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 Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich) 
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Deshi Basara
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Post Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Crazy Rich Asians projections:

6m Wed
19m Fri-Sun
28-29m 5 day

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Wed Aug 15, 2018 3:33 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Seems pretty good for a film divided between passionate interest and complete apathy.

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Wed Aug 15, 2018 3:34 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
I highly doubt it only gets a $19 mil 3-day with a $6 mil Wed. Especially when I would think it would lean to more of a night/date movie.

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Wed Aug 15, 2018 3:40 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Wed/Thu portion of the 5-day will also be lowered a bit from no Tue night previews.


Wed Aug 15, 2018 4:41 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Feels pretty low to me.


Wed Aug 15, 2018 6:15 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Good numbers. I hope people here are not disappointed.


Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:14 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Good start

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Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:53 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Looks like the high-end here is $33m for the 5-day. Probably going to miss $100m with that opening, considering how front-loaded it will be.


Wed Aug 15, 2018 9:01 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
With a $33-$35m 5-day it can still reach $100m.

WOM should help offset the front loading due to the book's fanbase.

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Thu Aug 16, 2018 12:59 am
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
It'll need closer to $40m to have a shot. Remember, this is 5-day. It's 3-day will be just $20m or so. No way you'd be thinking that a $20m opener could get to $100m, even with better than average WOM. And even if the WOM is decent, the film's subject isn't that appealing. It's a Marmite movie, and most won't care for it. That $6m opening day isn't very encouraging, either.


Thu Aug 16, 2018 1:12 am
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
^ I agree. As much as people want to hype this I don't see that opening getting it past $100m. I hope my $28.4m 5-day comes true in the end so we can use that money for next game :P


Thu Aug 16, 2018 1:16 am
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Were the Millers made 150m off a 26m opening. Asians can totally make just 100m off an opening the same size.


Thu Aug 16, 2018 9:22 am
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Official estimate is now $5m Wednesday.

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Thu Aug 16, 2018 10:37 am
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
It has an A CinemaScore so it should have amazing legs, hoping this could maybe hit 40 million for the 5 day! My audience last night loved it


Thu Aug 16, 2018 11:25 am
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Official estimate is now $5m Wednesday.

lol


Thu Aug 16, 2018 12:15 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
zwackerm wrote:
Were the Millers made 150m off a 26m opening. Asians can totally make just 100m off an opening the same size.


This is more Let's Be Cops than We're The Millers. ;)


Thu Aug 16, 2018 12:16 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
I’m sure the legs will be good enough to top Game Night as the highest comedy of the year. A $5m opening day is weak though. The low predictors in shack’s game are feeling pretty good.


Thu Aug 16, 2018 12:35 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Algren wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Were the Millers made 150m off a 26m opening. Asians can totally make just 100m off an opening the same size.


This is more Let's Be Cops than We're The Millers. ;)


Let's Be Cops adjusts to $95 mil.

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Thu Aug 16, 2018 12:41 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
I’m sure the legs will be good enough to top Game Night as the highest comedy of the year. A $5m opening day is weak though. The low predictors in shack’s game are feeling pretty good.


It's really not weak though. It's a Wednesday opening, not a Friday. And this is an all Asian cast - it may take some convincing for WOM to spread beyond its initial target audience.

A lot of initial predictions for the film were at $40M or less total.


Thu Aug 16, 2018 2:04 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
:wub2:

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Thu Aug 16, 2018 2:32 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
There is going to be a segment of the population that wont be swayed to see CRA regardless of WOM or reviews. That's true for any film, but I think said effect is being minimized here. RomComs are just a tough sell this day and age. Only two have opened over $20m (3-day) since 2014.

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Thu Aug 16, 2018 2:58 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Libs wrote:
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
I’m sure the legs will be good enough to top Game Night as the highest comedy of the year. A $5m opening day is weak though. The low predictors in shack’s game are feeling pretty good.


It's really not weak though. It's a Wednesday opening, not a Friday. And this is an all Asian cast - it may take some convincing for WOM to spread beyond its initial target audience.

A lot of initial predictions for the film were at $40M or less total.


Yeah i don't get the pessimism.

This will certainly leg it past $100m. The great WOM alone will offset any initial front loading. If anything, the August release will only help it.

The 5-day will be around the $35-40m mark. We're the Millers managed to take a similar opening and turn it into $150m. So i dont think it will be difficult for CRA to at least get past $100m

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Thu Aug 16, 2018 7:43 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Might as well give me my $20 now. :-)

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Thu Aug 16, 2018 11:06 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
Libs wrote:
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
I’m sure the legs will be good enough to top Game Night as the highest comedy of the year. A $5m opening day is weak though. The low predictors in shack’s game are feeling pretty good.


It's really not weak though. It's a Wednesday opening, not a Friday. And this is an all Asian cast - it may take some convincing for WOM to spread beyond its initial target audience.

A lot of initial predictions for the film were at $40M or less total.
Hey Libs! Glad to see you back, And extra glad my statement was strong enough to disagree with.

Yes, technically it is not weak for this type of movie. Just as Christopher Robin’s opening was good for a Winnie the Pooh movie. It is only disappointing compared to potential. I was thinking $7m and thought it to be cynical. On the other hand, The Meg’s opening wasn’t that great for a $160m budgeted movie, but it flew past all expectations and became the center of all pop culture for a short time. Crazy Rich Asians had that potential and I’d have been less surprised by a $10m day than what we got.


Thu Aug 16, 2018 11:40 pm
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Post Re: Early Wednesday (Crazy Rich)
I won't get the reported Thursday gross for Crazy Rich Asians until early Friday morning my time, but for what it's worth, the film held up extremely well today on MovieTickets for a Wednesday opener.


Thu Aug 16, 2018 11:57 pm
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