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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Rolling Thunder wrote: Anything over $25m is great for it. 25 million wouldn't be a sign of being a disappointment (yet). But Avengers did 19m with strictly midnights. If it only managed $25 million from 7 to close I don't think that is all that great. That would put in line for an opening day on par with the originals - assuming the $25 million is counted - but I don't expect Saturday or Sunday to keep pace.
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Fri May 01, 2015 9:20 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3225
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Excel wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Anything over $25m is great for it. 26 million wouldn't be a sign of being a disappointment (yet). But Avengers did 19m with strictly midnights. If it only managed $25 million from 7 to close I don't think that is all that great. That would put in line for an opening day on par with the originals - assuming the $25 million is counted - but I don't expect Saturday or Sunday to keep pace. We've come to this. I remember very clearly getting excited off of Lost World's $72 million OW. The fledgling online box-office community was stunned. $26 million...on a Sunday? $72 million in a weekend? How? What? Now, $25 million from 7-12a receipts can be seen as a disappointment. I'm not passing judgement just noting how perceptions (and inflation adjusted dollars) have changed so dramatically in 20 years.
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Fri May 01, 2015 9:30 am |
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OncomingStorm93
Waitress in LA
Joined: Wed Apr 29, 2015 12:41 pm Posts: 25
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
25m is about what I expected for midnights/previews. There's a cap on the # of hardcore fans who *need* to see this immediately. There is no "finale factor" as with TDKR or DHII to drive the casual market to see the AoU in it's very first showings.
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Fri May 01, 2015 9:37 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
if it only does 25m 7-midnight last night, it aint matching that today 7 m to midnight. its going to have to do gangbusters during the day to match the originals opening day
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Fri May 01, 2015 9:39 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6787
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
How on earth is it making 250m OW with 25m or even 30m previews. I dont see how anyone can expect better non-midnight gross for Avengers. With 7PM release you would expect folks preferring shows at good time to check it out on OD. I think with 25M previews, it aint breaking OD record for sure. Even OW record is not locked though its possible. AOU will be less backloaded than Avengers for sure. Specially with a saturated release.
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Fri May 01, 2015 9:42 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
OncomingStorm93 wrote: 25m is about what I expected for midnights/previews. There's a cap on the # of hardcore fans who *need* to see this immediately. There is no "finale factor" as with TDKR or DHII to drive the casual market to see the AoU in it's very first showings. Additionally, The Dark Knight Rises was in July. This is May 1st - pretty much everyone is still in school. I would absolutely consider $25m solid and a $90m OD possible with such a result.
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Fri May 01, 2015 10:34 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68388
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Isn't it a May Day Bank Holiday weekend? I thought schools were off.
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Fri May 01, 2015 10:37 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Per RenTrak, only 2.5% of public schools are out as of this weekend.
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Fri May 01, 2015 10:42 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68388
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Ok. So does the US not have a May Day holiday? Even China has one. lol
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Fri May 01, 2015 10:48 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Chippy wrote: I would think we need at least $20 mil for the late night shows. Probably closer to $25 mil for a shot at beating the record.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri May 01, 2015 2:00 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21904 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I predicted 28 million, great start. Definitely could flirt with 100 million, but I think OD is looking really good now. Avengers managed 62 million after previews, I'd be surprised if it fell below that.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Fri May 01, 2015 2:20 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
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Sat May 02, 2015 11:19 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Good call.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Sat May 02, 2015 11:50 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6787
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
EPIC FAIL. But it set the bar too high. I dont think we will see 250m in the near future as well. I doubt there is that much interest to hit a number that high.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat May 02, 2015 12:01 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am Posts: 12119 Location: Adrift in L.A.
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I don't think a film even has a shot at this until Star Wars: Episode VIII.
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Sat May 02, 2015 12:23 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6787
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
I dont see SW making that much. People are way overstimating the potential of SW flicks. That was the center gravity in pre-franchise/sequel era. Now we have dime a dozen of them. Plus prequels are horrible films(Even Sith has not aged well). While JJ is a decent director I doubt he will be able to take it OT level for sure.
You cannot set anticipation for a sequel if it releases 15 months after the 1st one plus there is another spinoff releasing in between. Back then 3 year gap helps build anticipation to fever pitch. Disney will kill this goose in not too distant future.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat May 02, 2015 12:33 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21604 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
250 million ain't happening for any movie ever. I'd also bet money that 100 OD will never happen, Potter will keep its OD and midnight forever, and Avengers its OW forever.
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Sat May 02, 2015 1:17 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am Posts: 12119 Location: Adrift in L.A.
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
zwackerm wrote: 250 million ain't happening for any movie ever. I'd also bet money that 100 OD will never happen, Potter will keep its OD and midnight forever Aw, kids. You're never able to really look at the future. If you were in high school when The Phantom Menace came out, you'd be screaming that no film would ever hit $100m OW.
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Sun May 03, 2015 12:47 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Chippy wrote: With the Pacquiao/Mayweather fight being the Saturday of this... No WAY will this get to $250 mil.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Sun May 03, 2015 2:35 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19448 Location: San Diego
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
zwackerm wrote: Still, more people watch Shark Tank every Friday night than will watch this fight. Jedi Master Carr wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: That's 2 million TVs, probably way more people as people watch these fights in a group. Same could be said about any sporting event. And as I said I consider boxing 6th at best. At this point Football, basketball, baseball, hockey, and soccer are all above it. Boxing is a dying sport for obvious reasons. And I don't think it will impact how much the Avengers make opening weekend. Besides the only sport that impacts movies really is football. The Avengers will still open to over 200 million. Not convinced about 250, but it will top the first one. lol According to Deadline the fight got nearly $400 million in PVV revenue 
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Sun May 03, 2015 4:35 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23386 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
The Dark Shape wrote: zwackerm wrote: 250 million ain't happening for any movie ever. I'd also bet money that 100 OD will never happen, Potter will keep its OD and midnight forever Aw, kids. You're never able to really look at the future. If you were in high school when The Phantom Menace came out, you'd be screaming that no film would ever hit $100m OW. 
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Sun May 03, 2015 7:07 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6787
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
250m OW will happen. But not in near year or two. May be Avatar sequel will open in summer and will have something crazy new. Or may be Zack suddenly makes awesome Bvs and JL1 and then sequel does. Infinity War 2 could do it if its out of the world.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sun May 03, 2015 8:36 am |
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Cynosure
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sun Apr 12, 2015 7:30 am Posts: 768
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Inflation alone will make sure it happens eventually.
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Sun May 03, 2015 8:38 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Lol at this thread 
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Tue May 05, 2015 10:09 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32635 Location: the last free city
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 Re: The Avengers 2 250m+ OW Club
Sorry BJ....u win some, u lose some
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Tue May 05, 2015 10:11 pm |
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