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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Weekend Estimates
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 11:55 am |
 
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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Re: Weekend Estimates Rogue One $155,000,000  Moana $11,664,000 ( down only -37%) Office Christmas Party $8,450,000 (-50%) Collateral Beauty $7,000,000 Fantastic Beasts $5,030,000 (-52%) La La Land $4,020,000 (+356%) 
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 12:39 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates I wonder if holiday legs can push Collateral Beauty past 35 million.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 1:23 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: Weekend Estimates Fences' opening seems incredibly mediocre for such a prestigious, star-driven film in four of the nation's top theatres.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 1:24 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Weekend Estimates La La Land performed adequately but I was really expecting a $30K PTA for it. Perhaps it would have outside of a Star Wars weekend.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 2:36 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Weekend Estimates You know, Rogue One could reach $600 million. That would top even most of the higher expectations. For this to make more than 60% of TFA's opening is absolutely fantastic.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 2:46 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm
Posts: 11591
Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Weekend Estimates Star Wars takes but one step, and all in the land of blockbusters quake
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 3:09 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
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Location: the last free city
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Re: Weekend Estimates Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Star Wars takes but one step, and all in the land of blockbusters quake 
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 3:49 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21509
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Weekend Estimates I don't think it gets that Sunday drop. I don't think the sellouts effect will work here.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 3:52 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
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Re: Weekend Estimates Dr. Lecter wrote: You know, Rogue One could reach $600 million. That would top even most of the higher expectations. For this to make more than 60% of TFA's opening is absolutely fantastic. If it even sniffs 600m it's huge accomplishment. Right now I'll be thrilled with anything above 500m. the goal is #1 domestic box office of 2016.  Eat Dory!!!!!
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 3:57 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35228
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Weekend Estimates Rolling Thunder wrote: La La Land performed adequately but I was really expecting a $30K PTA for it. Perhaps it would have outside of a Star Wars weekend. Same. Still a great number. If Collateral Beauty has P.S. I Love You legs it could do 50 million off this opening. Holiday legs might be very kind to it.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 4:27 pm |
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1924
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Mar 26, 2013 4:43 pm
Posts: 1079
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Re: Weekend Estimates think Rogue One will be more frontloaded and won't hold as well as TFA
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 4:54 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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Re: Weekend Estimates Sunday drops are lower on this weekend and with a big opener it be lower.
Saturday was bad weather and that RO is adult skewing it should be around a 20% drop.
Also RO even with a 3X legs which is the min possibile during X-mas, its at 465 million.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 5:20 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Weekend Estimates 1924 wrote: think Rogue One will be more frontloaded and won't hold as well as TFA It was less frontloaded opening day. It was less frontloaded opening weekend. Why would it be more frontloaded in the long run? _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 5:54 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21509
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Weekend Estimates Dr. Lecter wrote: 1924 wrote: think Rogue One will be more frontloaded and won't hold as well as TFA It was less frontloaded opening day. It was less frontloaded opening weekend. Why would it be more frontloaded in the long run? The Dark Shape?
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 6:49 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Weekend Estimates ?
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 7:27 pm |
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Heinrich Himmler
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 5:17 pm
Posts: 2716
Location: Berlin, Germania
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Re: Weekend Estimates The Dark Shape wrote: I liked this movie but am not confident about its staying power with audiences.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 7:34 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Weekend Estimates Really solid start for RO. I'm not sure if it will continue to play well with families or have many repeat viewings, but it is Star Wars and it's not like it has that much in terms of competition except maybe Sing which will definitely have more family appeal. I don't see less than $500M, but we'll just have to wait and see. Collateral Beauty was dead on arrival as expected, but I have a feeling it will have decent holiday legs. I'm way more interested to see how La La Land expands though.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 7:57 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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Re: Weekend Estimates Sunday is 38-41 according to RTH
This is going to be a long Holidays for SW detractors
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 9:34 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm
Posts: 11016
Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Weekend Estimates Well that's awesome.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 10:21 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm
Posts: 11591
Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Weekend Estimates Mannyisthebest wrote:
This is going to be a long Holidays for SW detractors
Those plagued with lunacy will indeed suffer to no end this long, cold winter. _________________
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 10:38 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32596
Location: the last free city
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Re: Weekend Estimates Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Mannyisthebest wrote:
This is going to be a long Holidays for SW detractors
Those plagued with lunacy will indeed suffer to no end this long, cold winter.
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 11:19 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm
Posts: 1882
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Re: Weekend Estimates Magnus wrote: Also, this is the most unexciting 500m grosser ever. I'm not even going to put this in the top 5 most impressive BO feats this year. Deadpool.... what else? Zootopia's legs? I don't remember many amazing things this year. I agree it's kindof ho-hum. How quickly Disney's Star Wars money machine has begun to bore
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 11:19 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
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Location: the last free city
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Re: Weekend Estimates Steve wrote: Magnus wrote: Also, this is the most unexciting 500m grosser ever. I'm not even going to put this in the top 5 most impressive BO feats this year. Deadpool.... what else? Zootopia's legs? I don't remember many amazing things this year. I agree it's kindof ho-hum. How quickly Disney's Star Wars money machine has begun to bore Also Bad Moms Secret Life of Pets And couple horror movies I'm forgetting
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| Sun Dec 18, 2016 11:23 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21863
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates Meh on all those choices, is Bad moms such a surprise? There is always a surprise R rated comedy. I agree that Rogue One is kind of the most uneventful huge film (I haven't seen it yet)
I'd say:
Dead pool
Dr. Strange
The Jungle Book ( I'll never know why, but people seemed surprised)
The Legend of Tarzan (had 80 million earner written all over it)
And Sully or ID42 (for how bad it did)
I'd put Suicide Squad but that marketing campaign made it hard to say it wouldn't happen
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| Mon Dec 19, 2016 12:38 am |
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