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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) Jack Sparrow wrote: BJ wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Dil wrote: I don't see how it goes below $40M in previews and even that might be lowballing considering the ridiculous amount of 2:00am-6:00am showings. DH2's record seems sure to go down, although since it was an actual midnight release those numbers will remain far more impressive for years to come. I'm going with $45M from previews. $39m is a good increase from previews record. Plus $39m is not WAY far from $45m. I am not sure why Star Wars fans have to make a point that everyone HAS to predict a record number. Tracking numbers have been way off in the past and the sold out reports are not a measure at all because we are only taking a handful of theaters around. I am going with my gut feeling and would like to be impressed if SW exceeds that. film already has 120m in pre-sales  50m+ is locked up. Please predict $120m for previews then let me make fun of you. the 120m in pre-sales are not just for Thursday night, obviously  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 1:38 pm |
 
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) Holy crap - the Arclight in Hollywood will have 54 showtimes on Friday. 
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Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 2:28 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) Rolling Thunder wrote: Holy crap - the Arclight in Hollywood will have 54 showtimes on Friday. It has 49 showtimes on Thursday night.
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 2:38 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) $45-$50M is a nice range, but based on that deadline article and the fact it has already passed $100M in presales it sounds as if it could definitely go higher. I don't even think $60M is much of a stretch anymore.
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 5:27 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) That $100 mil is TOTAL pre-sales. Over the course of the next week or so.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 5:29 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) Excel is right, young people don't care about SW.
63% of pre-sales are 30-49. Only 21% are 20-29.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 5:54 pm |
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Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
Posts: 1406
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight)
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 5:54 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13057
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) So that's the first official record - beats the previous December record (4,045) by 89 theaters...
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Nothing Compares 2 U
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 6:23 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13057
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) Okay, I'm off to the midnight screening - see you in a couple of hours... 
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Nothing Compares 2 U
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 6:25 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) Nice  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 7:02 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6787
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) m051293 wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: JW did 37m with Imax+PLF. This will easily do 50m+. its playing round the clock in PLF theaters almost everywhere. I saw in one AMC it had sold 45 tickets for 3AM friday night/saturday mornign show. At $23 per ticket its almost $1000 per show even at crazy time and we are still 3 days away from that show !!! Only D-Box is as high as $23 per ticket though I think, and there are usually ~40 D-Box seats in a theater. Prices for other formats are not nearly as high, but are still greater than standard 3D and in the vicinity of IMAX prices. Here's a chart I made comparing AOU to TFA for prices in different formats aside from D-Box in my area:  And here's an expanded chart for TFA. Includes as many formats as I could find in this area:  Note: I will be tracking SW8&9 prices as well, to be able to compare across the 6 year period. I was looking at NYC. Everything is expensive there. its not a 40 seat theater. Its a AMC Premium PLF screen. Around 150-200 seats. its almost same price as iMax !!! Preview numbers will beat DH2 for sure. Number of sellouts are more at this point and PLF will easily ensure average prices are way higher.
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I used to be shawman.
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| Wed Dec 16, 2015 9:19 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) $52m.
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 9:55 am |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) $125m through Friday sounds about right, maybe even conservative. That was my OW estimate up until Thanksgiving.
Is there Thursday-Friday thread? This seemed the most similar.
Ok, I overlooked the thread I wanted. $45-50m for Thursday seems absurd for a December, so that is my guess, but with the expansion of shows it seems like $60m is in play.
Last edited by mdana on Thu Dec 17, 2015 5:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 4:05 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) My final prediction is $55M for previews.
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| Thu Dec 17, 2015 5:07 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am
Posts: 2483
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) Chippy wrote: So you wouldn't be surprised by it DOUBLING the largest preview number of all time? $57m. Came pretty damn close. As I said, "Going with $55m but wouldn't be surprised by $60m."
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| Fri Dec 18, 2015 12:48 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13057
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) Wow, $57m in 5 hours - what a number...
Anyway, we have two winners in the poll - I went with $50m-55m two months ago...
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Nothing Compares 2 U
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| Fri Dec 18, 2015 2:09 pm |
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Kadence
Waitress in LA
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 3:19 pm
Posts: 22
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Re: SW7 preview predictions (Thursday 7pm - midnight) Do they ever release numbers for the post-midnight shows?
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| Fri Dec 18, 2015 5:45 pm |
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