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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13054 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Weekend Estimates
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 11:11 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
eh
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 1:23 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19399 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Lol at Hot Tub, really terrible opening.
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 2:47 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21529 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Weak Saturday increases as well. Though a lot of the Sunday drops are probably overestimated, Oscar Sunday won't cause a 50% slide for American Sniper.
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 2:53 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21529 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Films that did well McFarland, USA The DUFF The Imitation Game
Films that did okay Kingsman: The Secret Service The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water American Sniper Paddington
Films that did bad Fifty Shades of Grey Hot Tub Time Machine 2 Jupiter Ascending
Fifty Shades of Grey was expected to hold poorly, but it is impossible to say a 72% second weekend plummet is even okay. Kingsman and SpongeBob's Sunday drops seem too precipitous; I doubt Oscar Sunday will impact them so significantly, so they will go up with actuals. American Sniper will be hit a little harder, but it should go up as well. McFarland, USA and The DUFF both moderately outperformed pre release expectations, but the same can't be said for Time Machine. This is probably the last time a liked, but not loved comedy gets a sequel. Jupiter Ascending will close with less than 50 million, obviously a disappointing result. The Imitation Game and Paddington continue their leggy runs for the Weinstein Company, too bad they weren't bigger hits.
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 3:04 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Pretty crappy weekend with the exception of McFarland/The DUFF mildly overperfroming against expectations. Too bad the same can't said about HTTM 2 which completely fucking bombed. This should be the last time Hollywood ever green lights a sequel to a comedy that wasn't loved in the first place. Seriously, it's a huge waste of time and money.
The drop for 50 Shades isn't that surprising considering it's fanbase and the weak Cinemscore. What does surprise me however, is the fact that SpongeBob still hasn't been able to stabilize despite no real competition in the family market right now.
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 3:21 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23325 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Despite being an average weekend it should still beat out the same weekend from last year and not be all that far off the same weekend in 2010 which had Shutter Island open to 40m+
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 3:54 pm |
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Tower
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Sep 21, 2013 12:22 pm Posts: 125
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
zwackerm wrote: ... This is probably the last time a liked, but not loved comedy gets a sequel. ... I'm sure it will happen again, and will do so many times in the future.
Last edited by Tower on Sun Feb 22, 2015 7:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 4:21 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Solid weekends for McFarland, USA and The DUFF.
People abandoned Fifty Shades as expected, although I think it could have dropped closer to 80% so...OK?
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 6:48 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68297
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Tower wrote: zwackerm wrote: ... This is probably the last time a liked, but not loved comedy gets a sequel. ... I'm sure it will happen again, and it will do so many times. Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2, Pitch Perfect 2, Ted 2, Hotel Transylvania 2, Alvin and the Chipmunks 4 ... and that's just this year.
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 7:31 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Algren wrote: Tower wrote: zwackerm wrote: ... This is probably the last time a liked, but not loved comedy gets a sequel. ... I'm sure it will happen again, and it will do so many times. Pitch Perfect 2 ... and that's just this year. 
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 7:51 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21529 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Algren wrote: Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2, Pitch Perfect 2, Ted 2, Hotel Transylvania 2, Alvin and the Chipmunks 4 ... and that's just this year. Paul Blart is certainly not loved, you are correct. Pitch Perfect and Ted certainly are. Hotel Transylvania 2 and Alvin and the Chipmunks are not comparable though.
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 9:14 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
I can't wait for Pitch Perfect 2 
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 9:22 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Me neither. Of all those sequels, it is the only one I am also excited for.
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 9:24 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35233 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Yes I do think Fifty Shades could have dropped 80% as well. Fifty Shades, while seeing a huge drop, was on the lower end of expectations drop-wise.
The DUFF really did quite well. I'm happy for it. Deserves it.
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 10:45 pm |
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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am Posts: 21230 Location: Massachusetts
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
I'm glad The DUFF did well for Mae Whitman, but on what planet would she be considered the ugly fat friend?
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Sun Feb 22, 2015 11:29 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35233 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
Jmart wrote: I'm glad The DUFF did well for Mae Whitman, but on what planet would she be considered the ugly fat friend? You don't have to be dumb or ugly though. She's just the least attractive of the group and the approachable one.
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Mon Feb 23, 2015 12:11 am |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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 Re: Weekend Estimates
The Duff's cast is so second rate. I mean she's the DUFF but some of her friends look on the same level as her.
I think that's the lowest bar you need to clear for these teenage movies- actually finding actors/actresses who can fulfil the basics in believability. Look at something like Mean Girls, mostly hot, can act etc. compared to the Duff and others like it.
Also, I too am looking forward to Pitch Perfect 2. It's such a crowd pleaser. The rest fit the "didn't need a sequel" category.
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Mon Feb 23, 2015 4:46 am |
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