Holy Shit!

140/500m ballpark

After the fantastic new trailer...

157/550.

TPM opened in fewer theatres than was the norm even back then. It was to do with Lucas, types of screens and the revenue share with theatres (heavily skewed against the theatres). You really cant compare the two directly.

I wonder why The Hunger Games was the highest selling first day seller instead of Catching Fire.

The hype for the first Hunger Games was through the roof.

But Catching Fire sold almost the same amount of tix. Weird.

My original 350-400 is obviously no longer realistic. The film will be halfway to that after the first 3-4 days.

This is the film Abrams was born to direct. I think it will make Star Wars cool again.

Twitter Index (lol)
1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 170,054
2. Spectre 7,934
3. X-Men: Apocalypse 7,054
4. Crimson Peak 6,341
5. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 5,715

I doubted a film could open this HUGE in December, but I shall doubt no longer. The anticipation and the hype are palpable. I mean even the traffic my website receives for all Star Wars-related articles right now - in particular the articles about the presale record - is huge.

Opening day - $95 million
Opening weekend - $217 million
Total gross - $725 million

Never.

Getting too caught up in media hype. Walk ups will be weak.

My favorite thing about Excel's walk-ups argument is that it's based on STAR WARS only being important to people over the age of 30, yet it's the younger generation that is more likely to buy their tickets online.

The film will be huge, but if Fifty Shades of Grey's legs can be affected by its Valentine's day (never would gave ibcreased Sat otherwise), SW will be deflated OW in December.

I should point out that I absolutely think December will deflate the opening, but STAR WARS is popular enough to still make, say, $170m or so.

That doesn't matter, TDS. The 40 and under crowd makes up the vast majority of film goers. Just because that age group is leading on-line ticket sales does not mean whatsoever that the walk ups will be there.

They won't.

Fuck. It.

Previews: $55 Million
OD: $115 Million
OW: $235 Million

DOM: $830 Million
WW: $2.5 Billion

Magnus is right.

It doesn't need the OW record anyway. If we were talking about a summer opener - no doubt it would be opening over $220m but in December it will rake in a shitload of $$$ for weeks. Especially if its actually good/great.

$175m or so is more than enough.

Maybe we need a SW doubles BvS domestic gross thread to really spice up KJ.

Star Wars first 9 days > BvS DOM total

I forgot what my last prediction was, but I can definitely say with confidence that this isn't going below $150M OW and honestly I'm starting to think it could even challenge $200M, but I don't want to let the HYPE go to my head. This really does feel HUGE though, much more so than JW or AOU and we all know how those two turned out.

BJs Prediction:

Star Wars Episode VII - The Force Awakens

Previews: 54.65m -
Opening Day: 114.99m
Opening Wknd: 250.05m - Fri: 114.99m / Sat: 70.95m -38% / Sun: 64.11m -9%
4-Day: 288.60m - Mon: 38.55m -39%
5-Day: 325.00m - Tue: 36.40m -5%
6-Day: 360.65m - Wed: 35.65m -2%
Opening Wk: 384.50m - Thur: 23.85m -33%
2nd Wknd: 145.00m -42% - Fri: 40.25m +68% / Sat: 54.75m +35% / Sun: 50.00m -8%
11-Day: 567.00m - Mon: 37.50m -25%
12-Day: 602.25m - Tue: 35.25m -6%
13-Day: 635.70m - Wed: 33.45m -5%
2nd Wk: 662.65m - Thur: 26.95m -19%
3rd Wknd: 100.50m -30% - Fri: 37.55m +39% / Sat: 37.95m +1% / Sun: 25.00m -34%
18-Day: 771.90m - Mon: 8.75m -63%
19-Day: 781.95m - Tue: 10.05m +15%
20-Day: 789.45m - Wed: 7.50m -20%
3rd Wk: 796.15m - Thur: 6.70m -11%
4th Wknd: 52.25m -48% - Fri: 14.35m +115% / Sat: 22.30m +55% / Sun: 15.50m -30%
25-Day: 852.90m - Mon: 4.50m -71%
26-Day: 858.55m - Tue: 5.65m +25%
27-Day: 862.75m - Wed: 4.20m -29%
4th Wk: 866.50m - Thur: 3.75m -5%
5th Wknd: 37.40m -28% - Fri: 8.75m +130% / Sat: 15.35m +75% / Sun: 13.30m -13%
4-Day-Wknd: 47.40m -10% - Mon: 10.00m -25%
33-Day: 917.75m - Tue: 3.85m -61%
34-Day: 920.40m - Wed: 2.65m -30%
5th Wk: 923.05m - Thur: 2.65m NC
6th Wknd: 26.15m -30% - Fri: 6.50m +145% / Sat: 12.05m +85% / Sun: 7.60m -37%
Wk-1: 384.50m - Wknd: 250.05m | Total: 384.50m
Wk-2: 278.15m - Wknd: 145.00m | Total: 662.65m
Wk-3: 133.50m - Wknd: 100.50m | Total: 796.15m
Wk-4: 70.25m - Wknd: 52.25m | Total: 866.50m
Wk-5: 56.55m - Wknd: 37.40m - 4-Day-Wknd: 47.40m | Total: 923.05m
Wk-6: 34.80m - Wknd: 26.15m | Total: 957.85m
Wk-7: 26.75m - Wknd: 20.40m | Total: 984.60m
Wk-8: 18.40m - Wknd: 13.25m | Total: 1,003.00m
Wk-9: 20.65m - Wknd: 13.25m - 4-Day-Wknd: 17.25m | Total: 1,023.65m
Wk-10: 12.05m - Wknd: 8.95m | Total: 1,035.70m
Wk-11: 9.75m - Wknd: 7.15m | Total: 1,045.45m
Wk-12: 7.00m - Wknd: 5.15m | Total: 1,052.45m
Wk-13: 5.90m - Wknd: 3.85m | Total: 1,058.35m
Wk-14: 3.25m - Wknd: 2.10m | Total: 1,061.60m
Wk-15: 1.30m - Wknd: .95m | Total: 1,062.90m
Wk-16: 1.05m - Wknd: .80m | Total: 1,063.95m
Wk-17: 1.20m - Wknd: .90m | Total: 1,065.15m
Wk-18: 1.00m - Wknd: .70m | Total: 1,066.15m
Wk-19: .75m - Wknd: .50m | Total: 1,066.90m
Wk-20: 2.65m - Wknd: 1.75m | Total: 1,069.55m
Wk-21: .70m - Wknd: .55m | Total: 1,070.25m
Wk-22: .55m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 1,070.80m
Wk-23: .50m - Wknd: .30m - 4-Day-Wknd: .40m | Total: 1,071.30m
Wk-24: .25m - Wknd: .15m | Total: 1,071.55m
Wk-25: .15m - Wknd: .10m | Total: 1,071.70m
Money Made After Wk-25: ~.5m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 30
Consecutive Days Over 1m: 68
Days to 50m: 1-Days - 114.99m
Days to 100m: 1-Days - 114.99m
Days to 150m: 2-Days - 185.94m
Days to 200m: 3-Days - 250.05m
Days to 250m: 3-Days - 250.05m
Days to 300m: 5-Days - 325.00m
Days to 350m: 6-Days - 360.65m
Days to 400m: 8-Days - 424.75m
Days to 450m: 9-Days - 479.50m
Days to 500m: 10-Days - 529.50m
Days to 550m: 11-Days - 567.00m
Days to 600m: 12-Days - 602.25m
Days to 650m: 14-Days - 662.65m
Days to 700m: 15-Days - 700.20m
Days to 750m: 17-Days - 763.15m
Days to 800m: 22-Days - 810.50m
Days to 850m: 25-Days - 852.80m
Days to 900m: 31-Days - 903.80m
Days to 950m: 39-Days - 951.45m
Days to 1,000b: 54-Days - 1,000.5b
Days to 1,050b: 80-Days - 1,050.6b
Domestic Total: 1,072b
International Total: 1,628b
World Wide Total: 2,700b

Multiplier: 4.29

still waiting to hear how sw has grown in popularity since 2005.