and still point out how Avatar is still tops for the moment.

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Thu May 09, 2019 9:11 am
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
$44.7m WW Monday (day 13), $2.2384b
$34.2m WW Tuesday (day 14), $2.2727b
$30.4m WW Wednesday (day 15) $2.3032b

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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Domestically its dropping fast considering the demand burned. OS holds are good but China will wind down quickly as would Russia. Even Japan is not leggy for SH movies. It should continue to make good money in Europe, Aus, LA(especially brazil).

As of today 3B looks incredibly tough. Still sticking to final gross around 2.9B. At worst it stops at 2.85B.

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Thu May 09, 2019 2:23 pm
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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
Yeah, a $70m third frame is out with the Tues/Wed. numbers. Demand is burning quicker than I thought.

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Post Re: AVENGERS: ENDGAME - The Road to $3b
$3b wasn't going to happen. Depending on how big it drops this weekend $2.9b will be determined. It's definitely not going to blow past Avatar's WW total.


Thu May 09, 2019 6:42 pm
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