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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
There is a strong case for it, yes. But before Scorsese unveils Silence, I am not down with any winner.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Oct 24, 2016 4:07 pm |
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Lafin Atchu
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Mon Jan 21, 2013 9:02 pm Posts: 519 Location: Golden State
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
I've thought the same ever since Birth's campaign sorta imploded.
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Mon Oct 24, 2016 7:03 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68214 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
There will be plenty more black people to vote this year, so it could.
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Mon Oct 24, 2016 7:37 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Magnus wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: There is a strong case for it, yes. But before Scorsese unveils Silence, I am not down with any winner. not even Marty can make a great film that that shitty book. but for real, outside of the fact that the film is amazing, it's a movie focused on a GAY BLACK MAN. The outrage that will happen if they ignore this over a musical with white people singing and dancing would be too much for the Academy to handle. There will still be enough voters not voting for the film precisely because it is about a gay black man. Also, do not dare do doubt Marty.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Tue Oct 25, 2016 11:10 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
I'm in.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri Oct 28, 2016 1:35 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25163 Location: Classified
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Nah. La La Land has more white people.
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Mon Oct 31, 2016 10:10 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
nah - too gay, too black, too small
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Mon Oct 31, 2016 10:18 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6317 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Nope, too niche of a subject matter and of a film. The majority of Academy members won't even watch it.
Jackie is the one to look out for.
_________________ .
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Wed Nov 02, 2016 7:46 pm |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am Posts: 2084
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
The hype for Moonlight is rebarbative - I have no plans to see it.
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Wed Nov 02, 2016 8:31 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68214 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Barrabás wrote: Nope, too niche of a subject matter and of a film. The majority of Academy members won't even watch it. Don't forget that there are loads of new blacks, gays, and weirdos added to the Academy this year. But I agree, it is definitely not winning Best Picture.
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Wed Nov 02, 2016 9:28 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
I loved Moonlight but I don't see it happening. It's a bit too...subtle.
For all intensive purposes, this still has La La Land's name all over it.
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Thu Nov 03, 2016 11:06 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68214 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Libs wrote: For all intensive purposes, this still has La La Land's name all over it. You mean 'intents and purposes'. 
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Thu Nov 03, 2016 8:57 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40226
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Tempting but I think if they go all in on the black actor wins they can justify their white La La Land win
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Fri Nov 04, 2016 8:22 pm |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am Posts: 2084
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Algren wrote: Libs wrote: For all intensive purposes, this still has La La Land's name all over it. You mean 'intents and purposes'.  
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Sat Nov 05, 2016 3:41 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35192 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Doubtful. Like has been said plenty of the Academy won't watch it. I almost feel like more white Academy members will watch it than African American Academy members. Homophobia is very rampant in the African American community. Even going on the Facebook page for the film there are plenty of complaints. And yet I still feel many white Academy members won't watch it either. I do think it will get a good number of nominations though and will probably win something. But most likely not the big prize.
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Mon Nov 21, 2016 1:48 am |
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Webslinger
why so serious?
Joined: Tue Jun 06, 2006 11:24 pm Posts: 4110 Location: Stuck In A Moment I Can't Get Out Of
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
It's a great movie and it may well finish the year at #1 on my personal list, but it's not winning Best Picture. It's way too small, low-key, etc. If they didn't go for Boyhood with a much stronger awards narrative (even though the media has pushed the Oscars So White angle hard, I think the fact that it happened two years in a row indicates that the mostly old, white Academy just doesn't care, so I don't see that angle playing into Moonlight's narrative significantly enough to move the dial), they won't go for Moonlight.
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Fri Nov 25, 2016 12:43 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
You did well with Spotlight last year, but you're gonna be wrong, bro.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Wed Dec 21, 2016 6:37 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68214 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
#MagnusFailsLikeExcel
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Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:14 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32574 Location: the last free city
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
#NobodyFailsLikeExcel
It's going to be La La Land ....Hollywood loves movies about itself
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Wed Dec 21, 2016 10:22 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Moonlight could very well win SAG Ensemble, but Best Picture won't happen. I feel like if there's somehow a spoiler to La La Land, it would be Manchester.
The top 3 are def La La Land, Manchester and Moonlight though.
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Thu Dec 22, 2016 11:06 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68214 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
If La La Land doesn't win Best Picture, that will be an upset.
Funny how things are silent for Loving, 20th Century Women, and Lion.
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Thu Dec 22, 2016 11:12 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Actually things are less silent for Lion than I thought they would be. It scored four Golden Globe noms, two SAG noms and six Critics' Choice Awards noms (including Best Picture).
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Dec 22, 2016 11:14 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68214 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Yeah, I guess so, but the buzz doesn't seem to be there. And let's see if it actually wins any of those.
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Fri Dec 23, 2016 9:58 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
It won't. The fact it actually got so many mentions is a triumph in itself, I think.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Dec 23, 2016 12:45 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68214 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Moonlight is going to win BP
Bump
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Mon Feb 27, 2017 1:16 am |
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