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cujoy
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Mar 05, 2005 10:16 pm
Posts: 164
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I am suspicious of Sahara because it is trying much too hard to look like National Treasure II in it's advertising. And I don't think people will buy.
13M opening
40M total
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 4:45 pm |
 
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Damn predicting this movie has gotten hard.
At first i said $30M total....but theres loads of advertising here, and even though the movie looks shite, this could be the type of film people need right now, after the Violent movies/Family films so far.
Emm...god knows....high teens opening now?
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 8:17 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Final predictions.
Opening: $12.6 million
Total: $34.1 million
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 8:20 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Is it true the budget for this is $130M??!
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 8:24 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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mansonmyers wrote: Is it true the budget for this is $130M??! Yepppp.
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0318649/business
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 8:26 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Christ!
This is a bomb man!
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 8:36 pm |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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I'm going back to my earlier in this thread prediction for Sahara. Nothing to do with yahoo review thread, too early to tell from that anyway, more to do with me talking to my brother and his wife and them saying they want to see it. 
Last edited by A. G. on Fri Apr 08, 2005 12:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 8:44 pm |
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Star Wars
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2005 1:18 pm
Posts: 1638
Location: Alderaan
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 Just saw it... F triple Minus. Horrible.
My predictions:
Opening Day: $6 million
Opening Weekend: $21 million
Total: $46 million
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 10:01 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: Just saw it... StarWarsEpisode7 wrote: F triple Minus. Horrible.
My predictions:
Opening Day: $6 million
Opening Weekend: $21 million
Total: $46 million A 3.5x weekend multiplier for a movie worthy of an F-?! 
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 10:16 pm |
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Star Wars
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Apr 02, 2005 1:18 pm
Posts: 1638
Location: Alderaan
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Re: Just saw it... Zingaling wrote: StarWarsEpisode7 wrote: F triple Minus. Horrible.
My predictions:
Opening Day: $6 million
Opening Weekend: $21 million
Total: $46 million A 3.5x weekend multiplier for a movie worthy of an F-?! $6 million Friday
$8 million Saturday
$7 million Sunday
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 10:16 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: Just saw it... StarWarsEpisode7 wrote: $6 million Friday
$8 million Saturday
$7 million Sunday I doubt the film will have more than a 20% Saturday increase.
This will be double-frontloaded. It's got a fan-base, plus the Paramount 2nd weekend curse. A 55%+ drop shoulld be expected.
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| Thu Apr 07, 2005 10:24 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Well, I was way off. Sahara did very good this weekend.
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| Sat Apr 09, 2005 12:15 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Re: Just saw it... MG Casey wrote: StarWarsEpisode7 wrote: $6 million Friday
$8 million Saturday
$7 million Sunday I doubt the film will have more than a 20% Saturday increase. This will be double-frontloaded. It's got a fan-base, plus the Paramount 2nd weekend curse. A 55%+ drop shoulld be expected. I expect it to have a nice weekend multiplier, and pretty good legs. It's mostly attracting an older audience and a family audience. Hidalgo, National Treasure, and Man on Fire all had good multipliers both for opening weekend, and overall.
BTW, fanbases from books almost never cause frontloading. Only in the cases like HP or LOTR do they.
About 20m this weekend, with about 65m in total.
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| Sat Apr 09, 2005 12:24 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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bradley witherberry wrote: There are lots of older folks out there that love this author's books and will likely go see it regardless of WOM. I believe everyone's going low on this one and will predict $28mil/112mil... I saw it tonight with a full house and loved it -- see my review in other forum, and check out my prediction above - opening weekend's gonna be a bit below my estimate -- but this movie's gonna have legs!
$100mil+ easy...
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 2:02 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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bradley witherberry wrote: bradley witherberry wrote: There are lots of older folks out there that love this author's books and will likely go see it regardless of WOM. I believe everyone's going low on this one and will predict $28mil/112mil... I saw it tonight with a full house and loved it -- see my review in other forum, and check out my prediction above - opening weekend's gonna be a bit below my estimate -- but this movie's gonna have legs! $100mil+ easy... Um, a 5x multiplier? Highly unlikely.
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 2:05 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Zingaling wrote: bradley witherberry wrote: bradley witherberry wrote: There are lots of older folks out there that love this author's books and will likely go see it regardless of WOM. I believe everyone's going low on this one and will predict $28mil/112mil... I saw it tonight with a full house and loved it -- see my review in other forum, and check out my prediction above - opening weekend's gonna be a bit below my estimate -- but this movie's gonna have legs! $100mil+ easy... Um, a 5x multiplier? Highly unlikely. No problemo!
Feel free to say: "I told you so..."
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 2:13 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Yeah guys, this is gonna have good legs. WOM seems pretty damn strong and the audience is everything that isn't frontloaded.
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 4:04 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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MovieDude wrote: Yeah guys, this is gonna have good legs. WOM seems pretty damn strong and the audience is everything that isn't frontloaded. :budo: _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 4:07 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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The opening weekend will be around $18 million, but there is no way it'll break $70 million in total.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 4:52 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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I'm thinking 20/70
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 4:53 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Just saw it... StarWarsEpisode7 wrote: Zingaling wrote: StarWarsEpisode7 wrote: F triple Minus. Horrible.
My predictions:
Opening Day: $6 million
Opening Weekend: $21 million
Total: $46 million A 3.5x weekend multiplier for a movie worthy of an F-?! $6 million Friday $8 million Saturday $7 million Sunday A 13.5% drop on Sunday.
Okay... _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 10:28 am |
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torrino
College Boy T
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:52 pm
Posts: 16020
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It'll settle for a nice $63m.
With DVDs, it won't be such a massive bomb.
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 11:20 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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It'll have good legs, I'm sure.
But, come on. $100M? Pass the "mary-juanas" when you're done.
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 11:55 am |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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I bet it will fall more than 55% next weekend. This will be its highest drop in its run, like any other Paramount movie.
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 11:58 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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This wont hold up as good as Hidalgo, no way.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Sun Apr 10, 2005 3:40 pm |
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