It has a good shot at sub 2.0 multiplier given the competition ahead from Jungle Book and Huntsmen though it needs another $71m from $50m+ weekend. If it keeps seeing 60%+ drops it can happen.

It's not dropping 60% against the Boss.

Maybe it might go over 55%, but I think it will drop in low 50s.

0.4% (round up) is statistical noise. No failure.

Failure.

Technically it failed, but the point of the thread is a success.

Look at the second weekend predictions thread. Everyone was assuming it will drop harder. This was a 70% club and BvS prevailed by 0.9% its a failure.

The sub-2.0 multiplier might be true because BvS dropped harder than Fantastic Four last year. F4 dropped 54.3% in its third and 52.3% in its 4th. I am sure fourth weekend drop will be bigger due to Jungle Book release. BvS needs a sub-54% drop this weekend, highly unlikely.

It would have been a 68% club if clubs didn't usually have round numbers. In the second weekend drop thread even I didn't predict 70%. I was one of only two to overpredict the drop in 2nd weekend thread and we were two of the 3 most accurate. If you make a big deal about 0.9%, make a big deal about the percentage points everyone else was off by.

BVS almost matched Hulk with nothing opening. Failure.

Yes Failure is the word

-69.5 would also have been -70 since the club wasn't -70.0. Thus it prevailed only by 0.4.

How is anything less than 70% equals to 70%? This club was made hoping BvS will drop more than 70% so its a failure.

If you don't use decimal point then 69.5+ equals 70. And thread title doesn't use it.

Hmm regardless it did miss this. By that logic it missed by 1% overall

You're just desperate to claim any victory after it dropped more than you were predicting.

"I got a B+ on my Exam"
"Failure"

We sure were proven wrong by BVS's staying power!

No. "I'm going to get an A on my exam!"
*gets B+*
You didn't get an A, bro. Fail.

If the sub 2.0 multiplier still happens, this club will be a 50% success, which will round up to a 100% success. #Maths

And you are desperate to claim victory after it dropped less than you were predicting. The next thing will be that it will get 2.11 multiplier (and just $350m) and you will claim victory because it was CLOSE. That's not how this works.

This club wasn't created before the opening, it was after. We all knew it was going to drop big, the reason some of didn't join because people were expecting a second weekend drop CLOSE to 70% and not more.

I don't understand who claimed that BvS will have great staying power. I am not even sure Excel mentioned it after he saw the movie.

Lastly do you remember Spectre club everyone appreciated it because it was predicted well in advance, most people saw $250m yet it barely crawled past $200m and it was clearly evident that it would not have done that without studio pushing it. That club was respected but still a failure. This club is NOT even close, I will congratulate you if BvS ends with 2-2.05 multiplier but until that NO.

Says who? It is close. Do you respect BVS's legs at this point? Is that the story, or are we going to focus on that 1.5m?



Everyone not in this club underpredicted its drop in the 2nd weekend drop thread.



Way to miss the point.



It is close. Actuals almost cut the gap in half, and Sunday didn't change much.

No. "An A would be nice, but I'll more likely get an A-"
*gets B+*
"Fail"

No, if your goal was to get an A- and you got a B+, you failed in your goal.

If your goal is to get first place, and you get 2nd, you failed.

Yeah, sure wasn't worth trying.

Never said that. But if you can't accept defeat, what's the point of trying?

Everyone knew the film would drop in the mid-to-high 60% range due to poor WOM. Predicting a 70+% drop was incorrect, period. It was great that you put yourself out there and you could have been right in foretelling a rare 70+% second weekend drop. But you weren't. I don't know what this discussion is all about!

As box office nerds, we try to make specific calls and see if we'll be right based on our intuition and expertise, as anyone can estimate something - e.g. Variety who put out estimated ranges as predictions all the time, as if those ill-defined predictions actually provide us with any insight from what we already know.

I don't mean to be harsh, but I just don't get it. You were wrong, no big deal, let's move on, heh.

Peace,
Mike

We should settle this as Trump would; based on penis size.

You should try because every bit counts.

The prediction was slightly off sure, but the idea that BVS did as expected is false. I don't care much for "victories" or "defeats". I just go along with that because you guys play that game. I made this thread based on the idea that BVS was extremely frontloaded, more so than expected. I didn't think 10CL would drop 23% or Allegiant under 40%. So, I was wrong about those for the same reason. But some of you act like a million or so is more important than any point to be made about its run or daily pattern, which I find very annoying.