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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19448
Location: San Diego
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 December 18-20 predictions  Sisters Universal 2,900+ Star Wars: The Force Awakens Buena Vista 3,900 Alvin and the Chipmunks The Road Chip Fox Nationwide LEGGGGGGOOOO
Last edited by publicenemy#1 on Sat Dec 12, 2015 12:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:04 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25433
Location: Classified
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Alvin's definitely got this one.
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:11 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: December 18-20 predictions SW7- $185 mil
Sisters- $17.5 mil
Alvin- $13 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:18 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Star Wars: The Force Awakens - All da money
Sisters - Less money
Alvin - Even less money
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:18 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19448
Location: San Diego
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 228
Alvin - 15
Sisters - 12
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:23 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: December 18-20 predictions My brain is telling me to predict $180m for STAR WARS. My gut is telling me to predict $230m.
$205m!
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:29 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: December 18-20 predictions First: it is not going to open below $200 million
Second: TDS, do you seriously believe, Disney will let fucking Star Wars come within $5 million of the record and not break it? They will pay the money themselves if they have to, but it is not gonna do $205 million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:30 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7196
Location: Wisconsin
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 230M
Sisters - 15M
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Road Chip - 13M
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:40 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21604
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Alvin-210
Sisters-90
WTF is TFA? Probably sub 10 million.
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 6:30 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Lol funny how the conservative perdicts are over 180 million
_________________The Dark Prince 
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 6:41 pm |
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Heinrich Himmler
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 5:17 pm
Posts: 2716
Location: Berlin, Germania
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Re: December 18-20 predictions excel's prediction will be even more conservative, or else he will lose his face.
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 6:45 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: December 18-20 predictions The Force Awakens - 250m
Road Chip - 25m
Sisters - 15m
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 6:52 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 200M
Sisters - 15M
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Road Chip - 12M
I really want to predict $230m+ for TFA but despite the fact its is on track to become the biggest grosser of all time - i think the $$$ will be well spread over the first two weeks of release. $200m OW in December is like a $250m+ OW in the summer IMO.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 7:20 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 196.7 million
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip - 17.09m
Sisters - 11.9m
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 7:45 pm |
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Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm
Posts: 1893
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Star Wars 240m
Alvin 12m
Sisters 9m
_________________
how am I not myself?
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 9:03 pm |
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trixie
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2014 2:15 pm
Posts: 299
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Star Wars: The Force Awakens: 210m
Alvin: 17m
Sisters: 11m
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 9:03 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 220
Chipmunks - 13
Sisters - 11
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 9:24 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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Re: December 18-20 predictions 208.9 million
#DISNEYSTRIKESBACK
_________________The Dark Prince
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| Fri Dec 11, 2015 10:04 pm |
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Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm
Posts: 8889
Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
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Re: December 18-20 predictions The Force Awakens - 200m+
Road Chip - 13m
Sisters - $17 (thompsoncory and Magic Mike)
_________________
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| Sat Dec 12, 2015 6:17 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32635
Location: the last free city
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Re: December 18-20 predictions The Force Awakens - 258.8m (tops the record by 50m)  Sisters - 24.5m Alllllviiiinnn! - 20m
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
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| Sat Dec 12, 2015 9:12 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: December 18-20 predictions My final prediction is going to depend on the final theatre count. I will assume 3950 for now and going with $215 million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Dec 12, 2015 9:22 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: December 18-20 predictions Star Wars - 200
Alvin - 17
Sisters - 14
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| Sat Dec 12, 2015 11:14 am |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7196
Location: Wisconsin
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Re: December 18-20 predictions So what would be a disappointing opening for Force Awakens? Taking the fact that it's opening in December and money will be spread out to the holidays into account, I think it has to be a top 5 OW of all time to not be disappointing. That means making at least 170M and topping DH2 OW.
That said and December opening aside, it really shouldn't open less than 200M. I hope Rev is right with his super high prediction, but only if the movie is satisfying and not an abomination.
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| Sat Dec 12, 2015 9:25 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: December 18-20 predictions It would be disappointing if it opened under $150 mil.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Sun Dec 13, 2015 12:08 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Re: December 18-20 predictions 1 Star Wars $261.1 m
SW Ep. 3 adjusts to $206,157,600 over its first 4 days today. Considering that followed the worst performing SW film I think this is very achievable. Avengers adjusts now to $213 m, and Jurassic World did $208 m but I still feel there's quite a bit of room to go even in December.
I'm going to go with $261.1 m, which is a bit higher than the 22% increase on the OW record jump Avengers made over HP7 Pt. 2. I feel like the market has grown a lot and think this is a rare pop culture event that everyone is going to want to see OW due to FOMO despite being December. People won't be able to go to a holiday party without seeing SW in a lot of cases. Cross demographic appeal to every demographic and one of the weakest November box office's in the past 20 years in terms of anticipated movies only helps.
2) Sisters $28 m
Despite the Star Wars monster on the horizon, a hotly anticipated movie can still do really well against a pop culture giant. Mamma Mia comes to mind against The Dark Knight, adjusting today to $32.2 m. Sisters trailers are getting great reception every time that I can't see this going under Baby Mama adjusted for inflation even in December as the starpower of Fey/Poehler has gone up significantly since then. At the highest level, What Woman Want would adjust today to $52 m. But I feel like more people will watch this than J Lo's MIM ($26.9 m adjusted). I feel like next weekend will be a one off weekend that everyone "has to go to the movies" and Sisters is going to get a significant spillover effect as well. Throwing it out there now, Sisters will have a chance at $160 m+ and pull a Meet The Fockers type run with any OW over $30 m. Also not betting against Universal this year. They clearly must have indicators that there was a high likelihood of success counterprogramming with Star Wars or they would have budged on this one.
3 Alvin $16 m
You have to give it to this franchise, it seems to survive a lot longer than anyone thought it would. The last one adjusts to $23-24 m OW. Despite Star Wars, this will probably see some solid business due to underwhelming showings of other family films.
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| Sun Dec 13, 2015 3:46 am |
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