What's the point of the 1-hour embargo? No need for one at all. That's usually how long it takes me to get home anyway!

See, isn't that a lot worse than a 1 hour embargo?

Was it The Penguins of Madagascar?

No

Ridiculous, indeed. But embargoes also include facebook statements, so that's the actual point, I assume.

Oh. I just know of someone who went to an early screening of that movie a few weeks ago. They thought it was really good, even though it wasn't quite finished.

Mockinjay Part I?

No, it's a German film you all have never heard of (and probably will never hear of).

You actually think Mockingjay will be embargoed till opening day?

What time does the embargo officially break?

Oh, right, predictions:

Tuesday night/Wednesday/Thursday - $5 million (according to the official site, there are only 200 regular theaters, plus 11 70mm and 41 real-IMAX screens...probably won't add up to much, and all the ads are saying Nov. 7 as the opening)
Friday - $23 million ($2.5 million Thursday night previews)
Saturday - $25 million
Sunday - $15.5 million

So, just over Inception for the 3-day. I've been predicting high-50s for a while, but early word is so strong that I think that will help it, in addition to early WOM from the limited Wednesday opening. So from there...hm, not sure yet. If this finally becomes Nolan's golden ticket to the Oscars, $300 million is certain. Although maybe it just needs to be that level of caliber to make the mark...

Opening: $63.5 million
Total: $300 million (4.72)

I'm not that certain about this at all, but I'm feeling optimistic.

A. The tone was more like that of a thriller than an action movie. The dialog in the marketing wasn't about defeating bad guys, but about the world of dreams.

B. Saying that it would drop more in summer because summer films drop big is still affirming the consequent though. Inception's Friday jumps were very consistent until schools began to start. The only new competition with much overlap was Salt. I'd argue running into Maze Runner, Equalizer and GG in the fall would be more direct.

10am EST

I'm getting more and more confident about this.

Very solid logic.

I'm just personally feeling this pulls a mini-Avatar and hits the big-time with an over 400M domestic gross. Yes statistically this is extremely unlikely, but I have faith.

I still feel confident in better-than-Inception legs, with a final multiplier over 5.

I still have yet to hear any "normal" people talking about this movie and it has never gotten any kind of reaction when I've seen the trailer and I've seen it before plenty of movies.

I think it will do very well but I don't think it will have some giant opening. If it's great and people embrace it, it should have some great holds but don't forget, The Hunger Games is pretty much a four quadrant film. It's going to see a pretty big drop the week that is released.

I think anything over $50 million opening weekend would be GREAT for this.

Waiting for this movie drives me insane. Can't believe I'm seeing it in less than 2 weeks.

400m is the floor.

Where are the reviews?

Monday will see a barrage for sure considering how many screenings have happened both stateside and international.

but already someone at BO.com forums saw it




http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/ ... ?p=1730543

The hype will just set people up to be disappointed. So I hope there are bad reviews so that I go into the cinema with realistic expectations. No film can really blow my mind any more, so reviews saying that it will, will just set it up to fail. At least that's how it works for moi.

BJs Prediction:

Interstellar

Previews: 1.05m (Tues)
Opening Day: 3.05m
2nd Day: 3.10m +1%
Opening Wknd: 82.03m - Fri: 25.88m +720% / Sat: 33.60m +29% / Sun: 22.55m -33%
6-Day: 101.63m - Mon: 12.40m -45%
7-Day: 117.78m - Tue: 16.15m +30%
8-Day: 124.28m - Wed: 6.70m -58%
9-Day: 131.28m - Thur: 6.80m +1%
2nd Wknd: 63.15m -23% - Fri: 16.70m +145% / Sat: 28.20m +68% / Sun: 18.25m -35%
13-Day: 200.38m - Mon: 5.95m -67%
14-Day: 208.13m - Tue: 7.75m +30%
15-Day: 213.93m - Wed: 5.80m -25%
16-Day: 219.03m - Thur: 5.10m -11%
3rd Wknd: 41.65m -34% - Fri: 10.75m +110% / Sat: 18.95m +76% / Sun: 11.90m -37%
20-Day: 265.53m - Mon: 4.85m -63%
21-Day: 272.33m - Tue: 6.80m +40%
22-Day: 281.88m - Wed: 9.55m +40%
23-Day: 289.98m - Thur: 8.10m -15%
4th Wknd: 40.60m -2% - Fri: 16.25m +100% / Sat: 16.55m +2% / Sun: 7.85m -52%
27-Day: 332.83m - Mon: 2.25m -71%
28-Day: 335.78m - Tue: 2.95m +30%
29-Day: 337.93m - Wed: 2.45m -27%
30-Day: 340.08m - Thur: 2.25m NC
5th Wknd: 20.00m -51% - Fri: 5.20m +140% / Sat: 9.20m +75% / Sun: 5.60m -39%
Wk-0: 7.20m | Total: 7.20m
Wk-1: 124.08m - Wknd: 82.03m | Total: 131.28m
Wk-2: 87.75m - Wknd: 63.15m | Total: 219.03m
Wk-3: 70.95m - Wknd: 41.65m | Total: 289.98m
Wk-4: 50.10m - Wknd: 40.60m | Total: 340.08m
Wk-5: 27.15m - Wknd: 20.00m | Total: 367.23m
Wk-6: 20.95m - Wknd: 14.75m | Total: 388.18m
Wk-7: 20.10m - Wknd: 9.55m | Total: 408.28m
Wk-8: 20.15m - Wknd: 9.45m | Total: 428.43m
Wk-9: 14.05m - Wknd: 10.40m | Total: 442.48m
Wk-10: 9.60m - Wknd: 6.85m | Total: 452.08m
Wk-11: 8.25m - Wknd: 5.60m - 4-Day-Wknd: 6.75m | Total: 460.33m
Wk-12: 7.35m - Wknd: 5.40m | Total: 467.68m
Wk-13: 4.80m - Wknd: 3.55m | Total: 472.48m
Wk-14: 3.70m - Wknd: 2.80m | Total: 476.18m
Wk-15: 4.25m - Wknd: 2.95m - 4-Day-Wknd: 3.60m | Total: 480.43m
Wk-16: 4.70m - Wknd: 2.90m | Total: 485.13m
Wk-17: 5.45m - Wknd: 4.00m | Total: 490.58m
Wk-18: 3.15m - Wknd: 2.20m | Total: 493.73m
Wk-19: 2.15m - Wknd: 1.40m | Total: 495.88m
Wk-20: 1.65m - Wknd: 1.05m | Total: 497.53m
Wk-21: .95m - Wknd: .65m | Total: 498.48m
Wk-22: .60m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 499.08m
Wk-23: .40m - Wknd: .25m | Total: 499.48m
Wk-24: .30m - Wknd: .20m | Total: 499.78m
Wk-25: .20m - Wknd: .15m | Total: 499.98m
Money Made After Wk-25: ~1m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 21
Consecutive Days Over 1m: 62
Days to 50m: 4-Days - 66.68m
Days to 100m: 6-Days - 101.63m
Days to 150m: 11-Days - 176.18m
Days to 200m: 13-Days - 200.38m
Days to 250m: 19-Days - 260.63m
Days to 300m: 24-Days - 306.18m
Days to 350m: 32-Days - 354.58m
Days to 400m: 48-Days - 400.43m
Days to 450m: 70-Days - 450.08m
Days to 500m: 178-Days - 500.03m
Domestic Total: 501m
International Total: 899m
World Wide Total: 1,400b

Multiplier: 6.10

Good luck with that. I doubt it falls 34% against Mockingjay.

zwackerm

What is this new trend of just saying my name?