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 STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016 

SW R1 wil gross domestically
Poll ended at Sat Dec 10, 2016 7:22 pm
less than $300m 13%  13%  [ 1 ]
$300m-350m 13%  13%  [ 1 ]
$350m-400m 13%  13%  [ 1 ]
$400m-450m 13%  13%  [ 1 ]
$450m-500m 50%  50%  [ 4 ]
$500m-550m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$550m-600m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$600m-650m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$650m-700m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
more than $700m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 8

 STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016 
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Cream of the Crop
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Reviews seem to be starting - - this'll be my last visit to a Rogue One thread until Thursday night.

Let's hope the force is with Gareth.


Tue Dec 13, 2016 3:25 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Final predictions:
Previews: 31
Friday+previews: 73
OW: 156

Total: 530m (3.4 multiplier)

Was feeling OW would be higher but not so much now.


Thu Dec 15, 2016 3:26 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
I don't think this will do more than $120m given that its Christmas time and there seems to be no rush factor for this one as it was for SW7.


Thu Dec 15, 2016 9:11 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Sounds like many are underestimating Rogue One. $150m OW minimum.

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Thu Dec 15, 2016 9:57 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
I think I'm going to go with $148 mil OW.

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Thu Dec 15, 2016 10:32 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Sounds like many are underestimating Rogue One. $150m OW minimum.


Minimum? It is December after all and other than SW7 none other movie has done even $100m OW (unadjusted).


Thu Dec 15, 2016 10:35 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Sounds like many are underestimating Rogue One. $150m OW minimum.


Minimum? It is December after all and other than SW7 none other movie has done even $100m OW (unadjusted).


Much of the uncertainty centers around it being a spinoff. It's still Star Wars. I understand people being more "conservative" because it's December. $150m would suggest a 40% drop in OW interest and I just can't see it going more than that. SW fans are pretty hardcore.

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Thu Dec 15, 2016 11:17 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Its coming in WAY below TFA internationally.

#FlopOne

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Thu Dec 15, 2016 1:42 pm
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Excel wrote:
Its coming in WAY below TFA internationally.

#FlopOne


Does it bother you that the Star Wars spin-off is going to make way more money than Batman v Superman?


Thu Dec 15, 2016 2:23 pm
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Final predictions:

Friday: $65.5 million ($25.8 million previews)
Saturday: $40.3 million
Sunday: $32.5 million

Opening Weekend: $138 million
Second Weekend: $50.1 million
Third Weekend: $47.8 million

Domestic Total: $450.3 million (3.26)
International Total: $619.7 million
Worldwide Total: $1.07 billion


Thu Dec 15, 2016 4:51 pm
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
My Final Prediction:

Previews - 27
Friday - 70
Saturday - 46
Sunday - 34
OW - 150

Total - 520
Worldwide - 1.1B


Thu Dec 15, 2016 5:37 pm
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Sounds like many are underestimating Rogue One. $150m OW minimum.


Minimum? It is December after all and other than SW7 none other movie has done even $100m OW (unadjusted).


Much of the uncertainty centers around it being a spinoff. It's still Star Wars. I understand people being more "conservative" because it's December. $150m would suggest a 40% drop in OW interest and I just can't see it going more than that. SW fans are pretty hardcore.


I understand that is a big drop in interest from SW7 but you have to realize that even among fans they booked like multiple shows over the weekend and there was this HUGE rush factor for seeing it. I don't think that is the case with RO. Comparing its drop to $250m OW is just not correct. SW8 will drop from SW7 regardless of RO in between.


Thu Dec 15, 2016 7:41 pm
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
previews: 37.8m
Fri: 80.15m
Sat; 46.55m -41%
Sun: 38.40m -18%

Opening Wknd 165.10m

Total: 689m
WW: 1.3b+

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Thu Dec 15, 2016 10:14 pm
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
BJ wrote:
previews: 37.8m
Fri: 80.15m
Sat; 46.55m -41%
Sun: 38.40m -18%

Opening Wknd 165.10m

Total: 689m
WW: 1.3b+

I'm one with the force. The force is one with me. :thumbsup:

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Fri Dec 16, 2016 12:58 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
130/420. This will be frontloaded for sure.

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Fri Dec 16, 2016 1:25 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Previews will exceed $30m no doubt.

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Fri Dec 16, 2016 1:30 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Excel wrote:
Previews will exceed $30m no doubt.

truth

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Fri Dec 16, 2016 1:38 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Excel wrote:
Previews will exceed $30m no doubt.

Force Awakens did $57m on Thursday night previews, so based on the number of unsold seats at my screening of Rogue One last night, I'd say $30m is assured.


Fri Dec 16, 2016 5:24 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Shit now we will have Spin-Off after Spin-Off

Star Wars Cantina Band the movie musical comming 2022.

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Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:23 pm
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
FILMO wrote:
Shit now we will have Spin-Off after Spin-Off

Star Wars Cantina Band the movie musical comming 2022.

:funny: :funny: :funny:

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Sat Dec 17, 2016 7:45 pm
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Given the early weekend numbers and the WOM I've heard, my prediction is $490m dom.


Sun Dec 18, 2016 8:14 am
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
Any crowd reports of R1 showings after the Carrie Fisher news broke? I wonder how audiences react to a certain scene close to the end...

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Wed Dec 28, 2016 3:04 pm
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Post Re: STAR WARS : ROGUE ONE Predictions December 16th 2016
mark66 wrote:
Any crowd reports of R1 showings after the Carrie Fisher news broke? I wonder how audiences react to a certain scene close to the end...

Sadness, crying, praying...the usual

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Wed Dec 28, 2016 4:53 pm
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