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 Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions 

How much will EPISODE VII do domestically?
Poll ended at Fri Nov 01, 2013 11:19 am
Less than $250m 3%  3%  [ 2 ]
$250m-$300m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
$300m-$350m 5%  5%  [ 3 ]
$350m-$400m 8%  8%  [ 5 ]
$400m-$450m 10%  10%  [ 6 ]
$450m-$500m 14%  14%  [ 8 ]
$500m-$550m 15%  15%  [ 9 ]
$550m-$600m 7%  7%  [ 4 ]
$600m-$650m 2%  2%  [ 1 ]
$650m-$700m 8%  8%  [ 5 ]
$700m-$750m 7%  7%  [ 4 ]
more than $750m 20%  20%  [ 12 ]
Total votes : 59

 Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions 
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Grill
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Oof. So my Force Friday was a semi-success. By the time I got to the aisles, ALL of the Black Series were gone. All I wanted for sure was a Captain Phasma something but she was a hot commodity. I got some good stuff though. I really want the Sphero BB-8 but it's 150 bucks! From what it sounds like though, it's worth the coin.

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Tue Sep 08, 2015 11:40 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Wait....Excel thinks this won't gross more than 125m opening weekend? That's a thing?

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Tue Sep 08, 2015 12:15 pm
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Devil's Advocate
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Isn't this making like 120-130 mil its first day (with previews)?

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Tue Sep 08, 2015 12:34 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
No, it will not make $120 mil opening day. Even with previews.

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Tue Sep 08, 2015 12:42 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Chippy wrote:
No, it will not make $120 mil opening day. Even with previews.


It will make half that.


Tue Sep 08, 2015 3:35 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
December 19 gon be good.


Tue Sep 08, 2015 4:14 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
For those talking about the toys, I checked out walmart and Target and the shelves were cleaned out, all they had was legos and a few actions figures. They probably sold 2-3 times amount of SW toys as Jurassic World toys, not that means anything.


Tue Sep 08, 2015 6:43 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Ok maybe 120 mil is a little strong. A film that made Deathly Hallows preview numbers and then had Jurassic World's Friday without previews would be around 106. I see the previews record getting broken and going over 50 mil, but not sure about Friday vs JW.

I would join a previews, OD, OW and all time total records, will all fall club. Star Wars is about to prove why it's the most powerful brand in box-office history

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Tue Sep 08, 2015 7:51 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
50 + 50 seems reasonable at the moment. We won't know how high it can go until it comes out. Jurassic World's WOM spread very fast.


Tue Sep 08, 2015 8:06 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
50 + 50 seems reasonable at the moment. We won't know how high it can go until it comes out. Jurassic World's WOM spread very fast.

It's not even close to reasonable lol. This can maybe crack 30 previews 60 OD.


Tue Sep 08, 2015 11:28 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
zwackerm is correct

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Wed Sep 09, 2015 12:53 am
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now we know
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
The backtracking will begin as the release date nears. Realism will set in. It's super easy (and even gallant for a die hard fan) to predict $5b opening weekend. We all fall down to Earth eventually.

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Wed Sep 09, 2015 9:10 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Excel wrote:
zwackerm is correct


Ways to know you're on the wrong side of a debate.


Wed Sep 09, 2015 11:43 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
No Algren.

The Dark Shape wrote:
Excel wrote:
zwackerm is correct


Ways to know you're on the wrong side of a debate.

:funny:

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Wed Sep 09, 2015 12:01 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
The Dark Shape wrote:
Excel wrote:
zwackerm is correct


Ways to know you're on the wrong side of a debate.


There is no wrong side before one side is proven right.


Wed Sep 09, 2015 3:07 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
There is if it's your side.

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Wed Sep 09, 2015 3:13 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Chippy wrote:
There is if it's your side.


Okay.


Wed Sep 09, 2015 3:45 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Sub 50% OD to preview is not just wrong. It's plain stupid reasoning.

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Wed Sep 09, 2015 4:05 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Some of these posters are idiots

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Wed Sep 09, 2015 7:27 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Thegun wrote:
Sub 50% OD to preview is not just wrong. It's plain stupid reasoning.


Well, I really think the previews will be lower (25 ish), but I don't want to incite even more outrage.


Wed Sep 09, 2015 9:40 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
Thegun wrote:
Sub 50% OD to preview is not just wrong. It's plain stupid reasoning.


Well, I really think the previews will be lower (25 ish), but I don't want to incite even more outrage.


Wed Sep 09, 2015 9:40 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
The preview number for this is really hard to figure out, because since Deathly Hallows 2 there's been a pretty clear ceiling of $30-31 million, even with the additional Thursday hours that have been occurring in the last three years. To predict anything higher than that ceiling is tempting ridicule. But it IS Star Wars, a franchise whose last entry DOUBLED the previous midnight record and has the largest base of rabid fans of any fandom today, rivaled only by, yes, Harry Potter. So the range for it is really, really wide, but anything over $30 million from Thursday night would be a great success (and the best midnight/preview number in over three years).


Wed Sep 09, 2015 10:51 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
This should touch $35 mil in previews.

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Thu Sep 10, 2015 9:44 am
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendel ... rediction/

This is an interesting article.


Wed Sep 16, 2015 7:54 pm
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Post Re: Star Wars - Episode VII - Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2015/09/16/star-wars-the-force-awakens-the-pessimistic-box-office-prediction/

This is an interesting article.

I'll wait till friday to read his realistic prediction ;)

Quote:
And that’s a wrap for the pessimistic prediction for Star Wars: The Force Awakens. Join me tomorrow, which will be three months out before the film’s debut in the UK, for the “optimistic” box office prediction. It will probably be a little shorter because there won’t be quite as many qualifiers. And Friday will bring us the “realistic” prediction for the film.

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