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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 SW7 Monday predictions So Disney says $48.8m, rival studios see around $55m and RTH agrees that Disney lowballed Sunday... Where do you see SW7's Monday? And here's a look at the drops 6 years ago when the holidays fell on the same dates as this year: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/char ... -21&p=.htm
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Nothing Compares 2 U
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| Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:20 pm |
 
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions $35 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:21 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions 38m
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:24 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Something absurd.
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| Sun Dec 20, 2015 7:30 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Apparently it made $61 million on Sunday.
My revised Monday prediction: $38 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 10:54 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32629
Location: the last free city
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions 37.5m - 40m  I'm seeing it again tonight (#5)
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 11:17 am |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions $40m ain't happening. So far:
AMC Tysons Corner 16 12/20/15
Time-Capacity
8:30-55%
8:45-55%
9:00-Sold Out S/O
9:20-65%
10:00-80%
10:55-S/O
11:20-75%
12:05-NA
12:30-S/O
1:20-74%
2:10-S/O
2:35-74%
3:00-80%
3:35-75%
4:00-S/O
4:45-75%
5:30-S/O
6:00-85%
6:30-90%
7:05-S/O
7:30-S/O
8:20-80%
AMC Tysons Corner 16 12/21/15
Time-Capacity
9:00-70%
9:30-63 seats sold
10:00-26%/133tickets sold
10:55-S/O 299
11:40-55/252
12:05-33/240
12:30-S/O/480
1:20-175/500
2:10-S/O/299
2:35-127/252 50%
3:00-N/A
3:35-68/240
4:00-400/480 (normally I would count as sell out, what do others think)
220-299 seat screens, unless 480-500
Last edited by mdana on Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:19 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 11:48 am |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am
Posts: 1742
Location: Calisota
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions 37/38M depending on actuals.
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 11:59 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions I'm going with a 32 % drop to $41,176,170
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:41 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions It'll destroy the Monday record... Can it get the Tuesday record, though?
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:45 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21594
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions I hope it goes as low as possible. This movie will set the precedent for how front loaded it is possible for a film to be at this time of year.
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:46 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions What I've always found remarkable on Dec 21, 2009, is that Avatar didn't even have close to best decline. Were the snowstorms still having an impact on the BO at that point?
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:47 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions zwackerm wrote: I hope it goes as low as possible. This movie will set the precedent for how front loaded it is possible for a film to be at this time of year. I thought the precedent is I AM LEGEND?
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:51 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions mark66 wrote: zwackerm wrote: I hope it goes as low as possible. This movie will set the precedent for how front loaded it is possible for a film to be at this time of year. I thought the precedent is I AM LEGEND? The Day the Earth Stood Still (2008) _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 4:53 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions 40m+ looking like a possibility, on pace for 20+ sellouts again today here, only thing in its way is 20 less showings.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:04 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Biggestgeekever wrote: What I've always found remarkable on Dec 21, 2009, is that Avatar didn't even have close to best decline. Were the snowstorms still having an impact on the BO at that point? There were 3 snowstorms that impacted three of Avatar's weekends: 2 on the East Coast and one in the Midwest. I think it was The 1st, 2nd, and 6th weekend, but that is just how I remember it.
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:05 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions 12pm hour just went insane, 19 sellouts on the day so far
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:08 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions mdana wrote: Biggestgeekever wrote: What I've always found remarkable on Dec 21, 2009, is that Avatar didn't even have close to best decline. Were the snowstorms still having an impact on the BO at that point? There were 3 snowstorms that impacted three of Avatar's weekends: 2 on the East Coast and one in the Midwest. I think it was The 1st, 2nd, and 6th weekend, but that is just how I remember it. Hmm, based on the past, fantastic Sunday holds for well received blockbusters tend to correlate with fantastic Monday holds. If films in general behave the same way as in '09, TFA could be looking at a sub 25% drop today. I... think I will remain more conservative and go with $38M.
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:11 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Yeah, 40m+
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:13 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions I must be missing something, because to me it looks like a hybrid of DH2 and Avatar. The holiday and extended previews are messing with people's perceptions of what is real and holiday artifact.
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:28 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions $248m are real...
...in December
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:31 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions $37.9 million
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:32 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions Lots.
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:34 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am
Posts: 2483
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions $37-38m...$40m would be awesome though.
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 5:36 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: SW7 Monday predictions $37.1 million sounds about right.
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| Mon Dec 21, 2015 6:09 pm |
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